International Coordination of Space Weather Observations and Products

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Presentation transcript:

International Coordination of Space Weather Observations and Products Terry Onsager1 and Juan Rodriguez2 1NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center 2CIRES University of Colorado and NOAA National Geophysical Data Center

Main Topics • Energetic particle environment impacts • GOES-R enhancements • International coordination activities

GOES measures particle sources external to the magnetosphere: - Galactic Cosmic Rays - Solar Energetic Particles GOES measures particle sources internal to the magnetosphere: - Radiation Belts - Ring current/plasma sheet

in Geostationary Orbit >50 MeV >10 MeV >100 MeV Solar Radiation Storm in Geostationary Orbit Satellite Electronics Impacts - Single event upsets (protons, heavy ions) - Deep dielectric charging (energetic electrons) - Surface charging (low energy electrons) Geosynchronous Orbit

- Star tracker anomalies (energetic protons) Interplanetary Space Polar Ionosphere - Star tracker anomalies (energetic protons) - HF communication outages (energetic protons) - Human radiation (energetic protons and electrons)

Satellite Impacts During Storm Period: October 19 – November 7, 2003 Approximately 53% of Earth and Space science missions were impacted (NASA/GSFC) Examples include: Mars Odyssey Probe : Spacecraft entered safe mode; MARIE instrument failed Stardust Mission: Spacecraft entered safe mode SMART-1: Three auto shut-downs of engines in lunar transfer orbit Mars Explorer Rover: Entered idle mode due to excessive star tracker events Microwave Anisotropy Probe: Star tracker resets Mars Express: Star tracker unusable – relied on gyroscopes ADEOS-2: Total loss

Spacecraft Operations and Aviation Impacts January 8, 2014 NBCnews.com Polar Airline Flights Re-routed Orbital Sciences cargo delivery to ISS Energetic Proton Flux Geostationary Orbit

Evolution of GOES Charged Particle and Magnetometer Coverage Satellite Series Electrons >800 keV Electrons 30-600 keV Electrons 0.03-30 keV Protons >740 keV Protons 80-800 keV Protons 0.03-30 keV Solar Heavy Ions, >10 MeV/n Magneto-meter GOES 8-12 √ He GOES 13-15 GOES R He, Z=4-29 (Be-Cu) Radiation effects application Interior charging, human radiation Surface and interior charging Surface charging and charging signatures Single event effects, HF comm., human radiation Surface damage (e.g., solar arrays) Surface charging signatures Single event effects Charging, calculation of n and T, orientation anomalies • Daily Forecasts (1-3 day): - Solar x-rays and energetic protons - Geomagnetic activity - 10.7 cm radio flux • Event-Driven Warnings and Alerts: - Warnings: geomagnetic storms, proton events - Alerts: solar flares, proton events, geomagnetic storms, electron events, solar radio bursts • Also: Continuous real-time data and input for numerical models

World Meteorological Organization Specialized Agency of the United Nations with 191 Members • Promote sustained observations essential for space weather services • Improve exchange of data and information utilizing the WMO Information System • Support emergence of services in coordination with aviation and other major application sectors • Improve emergency warning and global preparedness • Promote synergy with meteorology/climate Space-based Observing System Access to Satellite Data and Products Awareness and Training Space Weather Coordination WMO Space Programme Elements:

Space Weather Service Requirements for International Civil Aviation ICAO is developing provisions for space weather information to international air navigation, including: • Requirements for space weather services • Selection criteria for designation of global and regional centers • Governance and cost recovery arrangements • Considerations of space weather impacts and service uses GOES data and SWPC services will be essential for addressing the emerging needs of civil aviation for space weather information.

Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites • Focus on operational spacecraft and instrument issues • Host space weather instruments • Routinely report on satellite anomalies • Can facilitate integration of observing capabilities Near-term Actions: 1. Develop Terms of Reference for space weather activities 2. Work with WMO space weather team to develop procedures for collection and use of anomaly information

Solar Energetic Particle Measurement Intercalibration Workshop, Boulder, Colorado, 11 April 2014 International participation: Europe, Japan, China, Russia, USA Many missions represented: scientific vs. operational, new vs. historical Interoperability of multiple national space-weather observations demands cross-comparisons Intercalibration (quantitative adjustment of observations to some standard) may not be needed if observations agree to within some error bar Workshop recommendations: Develop guidelines for the on-orbit cross-comparison of solar energetic particle measurements Similar in intent to optical calibration guidelines for the WMO/CGMS Global Space-based Inter-Calibration System (GSICS), which was developed for satellite-borne imagers and sounders Workshop report lists questions that need to be addressed by these guidelines Use January 2014 SEP event as a recent cross-comparison opportunity Initial results show good agreement between NOAA GOES and NASA Van Allen Probes Relativistic Electron Proton Telescope (REPT) J. V. Rodriguez, T. G. Onsager, D. Heynderickx, and P. T. A. Jiggens (2014), Meeting Report: Solar Energetic Particle Measurements Intercalibration Workshop, 11 April 2014, Boulder, Colorado, Space Weather, 12, 613-615.

United Nations Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space (COPUOS) COPUOS Scientific and Technology Subcommittee (STSC): • Space Weather is a new agenda item for STSC (2013) • Space weather guidelines and recommended practices for space actors will soon be released (2015) • COPUOS actions cover the full range of issues – basic research, applications, capacity building – with high-level government and space agency participation COPUOS is well positioned to facilitate communication from basic science to operational services, including the continuity and interoperability of space weather data

International Space Environment Service Coordinating space weather services since 1962 • Improved service coordination is a priority • Endorsed by national governments as space weather service providers • Provide local users with targeted services • Promote exchange of data and information • Close collaboration with WMO 16 Regional Warning Centers 4 Associate Warning Centers 1 Collaborative Expert Center UK Graz www.spaceweather.org

Summary • The GOES space weather data are essential for many of NOAA’s operational space weather forecasts, warnings, alerts, and models • Forecasts and specification of energetic particles support the satellite industry, commercial aviation, manned space flight, and launch ops. • GOES-R includes improved capabilities to address the diverse service needs • International coordination on observations and research will contribute to improve services and global resilience • WMO, ICAO, COPUOS, CGMS and ISES are engaged in complementary efforts to advance data and service capabilities