2024 Common Case Results Resource Adequacy.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
1 Chapter 40 - Physiology and Pathophysiology of Diuretic Action Copyright © 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Advertisements

Electricity and Natural Gas Supply, Reserves, and Resource Adequacy CMTA Energy Conference Energy: Growing Californias Economy William J. Keese California.
Lessons from the 2015 SSG-Wi Reference Case Mary Johannis, SSG-WI Generation Subgroup Lead Tom Carr, WIEB Seams Steering Group of the Western Interconnection.
Report of the Planning Coordination Committee WECC Board Meeting Albuquerque, NM December, 2007.
1 Modeling Work Group WECC - TEPPC Technical Advisory Subcommittee Meeting August 20, 2009 Tom Miller Pacific Gas & Electric Status and Outlook.
1 Data Work Group WECC - TEPPC Technical Advisory Subcommittee Meeting San Francisco, CA November 28, 2007 Jamie Austin PacifiCorp Progress Report: 2007.
Pacific Gas and Electric Company Long Term Procurement Plan Proceeding Renewable Integration Model Results and Model Demonstration October 22, 2010 Workshop.
Heidi Pacini Staff Engineer Developing a Draft 2011 Study Program March 10, 2010 SWG Conference Call.
0 - 0.
DIVIDING INTEGERS 1. IF THE SIGNS ARE THE SAME THE ANSWER IS POSITIVE 2. IF THE SIGNS ARE DIFFERENT THE ANSWER IS NEGATIVE.
MULT. INTEGERS 1. IF THE SIGNS ARE THE SAME THE ANSWER IS POSITIVE 2. IF THE SIGNS ARE DIFFERENT THE ANSWER IS NEGATIVE.
Addition Facts
Demand Resource Operable Capacity Analysis – Assumptions for FCA 5.
1 Bradley Nickell Director of Transmission Planning 10-Year Regional Transmission Plan WECC Overview September 2011.
Presentation to State Water Resources Control Board November 14, 2012 By Dave Modisette Executive Director California Municipal Utilities Association.
TIM MASON RENEWABLE RESOURCE INTEGRATION IEP ASSOCIATION ANNUAL MEETING FALLEN LEAF LAKE 5 October 2011.
AN INTRODUCTION TO THE MIDWEST ISO By Bill Malcolm Manager-State Regulatory Affairs Pierre, South Dakota June 9, 2006.
Probabilistic Volatility in the Western Interconnection Matthew Elkins.
Study Results High Hydro Study Low Hydro Study This slide deck contains results from the 2011 TEPPC Study Program. This study shows the impacts of low.
Study Results Common Case Study This slide deck contains results from the 2011 TEPPC Study Program. This study shows the results of the 2022 Common Case.
Study Results Southwest Firmed Resource Option This slide deck contains results from the 2012 TEPPC Study Program related to the Southwest Firmed Resource.
Study Results California In-State Net-Short California Out-State Net-Short California Out-State Net-Short w SWIP N This slide deck contains results from.
10-Year Study Results California Resource Option.
Study Results Northwest Firmed Resource Option This slide deck contains results from the 2012 TEPPC Study Program related to the Northwest Firmed Resource.
Past Tense Probe. Past Tense Probe Past Tense Probe – Practice 1.
SSG-WI System Model Data Requirements [PART 1] September 5, 2002 Las Vegas, NV.
Addition 1’s to 20.
Test B, 100 Subtraction Facts
Paul Acchione, P. Eng., B.A.Sc., M. Eng. Chair – OSPE Energy Task Force Management Consultant – MIDAC Corp. Presented to the Energy Mini-Conference Series.
Week 1.
California Energy Commission 1 Energy Workshops for W&WW Agencies UTILITY STRATEGIES FOR SHIFTING PEAK DEMAND PERIOD WATER & ENERGY USE REGIONAL STRATEGIES:
Congestion Management Settlement Credits December, 2002.
Al McBride MANAGER, AREA TRANSMISSION PLANNING Existing Import Interfaces: Transmission Transfer Capabilities and The Calculation of Tie Benefits DECEMBER.
ENERGY VALUE. Summary  Operational Value is a primary component in the Net Market Value (NMV) calculation used to rank competing resources in the RPS.
Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now December 16, 2013 Flattening the Duck Dynamic Grid Solutions for Integrating Renewables.
