Andrea Keenan Assistant Vice President, Economic & Industry Research

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Presentation transcript:

Andrea Keenan Assistant Vice President, Economic & Industry Research XXIII Asamblea Annual de ASSAL Round Table Discussion: Market Developments April 25, 2012 Andrea Keenan Assistant Vice President, Economic & Industry Research

Talking Points Insurance Market Potential Global comparison Aggregate growth drivers Country Risk and Obstacles to Growth How risk assessment is developed Country risk in the region

Economic Growth in Latin America

Premium Growth in Latin America Projection

GDP Per Capita Drives Insurance Market Penetration

GDP Per Capita in Latin America Trendline

Country Risk The risk that country-specific factors could adversely affect an insurer’s ability to pay its financial obligations CRT-1 Economic Risk Macroeconomy Prospects Government Finance Political Risk Business Environment Government Stability Social Stability Legal System Financial System Risk Non-Insurance Insurance Banking System Reporting Standards & Regulation Sovereign Debt Government & Legislation Supervisory Authority Insurer Accountability Lowest Risk CRT-3 Moderate Risk Quick overview CRT-5 Highest Risk

Country Risk in Latin America CRT Argentina 4 Guatemala 5 Bolivia Honduras Brazil 3 Mexico Chile 2 Nicaragua Columbia Panama Costa Rica Peru Ecuador Venezuela El Salvador

Country Risk Relates to Insurance Market Development

Corruption Perceptions Index World Bank Doing Business Political Risks Corruption Perceptions Index (higher score implies less perception of corruption) World Bank Doing Business Rank out of 183 countries

Degree of Government Intervention World Average

For additional information www.ambest.com Andrea Keenan andrea.keenan@ambest.com