Stats SA: 1st quarter 2016/17 Presentation to Portfolio Committee Pali Lehohla Statistician-General

Contents Stats SA: 1st quarter 2016/17 Policy, Statistics and Decision-making The Work Programme Financial position of Stats SA Investing in relevance for better decisions

Mandate for Official Statistics Stats SA: 1st quarter 2016/17 Mandate for Official Statistics Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics (United Nations adopted 10 principles) African Charter on Statistics (African Union adopted 6 principles) Statistics Act (Act 6 of 1999) Statistical production Statistical coordination Global Conti-nental National

Policy and Statistics Stats SA: 1st quarter 2016/17 Policy Agenda: SDGs (Sustainable development Goals) Policy Agenda: Vision 2063 (African Integration Agenda: Long term perspective of Africa’s development) Policy Agenda: NDP & MTSF (National Development Plan: Long-term perspective of SA’s development) Global Conti-nental National

Policy, Statistics and Decision-making Stats SA: 1st quarter 2016/17 Policy, Statistics and Decision-making Policy research Citizenry Cabinet Who measures impact? Who determines what has to be measured? Stats SA Stats SA Other state institutions Planning, implementation, monitoring and evaluation systems NDP Emerging data needs Who defines what has to be measured? Who measures outputs and outcomes? Data revolution MTSF Cabinet State institutions Who determines outcomes? Who determines what inputs & outputs? Who measures inputs & outputs Stats SA Stats SA

Policy, Statistics and Decision-making Stats SA: 1st quarter 2016/17 Policy, Statistics and Decision-making For USE in Planning (baseline information for NDP) Monitoring and Evaluation (measuring development & impact) Policy development (rationale for better policies) Decision-making (decision-making in government, business & the public)

Strategic context & intent The Work Programmme Strategic context & intent Measuring the Economy Measuring Society

Changing external environment Growing policy agendas Changing user demand Are we a capable organisation that can respond Integrative power of location-based data Rapid advancement in technology New data ecosystem DATA EXPLOSION

Where do we come from? Beyond 2020 Phase 6 Mergers, networks Extra-organizational solutions Environmental change People disoriented and disenfranchised, 'active inertia' tends to pull managers back to following established patterns of behaviour Growth through alliances

Delivery of key projects Community Survey CS results launched in June GDP(E) Delivered in June Integrative planning tools Tools developed New Building Moved in August Digital work place CSS and CS Reweighting CPI January Legislative reform In progress

S T A R T Strategic intent: Use at the centre Statistics Transparency are numerical facts for statecraft Statistics T a pre-audit to ensure predictability Transparency A taking responsibility and accepting consequences Accountability R allow parties to read the same facts Results T is action in unison to drive change for the better Transformation Outcome: Use of evidence in planning, policy, M&E and decision-making 57

What do we want to achieve National Development Plan IDP DGDP PGDP MTSF (Sector plans) Regional (SADC) Agenda 2063 SDG Integrated indicator framework at the centre

How: Integration by Design User needs Integrate planning Integrate content design Integrate disse-mination Integrated products Modernise & integrate business process Getting the basic statistics right Integrated indicator framework Embed statistics in planning, M&E systems and policy processes

Strategy implementation 2 1 re-engineer Integration align demand, method, output by design 5 rationalise Align staff to priorities 3 4 modernise geospatial go digital link to location

GDP Prices Employment Measuring the Economy Manufacturing Trade Finances Provincial spending GDP Forestry Services Employment Consumer Price Index Producer price Index Primary Sector Prices Mining Transport sector Government Communication Wholesale Trade The United Nations principles state official statistics are produced: As public information which is relevant, impartial and accessible. With professional standards and ethics. Using accountable and transparent methods and procedures. Ensuring misuse and erroneous interpretation is prevented. In a cost-effective manner. With all individual data as confidential Within required statistical system legislation. With coordination nationally among producers. Using international standards, concepts, classifications, methods. Where international cooperation is fostered. Buildings Electricity Agriculture Statistical Reports: 247

Poverty Population Labour Measuring Society Health CRIME Housing Gender Education Population Deaths Marriages Births Divorces Labour Youth unemployment Single headed households Poverty CRIME Access to Water The United Nations principles state official statistics are produced: As public information which is relevant, impartial and accessible. With professional standards and ethics. Using accountable and transparent methods and procedures. Ensuring misuse and erroneous interpretation is prevented. In a cost-effective manner. With all individual data as confidential Within required statistical system legislation. With coordination nationally among producers. Using international standards, concepts, classifications, methods. Where international cooperation is fostered. Causes of death Vulnerable groups Access to Electricity Access to Transport Statistical Reports: 69 52

The Work Programmme Financial position Stats SA at risk Looking ahead

Position of Stats SA Financial R100 million R143 million R147 million Cost cutting measures introduced as early as 2008/09 Savings from CoE: used to fund mission critical priorities including GDP(e), IES/LCS, Master sample etc Financial Position of Stats SA 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 CoE: R123 mil G&S: R16 mil Cap: R3 mil CoE: R180 mil G&S: R19 mil Cap: R3 mil CoE: R196 mil G&S: R24 mil Cap: R3 mil R141 million R201 million R224 million ENE: Total cut Projected overspend on “warm bodies” Stats SA will need to reduce “warm bodies” Stats SA will need to reduce “warm bodies” R100 million R143 million R147 million Projected overspend R70m once off

Financial Position of Stats SA 9% 13% 13% 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 ENE allocation R2 146.3 billion R2 248.8 billion R2 309.1 billion Financial Position of Stats SA CoE: R123 mil G&S: R16 mil Cap: R3 mil Total: R141 mil CoE: R180 mil G&S: R19 mil Cap: R3 mil Total: R201 mil CoE: R196 mil G&S: R24 mil Cap: R3 mil Total: R224 mil ENE cut CoE allocation R1 352.2 billion R1 428.5 billion 1 444.9 billion 9% 13% 13% % cut in CoE 10,9% Used vacancies to appoint contract staff for increase in household survey sample Vacancy rate as at 31/03/2017

Stats SA at Risk Warm bodies not affordable Cannot fill critical vacancies Key indicators will be affected GDP, CPI & SEEA Quality of basic statistics weakens over time – response rates, timeliness Risk measurement of NDP & MTSF Discontinue certain statistical products Adverse impact on planning, policy decisions, measuring impact and International comparability

Looking Ahead Secure financial position Legislative reform Getting the basic statistics right Invest in modernisation & innovation Integrated indicator framework for SA Value-added products for increased relevance

P P P Thank You Planet People Prosperity Information about the environment Planet P Information about people and society People P Information about the economy Prosperity 58