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Presentation transcript:

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Main Idea and Vocabulary Example 1: Theoretical and Experimental Probability Example 2: Theoretical and Experimental Probability Example 3: Real-World Example Example 4: Use Probability to Predict Lesson Menu

experimental probability Find experimental and theoretical probabilities and use them to make predictions. experimental probability theoretical probability Main Idea/Vocabulary

Theoretical and Experimental Probability Nikki is conducting an experiment to find the probability of getting various results when three coins are tossed. The results of her experiment are given below. What is the theoretical probability of tossing all heads on the next turn? Answer: Example 1

Marcus is conducting an experiment to find the probability of getting various results when four coins are tossed. The results of his experiment are given below. What is the theoretical probability of tossing all tails on the next turn? A. B. C. D. Example 1

Theoretical and Experimental Probability Nikki is conducting an experiment to find the probability of getting various results when three coins are tossed. The results of her experiment are given below. According to the experimental probability, is Nikki more likely to get all heads or no heads on her next toss? Example 2

Theoretical and Experimental Probability Examine the table. Out of 80 trials, flipping all heads occurred 6 times, and flipping no heads occurred 12 times. So, the experimental probability of flipping all heads is or . And the experimental probability of flipping no heads is Answer: Nikki is more likely to get no heads on her next toss. Example 2

Marcus is conducting an experiment to find the probability of getting various results when four coins are tossed. The results of his experiment are given below. According to the experimental probability, is Marcus more likely to get all heads or no heads on his next toss? A. all heads B. no heads Example 2

MARKETING Eight hundred adults were asked whether they were planning to stay home for winter vacation. Of those surveyed, 560 said that they were. What is the experimental probability that an adult planned to stay home for winter vacation? There were 800 people surveyed and 560 said that they were staying home. Answer: Example 3

MARKETING Five hundred adults were asked whether they were planning to stay home for New Year’s Eve. Of those surveyed, 300 said that they were. What is the experimental probability that an adult planned to stay home for New Year’s Eve? A. B. C. D. Example 3

Use Probability to Predict MATH TEAM Over the past three years, the probability that the school math team would win a meet is Is this probability experimental or theoretical? If the team wants to win 12 more meets in the next 3 years, how many meets should the team enter? This problem can be solved using a proportion. 3 out of 5 meets were wins 12 out of x meets should be wins. Solve the proportion. Example 4

Use Probability to Predict Write the proportion. Find the cross products. Multiply. Divide each side by 3. Answer: This is an experimental probability since it is based on actual results. They should enter 20 meets. Example 4

A. SPEECH AND DEBATE Over the past three years, the probability that the school speech and debate team would win a meet is Is this probability experimental or theoretical? A. experimental B. theoretical Example 4

B. SPEECH AND DEBATE Over the past three years, the probability that the school speech and debate team would win a meet is If the team wants to win 20 more meets in the next 3 years, how many meets should the team enter? A. 16 meets B. 18 meets C. 20 meets D. 25 meets Example 4

End of the Lesson