Session 4: Projecting the levels of mortality, fertility and migration

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Overview of HIV/AIDS Care and Treatment Country Situation & KATH Lambert T. Appiah Lambert T. Appiah.

Advertisements

Chapter 2-Population 9/15-16/09.

Chapter Two Population.

The Demographic Transition Model (DTM) Mr Elliott SSOT.

Distribution of World Population Growth  Increases and Decreases

Introduction to West Africa

African Country PREZI Project

Introduction to Africa. Create a chart like the one below – 6 Columns, 7 Rows Subregions Countries GDP Per Capita Life Expectancy Infant Mortality Economic.

United Nations Expert Group Meeting on International Standards for Civil Registration and Vital Statistics Systems, June 2011, New York Collection,

November 8th, 2013 A Business Plan for Africa Breakaway Sessions 4: Execution plan by regional clusters Session 3: Central Africa.

Population Geography.

November 8th, 2013 A Business Plan for Africa Breakaway Sessions 4: Execution plan by regional clusters Session 1: West Africa.

SIS Global Issues, Mrs. Hurt, Period 2, 12 th grade.

Session 5: Projecting the age patterns of mortality, fertility and migration Models and exercises.

International Workshop on Population Projections using Census Data 14 – 16 January 2013 Beijing, China.

Demographic Variables. Total live births in a year per 1000 people Highest in Sub-Saharan Africa, Middle East Lowest in Eastern and Western Europe Total.

Splash Screen Contents Africa South of the Sahara Physical Political Gems and Minerals Fast Facts Country Profiles Click on a hyperlink to view the corresponding.

The forgotten continent

Entrance Ticket Name all the continents

SESSION IV Using census data to analyse international migration trends African Institute for Economic Development and Planning (IDEP), Dakar, Senegal,

What factors are involved in population growth?. II. Population Parameters and Processes 1. Total Fertility Rate a. At least a rate of 2.1 births is needed.

International Literacy Day 2015 South African women and girls empowered by literacy program to take their place in society.

2008 Global Hunger Index Klaus von Grebmer International Food Policy Research Institute.

Report on Aid and Stability in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) Prepared for the U.S. State Department Office of Financial Assistance.

African Countries Report Objective: To demonstrate an understanding of the history and culture of an African nation. Activity: Student will choose an African.

Chapter 19 Global Population Projections. Predicting the Future Many attempts using economic forecasting, political forecasting, and forecasting using.

Computer Class – Summer 20091/8/ :32 PM African Countries Algeria Angola Benin Botswana Burkina Faso Burundi Cameroon Cape Verde Central African.

MEASUREMENT OF WEALTH.  1. The GDP can also be known as the Gross Domestic Income per Capita.  2. It can be measured in many different ways.  3. The.

Measuring the population: importance of demographic indicators for gender analysis Workshop Title Location and Date.

Urbanization & Overpopulation BY JASON COUGHLIN, KEVIN TRAVERS, AND LIA DOMENICK.

Chapter 2 Population Key Issue 2: Where Has the World’s Population Increased?

Some interesting facts from The world’s developing countries will be where nearly all future population growth will take place. The greatest percentage.

Global and Regional Perspective on Maternal, Infant & Young Child Nutrition: Overview of Progress and way forward for Sustainable Development Goals Ms.

Demographic Pressures in North Africa: Causes and Consequences.

Chapter 2 Key Issue 2 Chapter 2 Key Issue 2 Where has the world’s population increased?

Urbanization & Overpopulation BY JASON COUGHLIN, KEVIN TRAVERS, AND LIA DOMENICK.

COMPARATIVE POVERTY PROGRESS IN AFRICA, AND CHANGES IN (P.C.) GDP, INCOME, AND INEQUALITY BY COUNTRY African Economic Development, Lecture 2 10 th May.

Demography The Study of Population & Population Issues.

 The characteristics of human populations  Statistics based on population related factors.

Session 4: Projecting the levels of mortality, fertility and migration

Why is World Population Increasing?

POPULATION Population Growth Population Structure Population Policies

List three things you know about Africa.

Map showing where French is the spoken over the world.

Year 8 geography Population..

HIV/AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa July 2002

Population Characteristics Population Part III

Africa Map Review Directions: Use the cursor or mouse button to advance the review. A country will be highlighted. Try to identify the country. The.

Population Characteristics Population Part III

The World Population Growth

Match the answers to the questions

Population Characteristics Population Part III

Intro to AFrica.

Resource mobilization, institutions and structural transformation

Population Geography Geography of Africa.

Dr Paul T Francis, MD Prof. Com Med College of Medicine, Zawia

Key Issue 2: Where Has the World’s Population Increased?

Key Issue #2: Why does development vary by gender?

Reported measles cases, measles coverage for 1st and 2nd doses and supplementary measles activities for the African Continent For 1990 – 2007 Data as of.

Name: _____________________________________________________ Period: ________ Date: _____________ Africa Study Tool.

Human Development Index

Fifty Years of Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

AFRICA’SECURITY SITUATION AND the integration of migration regimes

Session 4: Projecting the levels of mortality, fertility and migration

Countries of Africa.

Where has the world’s population increased?

Population Characteristics Population Part III Unit 1

Session 5: Projecting the age patterns of mortality, fertility and migration Empirical background.

Presentation transcript:

Session 4: Projecting the levels of mortality, fertility and migration Historical trends in life expectancy, fertility and migration

Life expectancy

Africa: Life expectancy

Africa: Life expectancy The five African countries with the highest and the lowest life expectancy, 2005-2010 Rank Country Life expectancy at birth, bot sexes combined 1 Réunion 77.26 2 Mayotte 77.14 3 Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 74.04 4 Tunisia 73.90 5 Cape Verde 73.54 50 Guinea-Bissau 46.76 51 Zimbabwe 46.59 52 Sierra Leone 46.26 53 Lesotho 46.02 54 Central African Republic 45.91 Session 04_Demographic Trends_Presentation.xlsx

Fertility levels

Fertility

Niger TFR naïve estimates Official estimates National Trend 1992 DHS (retrospective birth histories) 1992 DHS P/F ratios (indirect method) 1998 DHS (retrospective birth histories) 1998 DHS P/F ratios (indirect method) 2000 MICS P/F ratios (indirect method) 2001 RGPH P/F ratios (indirect method) 2006 DHS (retrospective birth histories) 2006 DHS P/F ratios (indirect method) 2006 WPP Revision 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 1988 census (births < 12 months) 1992 DHS (births < 3 years) 1998 DHS 2006 DHS/MICS3 (births < 5 years) 2001 census

Niger TFR final estimates Official estimates National Trend 1992 DHS (retrospective birth histories) 1992 DHS P/F ratios (indirect method) 1998 DHS (retrospective birth histories) 1998 DHS P/F ratios (indirect method) 2000 MICS P/F ratios (indirect method) 2001 RGPH P/F ratios (indirect method) 2006 DHS (retrospective birth histories) 2006 DHS P/F ratios (indirect method) 2006 WPP Revision 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 1988 census (births < 12 months) 1992 DHS (births < 3 years) 1998 DHS 2006 DHS/MICS3 (births < 5 years) 2001 census

Africa: Fertility

International migration

Africa: International Migration

Migration rates

Africa: Migration rates

Winners and losers…

South-South migration is as common … North North 55 million 12.6 million 72.7 million 2010 73.6 million South South …as South-North migration Source: United Nations, Population Division/DESA, 2011

Momentum Total population of high - 4.2 1.2 2.1 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 1950 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 Billions Total population of high - fertility countries by variants, 1950 Medium Instant