Aviation and the Belgian climate policy: integration options and impacts ABC Impacts Financed by the Belgian Science Policy Research programme "Science.

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Presentation transcript:

Aviation and the Belgian climate policy: integration options and impacts ABC Impacts Financed by the Belgian Science Policy Research programme "Science for a sustainable development" (2005 – 2009)

Overview research objectives oGlobal overview of the environmental and socio-economic impacts of the Belgian aviation sector: information and multi actor multi criteria analysis on the possible policy options for combating climate change oTool for the preparation and assessment of the Belgian climate policy in relation to aviation oInteractive web tool enabling stakeholders to explore climate impacts and sensitivity analysis to options and uncertainties of the different policy options

Overview research process

Overview work packages WP 1. State of the art WP 2. Market analysis of the Belgian aviation business WP 3. Technological assessment WP 4. Emissions inventory WP 5. Climate modelling WP 6. Integration options WP 7. Multi actor multi criteria analysis WP 8. Regional climate modelling WP 9. Policy mix WP 10. Update and scenarios WP 11. Global assessment WP 12. Synthesis and recommendations

Research team Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOSI-T (Cathy Macharis, Tim Festraets) ETEC (Joeri Van Mierlo, Julien Matheys) Université Libre de Bruxelles CEESE (Walter Hecq, Sandrine Meyer) Université Catholique de Louvain-la-Neuve ASTR (JP Van Yperseele, Ben Mattews, Andrew Ferrone)

Multi Actor Multi Criteria Analysis Source: Macharis et al. (2004) and Macharis (2005)

Multi Actor Multi Criteria Analysis Constituting elements of the MAMCA: oAppropriate stakeholder selection oImportance of the different stakeholders oSelection of criteria oDetermination of the weights of the criteria oMeasurement of the criteria

Multi Actor Multi Criteria Analysis Based on reports by: –Macharis et al (2004, The strategic evaluation of new technologies through multi-criteria analysis: the advisors case) –Macharis, C (2005, The importance of stakeholder analysis in freight transport) –Upham et al (2004, Environmental capacity and European air Transport: stakeholder opinion and implications for modelling) –Lyneis, JM (2000, System dynamics for market forecasting and structural analysis)