Tauranga Transport Models (TTM) Presentation to PT Committee Aug 2019 Craig Richards (Beca)

Contents Model structure Recent upgrades PT module description Project examples Future developments

TTM Structure Suite of transport models Macro – Meso – Micro TTSM = Macro (improved) TTHM = Meso / Micro (new) TCM = Meso (new) Vehicles and Cycle trips PT, Heavy Vehicles, HOV Tolls, Parking, Fares 2018 to 2063 scenarios

TTM v5.11 to v5.12 Old version New version Why? Private vehicles and trucks only Cars, Trucks, PT and cycle trips Need to analyse and evaluate multimodal projects No consideration of parking issues; capacity & pricing Considers parking capacity & pricing (esp. CBD) Relevant constraint and demand management tool, influences mode shift Basic assessment of tolling/road pricing Improved ability to consider effects of tolling road pricing Important issue in Tauranga available to policy makers, influences mode shift No specific freight modelling (heavy vehicles) Improved HCV modelling. Modelling of level crossings Important as Port of Tga is a key land use and trip generator on our network No specific education trip modelling (‘home based other’) Specific education trips More robust model especially for PT trips with high school use

PT Module Within the TTSM Bus services and frequencies Generalised cost of travel (in vehicle time, access & wait time, fares, parking, tolls) Public and school buses

Key PT Outputs Origin-destination (trips, costs) Travel time Operation data (volumes, speed) Service data (passengers, boarding, alighting) Mapping (accessibility)

PT Module Limitations Uses 2013 Census data – to be recalibrated when 2018 is available Calibrated against a low and variable base demand. Desirable to review over time Limited destination data. Recalibrate when new ticket system is embedded Destination input primarily journey to work, not applicable for school buses. School bus modelling less accurate on a line by line basis at present Early days, still refining model response to our expectations, e.g. bus lane effects, transfer penalties Not a full ‘four stage’ model, cannot perform sophisticated multiple redistribution / assignment in certain scenarios

PT Blueprint 2016 / 17 Blueprint: Demand determined external to the model (manual process) Economic analysis informed by the model With PT Model: Routes and frequencies applied in the model Model simulates demands and provides direct economic outputs Blueprint forecast growth around 27% Model forecast growth around 30%

TTHM Detailed microsimulation model – receives demands from TTSM Queues, delay, travel time, speed, weaving, bus lanes, bus delay etc Can assist in bus lane design, start end points, detailed manoeuvring

Project Examples – P8.1 (Interim Findings) 2031 and 2063 with PT (Draft) ‘Baseline’ PT future scenario Bus lanes, HOV, park and ride, parking charges, station quality P8.2 ongoing; More services, better bus lane modelling, wider paid parking area Work in progress in collaboration with TCC, BoPRC, UFTI DRAFT

Other Projects Te Tumu Structure Plan and PEI – using Programme 8.1 and TTHM Tauriko Structure Plan Western Corridor – using Programme 8.1 Cameron Road initial review of bus lanes in TTSM and TTHM 15th Avenue Corridor – detailed design informed in TTHM UFTI – modelling team working with UFTI preparing for modelling of land use and transport scenarios when these are developed

Future Model Development 10 year model improvement programme business case Update for latest Census and Household Travel Survey New modes, e.g. walking, emodes, freight/commodity, could be included in future Possibly full four stage model (person trip model) in future

Thanks