 2005 Office of Community College Research & Leadership, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign A Scan of the Environment Surrounding Tech Prep in Illinois: Past, Present & Future Eunyoung Kim Cathy Kirby

Environmental Scanning Diagram Environmental Scanning WhatWhoWhyHowWhen

Environmental Scanning Defined Knowing and predicting about events, trends, and relationships in an organization’s external environment and using the information to plan the organization’s future course of action. (adapted from Aguilar, 1967)

Why Environmental Scanning? Objective: To identify current and future trends projections opportunities threats facing us over the life of the strategic planning period. In order to strategically plan the future of CTE & Tech Prep, we need to grasp the dynamic, complex, interrelated environment that impacts education in Illinois.

Scope of Environmental Factors Demographic Factors Economic Factors Socio-Cultural Factors Education Factors Industry/Workforce Factors

IL Demographic Factors (US Census, 2000) Illinois Consortium Area Total population 12.5 million White 73.5% African American 15.1% Asian 3.4% Hispanic12.3% Native American 0.2% Population change +2.4% (US Census Bureau State and County Quickfacts )

IL Economic Factors (US Census, 2000) Illinois Consortium Area Per capita income $23,104 Poverty level 10.7% Unemployment rate 5.7% (as of October, 2005) Other?

Multi-Dimensions of Poverty Income poverty Health poverty Education poverty Individual attributes: self-esteem, confidence, capability Social & political attributes: public policy, leadership (Thorbecke, 2005)

Socio-Cultural Factors  Percentage of Traditionally Underserved Populations Below poverty level 1 st generation college goers Racial/ethnic minorities (e.g., Hispanic, African- American) Students with disabilities LEP/Immigrants  Attitudes and perceptions of CTE  Other?

IL Education Factors (Measuring Up, 2004) CategoryIllinois Consortium Area age group w/ high school diploma 87.5% Dropout 4.0% High school graduates who enter college 60% age group enrolled in college 33% 13 th grade CC student retention rate 53% Remediation rate?? Tech Prep program completion rate?? )

IL Education Funding Disparity Highest Rondout School District 72 $23,799 (Lake Forest-Lake) Butler School District 53 $15,511 (Oak Brook-Dupage) Northbrook Elementary School District 27 $15,308 (Northbrook- Cook) Lowest Union School District 81 $5,157 (Joliet-Will) Community Consolidated School District 168 $6,026 (Huntley- McHenry) Mokena School District 159 $5,532 (Mokena-Will) (ISBE, 2004)

Industry/Workforce Trends Education level remains positively associated with higher income Growth areas in IL include: computer & information technology; instructional coordinators; electrical engineering; medical assistants; sales and business services; legal services; social services Higher levels of 1) skills, 2) knowledge, & 3) postsecondary degrees will continue to grow Learning to learn & preparing for lifelong education (Judy, D'Amico, & Geipel’s Workforce2020, 1997)

IL Economic Development Region

IL Tech Prep Factors 39 public community college districts, 59 regional vocational systems, & over 500 high schools Multiple consortium arrangements & funding Linkages between academic and career and technical educators Articulation between secondary and postsecondary education Collaboration between educators and the business community Reauthorization of Carl D. Perkins Vocational and Technical Education Act: Changes???

Teacher Shortage & CTE Impending teacher retirements (National Education Association & US Department of Education) New teacher turnover (National Education Association & US Department of Education) 10% projected growth of CTE teaching positions (Occupational Outlook Handbook) Declining capacity to produce CTE teachers (Lynch, 1998) Lack of professional development training Shortages in your consortium?

CTE & High School Reform CTE’s role and leadership in high school reform CTE model to increase college readiness Initiatives: -Career pathways -Career academies -Small schools/restructuring/breakup of comprehensive HS -High Schools That Work States set priorities to redesign high schools & promote transition from high school to college (NGA, 2005)

 2005 Office of Community College Research & Leadership, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Next Steps We’ll share this template for local use Use SWOT activity to summarize Draft summary of consortium environmental scanning process - more info & date to follow State level: Assemble Working Group Spring Regional Meeting: Continue discussion Consider us a resource More information will be available on OCCRL website