US Regional Collaboration and Economic Growth: A

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Presentation transcript:

US Regional Collaboration and Economic Growth: A Midwestern Case Study and a National Cross-Sectional Analysis By Davis Heniford

INTRODUCTION

Hayek’s Knowledge Problem

Hayek’s Knowledge Problem One person’s knowledge is only a small fraction of the total of knowledge held by all members of society Therefore, a decentralized economy complements the dispersed nature of information spread throughout society Many small, fragmented municipalities are better in order to provide the right level of public goods for the citizen

Buchanan's Leviathan Model The same basic motivational assumptions should be ascribed to market agents and political agents Policymakers have some discretion over policy choice: it is difficult otherwise to explain a market for policy advisors. The government is assumed to act as a monopolist that maximizes tax revenues Many small, local governments competing through tax levels and services should eliminate this monopoly problem and furthermore promote efficiency

Buchanan’s Leviathan Model

Counterpoint: Economies of Scale

Fragmentation vs. Consolidation Economy of scale vs. monopoly rents Efficiency Smaller governments should more accurately and effectively represent their constituents Democracy Having many small municipalities can create inequities between them – more equity when similar services are given to all. Distribution Coordinating economic development efforts is difficult with rent seeking and too many barriers, but challenging with a too large and dispersed area Development

Potential Benefits of Collaboration Development Rent-seeking activities are a form of harmful development competition – includes sniping of businesses and incentive offers Coordination of development knowledge and resources Efficiency small regional governments can avoid Buchanan and Hayek’s problems on some issues Not fighting over tax base issues and instead collaboratively providing goods or services in some areas

DATA AND METHODS

Why National Units Don’t Work Difficult to construct a fully developed functional specification for an economic regression using national units Boundaries of these countries can be arbitrary The countries themselves can be heterogeneous Sample size will be limited

Independent Variables Data from International City/County Management Association (ICMA) local government dataset Two primary variables of interest to measure ‘regional collaboration’ Level of cooperation or competition for economic development and tax base among local governments in the region Level of cooperation between the city and county government in creating the economic plan for the region

Dependent Variables Data from U.S. Federal Bureau of Labor Statistics county and city data Two primary variables of interest to measure economic growth Percent growth in establishment count Percent growth in employment If we assume the competitiveness of domestic labor markets, employers in regions with lower quality of life will have to compensate workers with a higher salary. This confounding factor complicates the use of per capita income as the dependent variable

CASE STUDY

Case Study Interviewed leaders of regional economic development agencies Emphasized the importance of regional collaboration A focus on improving quality of life A focus on quick adaptation in response to regional economic issues Interviewed representatives from regional firms Workforce development needs The burden of taxes When prompted, business leaders generally agreed that regional collaboration was important factionalism among local governments hurts a metropolitan area’s ability to draw in business with a united front regional collaboration allowed for better usage of resources

EMPIRICAL STUDY

Regression #1

Confidence Interval

Regression #2

Confidence Interval

CONCLUSIONS

Concluding Remarks This is the first empirical analysis of the relationship between regional collaboration and economic growth using a mix of U.S. county and city data Some level of regional collaboration, at least when it comes to tax issues, has positive economic results Additionally, regional competition over tax base and economic development does not help economic outcomes However, city-county collaboration on economic development plans also does not benefit regions

Limitations Collaboration could be viewed as the formation of an oligopolist which could create the same inefficiencies as a monopolist Collaboration is operationalized poorly Functional form poorly specified Many of the variables included seem superfluous and there are important variables I left out I don’t trust the case study method of acquiring an empirical model

Thank You