Guidance document for national employment flash estimates

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Presentation transcript:

Guidance document for national employment flash estimates TF Employment flash estimates Luxembourg, 28-29 March 2017 Item 7

Contents Problem statement Possible content of a guidance document for national employment flash estimates Organisation of the drafting process Alternatives to the guidance document Your opinion TF EMP-FL - 28/29.3.17 - Item 7

1. Problem statement Considering that… The EA/EU employment flash estimate should in principle be based on real data (no modelling) Sufficient and good quality national employment flash estimations are required Some countries are not very experienced in preparing early employment estimates that are based on partial information The problem statement is… Is there a need for a document that provides guidance for preparing national employment flash estimates? TF EMP-FL - 28/29.3.17 - Item 7

2. Possible content of a guidance document for national employment flash estimates Overview of possible sources Source by source description of how to transform source to national accounts estimate Description of indicators that can replace missing data Description of possible models/techniques to estimate missing data (mainly for third month of the quarter) TF EMP-FL - 28/29.3.17 - Item 7

3. Organisation of the drafting process (1) How? Establish a working group consisting of some Task Force members Appoint a coordinator Agree on issues to be addressed in the guidance document Distribute the issues between the members of the working group Combine the contributions to the overall guidance document Final editing of the guidance document TF EMP-FL - 28/29.3.17 - Item 7

3. Organisation of the drafting process (2) When? Guidance document preferably to be finalised by end-2017. Who? Drafting of national estimation techniques to be performed by national experts – you! Eurostat prepared to do the final editing and language check. TF EMP-FL - 28/29.3.17 - Item 7

4. Alternatives to new guidance document Use guidance document GDP flash estimation methods Can probably be used with limited (?) number of adaptations Collect and make available existing documents on national employment flash estimation methods Do they exist? Unsure about content Eurostat/translation service can translate from national language into English TF EMP-FL - 28/29.3.17 - Item 7

5. Your opnion on… The need for a guidance document on the compilation of national employment flash estimates Your willingness to contribute to such a document Existence of documents on national employment flash estimation methods TF EMP-FL - 28/29.3.17 - Item 7

Guidance document for national employment flash estimates TF Employment flash estimates Luxembourg, 28-29 March 2017 Item 7