Out of Region Market Assumptions Resource Adequacy Technical Committee April 6 th, 2011.
Energy Year 2014 Electricity Finnish Energy Industries.
Update on the Western Region Resource Plan Presented to the Community Energy Advisory Council November 14, 2008.
Western Interconnection Subregions for PSA Layne Brown Manager, Reliability Assessments.
Ad Hoc West-wide Resource Assessment Team (WRAT) : Assessment of Western System Adequacy in the Short-term Jeff King Northwest Power Planning Council Presentation.
Study Results February 10, 2015 W ESTERN E LECTRICITY C OORDINATING C OUNCIL.
2001 & 2002 Energy Preparedness Tucson Electric Power February 16, 2001 Michael Flores, Manager Control Area Operations David Hutchens, Manager Wholesale.
California's three large IOUs collectively served 12.7% of their 2007 retail electricity sales with renewable power. – Pacific Gas and Electric (PG&E)
NW Transmission System Bottlenecks and Impacts of 2005 Summer Operation BPA Transmission Business Line Mike Viles January 2006.
Study Results Drought Scenario Study This slide deck contains results from the 2011 TEPPC Study Program. This study shows the impact in the interconection.
NORTHWEST POWER POOL Reliability Update – Summer 2010 April 2010 Jerry D. Rust.
Draft Avoided Cost Forecast and Marginal CO 2 Offset Value of Conservation Regional Technical Forum Maury Galbraith Northwest Power and Conservation Council.
Base Case Draft – For Comment Rocky Mountain States Sub-Regional Transmission Study December 9, 2003.
WestConnect Activities Charles Reinhold WestConnect Project Manager 2008 ACC BTA Workshop Phoenix, AZ May 22, 2008.
ELECTRICITY SOURCES Twenty five percent of the state’s electricity comes from out-of-state generation.
California Energy Commission Staff Paper - April 12,20071 Estimating the Generation Resource Mix of Electricity Imports to California – Energy Commission.
Challenges in Building Transmission in California Power Association of Northern California P.J. Martinez VP, Engineering Pacific Gas & Electric Company.
Sixth Northwest Conservation & Electric Power Plan Draft Wholesale Power Price Forecasts Maury Galbraith Northwest Power and Conservation Council Generating.
THE MIX: FACTS, FIGURES, AND THE FUTURE INDEPENDENT ENERGY PRODUCERS ANNUAL MEETING SEPTEMBER 26, 2013 William A. Monsen MRW & Associates Oakland, California.
Study Results High EE/DG/DR Study This slide deck contains results from the 2011 TEPPC Study Program. This study shows the results of an increase of EE/DG/DR.
Resource Adequacy Steering Committee Meeting October 4, 2011.
CALIFORNIA ENERGY COMMISSION Workshop on the Staff Draft 2006 Summer Outlook Report December 8, 2005 Hearing Room B.
Out of Region Market Assumption Resource Adequacy Technical Committee December 1, 2011.
Sixth Northwest Conservation & Electric Power Plan Interim Wholesale Electricity Price and Carbon Dioxide Production Forecasts Maury Galbraith Northwest.
Greg Brinkman Debbie Lew National Renewable Energy Laboratory Golden, Colorado USA Western Wind and Solar Integration Study: February TRC meeting – Transmission.
PC30 BLM High Priority RE SWG – 10/26/15 WECC Staff W ESTERN E LECTRICITY C OORDINATING C OUNCIL.
ISO Confidential Overview of California’s Current Drought and its Effects on the Energy System Dede Subakti, P. E. Director, Operations Engineering Services.
Study Results April 16, 2015 W ESTERN E LECTRICITY C OORDINATING C OUNCIL.
Sixth Northwest Conservation & Electric Power Plan Draft Wholesale Power Price Forecasts Maury Galbraith Generating Resource Advisory Committee Meeting.
PC05 Low Hydro Study Results
PC04 High Hydro Study Results
WECC 2026 Common Case Capacity Assessment with RECAP
Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Study Results California In-State Net-Short California Out-State Net-Short California Out-State Net-Short w SWIP N This slide deck contains results from.
Study Results Drought Scenario Study
Presentation transcript:

