(S)OCTA Michel QUILLÉ Deputy Director Europol Centre for the Study of Democracy Sofia, Bulgaria – 3 April 2012 Europol Unclassified - Basic Protection level / Europol Public Information

2 Subjects to be discussed: 1. The OCTA 2011: 8 priorities 2. The future: SOCTA 2013

OCTA 2011 Europol Unclassified - Basic Protection level / Europol Public Information

4 Council Conclusions November 2010 on the creation of an EU Policy Cycle Policy cycle for serious international and organised crime: 4 steps 1.Policy development based upon EU-SOCTA (European Union Serious and Organised Crime Threat Assessment); 2.Policy setting and decision making by the Council. Each priority a MASP (Multi-Annual Strategic Plan); 3.Implementation and monitoring of OAP (Operational Action Plans= EMPACT); 4.Evaluation and input next intelligence cycle

5 OCTA 2011: 2 year cycle The implementation of an initial and reduced 2 year policy cycle 2011 – 2013 on the basis of OCTA-2011  OCTA 2011  Executive summary including conclusions and a list of recommended crime priorities The implementation of a 4 year policy cycle 2013 – 2017 on the basis of EU-SOCTA 2013

6 March 2011 OCTA 2011 October 2011 Strategic objectives January 2012 Operational Action Plans/ EMPACT 2012 January 2013 Operational Action Plans/ EMPACT 2013 HUNGARYDENMARKPOLANDCYPRUSBELGIUMIRELAND

7 What does it really mean? Threat (SOCTA) Crime hurts society Political aspiration / priority (COUNCIL) To have a society safe from crime (which?) Strategic goals (COSI) Less crime, jailed criminals, stronger society Operational activities (OAP, EMPACT) Improved cooperation, focussed targeting, intensified coordinated actions Evaluation (Commission)

8 OCTA 2011: 8 Political priorities Weaken the capacity of organised crime groups active or based in West Africa to traffic cocaine and heroin to and within the EU; Mitigate the role of the Western Balkans, as a key transit and storage zone for illicit commodities destined for the EU and logistical centre for organised crime groups, including Albanian-speaking organised crime groups; Weaken the capacity of organised crime groups to facilitate illegal immigration to the EU, particularly via southern, south-eastern and eastern Europe and notably at the Greek-Turkish border and in crisis areas of the Mediterranean close to North Africa; Reduce the production and distribution in the EU of synthetic drugs, including new psychoactive substances; Disrupt the trafficking to the EU, particularly in container form, of illicit commodities, including cocaine, heroin, cannabis, counterfeit goods and cigarettes; Combat against all forms of trafficking in human beings and human smuggling by targeting the organised crime groups conducting such criminal activities in particular at the southern, south-western and south- eastern criminal hubs in the EU; Reduce the general capabilities of mobile (itinerant) organised crime groups to engage in criminal activities; Step up the fight against cybercrime and the criminal misuse of the internet by organised crime groups.

9 Implementation ACTION PLANS  From 1 st January 2012  Key role of “Driver”  EU funding  Europol support (Co-Driver)  Support Unit at Europol (EMPACT Support Group)

10 EMPACT: Involvement Bulgaria  Illegal immigration  Trafficking in human beings  Mobile (itinerant) groups  Cybercrime

SOCTA 2013 Europol Unclassified - Basic Protection level / Europol Public Information

12 SOCTA  Council: the SOCTA must provide a complete and thorough assessment of criminal threats impacting on the EU, both regional and pan-European;  New methodology to be developed under the leadership of Europol on the basis of customer requirements endorsed by COSI and in close cooperation with the relevant experts;  First SOCTA to be delivered in 2013 for the purpose of the international and organised crime policy cycle 2013 – 2017;  In 2015 an interim SOCTA will be produced.

13 Thank you Overview Planning

14 SOCTA New Methodology  Developed by Europol in cooperation with MS + third partners (5 Workshops Nov 2011 – April 2012)  Broader scope  Academic input  - Final meeting April 2011  Endorsement COSI level June  Methodology: Public document (Sept 2012)

Thank you