Kyoto University’s commitment to innovate holistic framework for natural disaster reduction in the Pacific Rim Region By Kazuo Oike President Kyoto University.

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Presentation transcript:

Kyoto University’s commitment to innovate holistic framework for natural disaster reduction in the Pacific Rim Region By Kazuo Oike President Kyoto University Kyoto University’s commitment to innovate holistic framework for natural disaster reduction in the Pacific Rim Region

Japanese Disasters by Mortalities Mortality Eqs & Tsunamis Floods & Land Slides Japan enjoyed many kinds of natural disasters. This picture shows the number of people killed due to natural disasters for each year between 1945 and 2000. As you can see, Floods and land slide due to heavy rain has been the main killers in Japan. Current disaster management system has been establishes in 1961 following the severe damage caused by the 1959 Ise-Bay Typhoon So, Current system is basically designed to reduce the damage due to floods and land slides. You may see it looked like it has been successful in terms of mortality reduction. As far as earthquake disaster is concerned, only 17 damaging Earthquakes occurred for this period. 7 earthquakes killed more than 100 people. Due to tsunami, people were killed in the recent three events in 1960, 1984, and 1993. It was unprepared for the near field earthquake which occurred in 1995 in Kobe. It created a big challenge for disaster community in Japan 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 Year

Kobe Earthquake (1995.1.17) Dead 6,433 Injured 40,071 Damages Housing Units 444,900 Shelters 1,153 Homeless 316,678

Earthquakes Occur at Selected Areas

World seismicity

どのような災害が予想されるのか 1、宝永型の同時発生 2.安政型の数日間隔 3.昭和型の数年間隔

When will the next one occur? 2035 Shimazaki/Nakata,1980 Time Prediction Model Ground Elevation Murotsu, Kochi

Tsunami by Tokai/Tonankai/Nankai Eqs

Tsunami Disasters around the Pacific Rim 出典:日本の地震活動<追補版>

Dec. 26, 2004 By Kenji Satake

What should we do? Regional Tsunami Disaster Risk Assessment Local Tsunami Disaster Risk Assessment Participatory Strategic Planning for Tsunami Disaster Reduction Regional Seismic Risk Assessment Implementation of Countermeasures for Tsunami Disaster Mitigation and Preparedness Structural Measures Informational Measures Educational Measures