2024 Common Case Results Resource Adequacy

What and Why The resource adequacy check is a measure of a regions ability to meet its load requirements at time of peak using resources within each region and transmission constrained imports from neighboring regions. TEPPC uses this check to indicate if there are adequate resources in the dataset as well as a check to not over build the dataset.

List of Inputs Sub-regional coincident peak demand 2024 generation by area and resource type Targeted planning reserve margin On-peak coincident capacity value by resource type Transfer capacity that could be used to eliminate deficits High-Cost CT The approach historically used by WECC and relatively easy to implement Cannot readily simulate DR program rules (e.g., limits on hours per event) Iterative LMP-Based Approach The approach implemented last year for economic DR resources Can specify precisely which hours DR resources are called Requires a separate model outside of PROMOD and iterative runs of PROMOD with and without DR (i.e., not the most elegant approach)

2024 Generation Renewable Resources Conventional Resources As needed to meet RPS targets Conventional Resources WECC class code 0-2 resources Based on resource reconciliation efforts and stakeholder feedback OTC replacement units Arapahoe 4 to natural gas and Valmont/Cherokee units replaced with one natural gas unit

Sub-Regional Coincident Peak Demand Both summer and winter peaks Extracted from the 2024 Common Case load forecast Peak Load Lookup Name AZ-NM-NV Basin Alberta British Columbia CA-North CA-South NWPP RMPA Summer Peaks 34,652 15,554 14,340 9,034 29,397 43,067 28,053 13,465 Winter Peaks 21,724 12,421 15,795 12,296 20,357 27,738 34,337 11,202

Planning Reserve Margins LRS 2013 Power Supply Assessment Sub-Region Zones Included in Sub-RegionSummer Summer Margin Winter Margin AZ-NM-NV Arizona, New Mexico, Southern Nevada 13.6% 14.0% Basin Idaho, Northern Nevada, Utah 13.7% Alberta 12.6% 13.9% British Columbia CA-North Northern California, San Francisco, SMUD 15.0% 12.1% CA-South Southern California Edison, San Diego Gas & Electric, LADWP, Imperial Irrigation District 15.2% 11.0% NWPP Pacific Northwest, Montana 17.5% 19.2% RMPA Colorado, Wyoming 15% 15.9% LRS Power Supply Assessment Document

On-Peak Capacity Value, Summer Stakeholder input from past/current study programs Current values pending SWG feedback Summer - Percentage of Installed Capacity Available to Serve Load at Time of Peak Generation Type AZ-NM-NV Basin Alberta British Columbia CA-North CA-South NWPP RMPA Biomass RPS 100% 66% 65% Geothermal 72% 70% Small Hydro RPS 35% Solar PV 60% Solar CSP0 90% 95% Solar CSP6 Wind 10% 16% 5% Hydro Pumped Storage Coal Nuclear Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine Other Steam Other Negative Bus Load Dispatchable DSM

Available Transmission Capacity Between Subregions Based on path ratings Accounts for transmission capacity used to reassign joint ownership plants Limited so transfers do not exceed a subregion's surplus Assumed wheeling from neighboring regions only

Conventional generation added Region Gen needed after RPS additions (MW) Gen added to each region (MW) CA-SO 5336 3297.98 RMPA 694 946 Basin 650 655.2 AZ-NM-NV 948 3874 AESO 873 915.9 CA-NO 2133 1682.3 BC (Site C) 1099.8