Business Tendency Survey in Ukraine State Statistics Service of Ukraine Olena Kolpakova, Deputy Director of the Department for Structural Statistics and Statistics of Business Finance – Head of the Unit for Business Tendency Survey of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine

Purpose of the Activity (mission 6.1):  assessment of compliance of Ukrainian BTS with the European requirements;  assessment of adequacy of the informational base upon the results of Ukrainian BTS for further computation of Forward-looking indicators (FLIs)) State Statistics Service of Ukraine

Division for Statistics of Business Finance (8 persons) Division for Structural Business Surveys (8 persons) Division for Complex Work (7 persons) Division for Business tendency surveys ( 5 persons)

State Statistics Service of Ukraine List of documents to form the basis for BTS in Ukraine The Joint Harmonised EU Programme of Business and Consumer Surveys: User Guide. — Brussels: European Commission, Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs, Business Tendency Surveys: A Handbook. — Paris : OECD, 2003.

Main characteristics of Ukrainian BTS :  frequency: quarterly  by degree of unit coverage: not total sample survey  BTS unit: enterprise  BTS respondent: legal entity  BTS territorial coverage: all regions of Ukraine  agencies involved in BTS: State Statistics Service of Ukraine, local offices of state statistics, Scientific and Technical Complex for Statistical Research  National classifications used in BTS: - Classification of institutional sectors of economy (КІSЕ) - Classification of legal forms of business (KOPFG) - Classification of units of administrative and territorial structure of Ukraine (КОАТUU) - Classification of economic activities (КVED-2010) harmonised with NACE Rev.2 (before 2013 – KVED-2005 harmonised with NACE Rev.1.1) State Statistics Service of Ukraine

BTS coverage  Ukrainian BTS cover enterprises from 6 economic sectors: State Statistics Service of Ukraine In compliance with EU requirements Transport KVED-2010: 49.10–49.42, 50.10–51.21 Agriculture KVED-2010: 01.11–01.50 National specifics Industry KVED-2010: 05.10–35.13, 35.21, 35.22, 35.30–39.00 Construction KVED-2010: 41.10–43.99 Retail trade KVED-2010: 45.11–45.40, 47.11–47.99  Statistical units refer to institutional sectors of economy by КІSЕ: S.11 “Non-financial corporationsї" S.12 “Financial corporations" Services KVED-2010: non-financial services – 52.10–53.20, 55.10–63.99, 68.10–82.99, 90.01–93.29, 95.11–96.09 financial services (from 2013) – 64.19–66.30

State Statistics Service of Ukraine Generation of the BTS units population Statistical Business Register (as of 15.11) General population of units (sampling frame) by economic activities (as of 2014) Industry enterprises, including: large – 391 medium – 5679 small, micro – Construction enterprises, including: large – 12 medium – 1329 small, micro – Retail trade enterprises, including: large – 91 medium – 1273 small, micro – Services enterprises, including: large – 62 medium, banks – 4717 small, micro – Transport 6602 enterprises, including: large – 12 medium – 671 small, micro – 5919 Agriculture enterprises, including: large – 24 medium – 2549 small, micro – enterprises, including: large – 391 medium – 1032 small, micro – enterprises, including: large – 12 medium – 636 small, micro – enterprises including: large – 91 medium – 531 small, micro – enterprises, including: large – 62 medium, banks – 829 small, micro – enterprises, including: large – 12; medium – 338; small, micro – enterprises, including: large– 24; medium – 815; small, micro – 66 Additionally: data of banks’ financial accounting (website of the National Bank of Ukraine) Sampling populations of BTS units by economic activities (2014)

State Statistics Service of Ukraine Generation of the BTS units population (2) General population of units (sampling frame) Large enterprises (average number of employees >250 persons, annual income > EUR 50 million) Micro enterprises (average number of employees  10 persons, annual income  EUR 2 million) Small enterprises (average number of employees  50 persons, annual income  EUR 10 million) A Medium enterprises (other business entities) Banks Surveyed on the total basis Compilation of sample design (stratification of unit population, strata merging) Selection of units (by simple random sampling) Sampling population of BTS units Calculation of the number of units in strata (target attribute - indicator “Output of sold products (goods, services)“)

State Statistics Service of Ukraine Generation of the BTS units population (3) Criteria for stratification of units population: 1) territorial belonging of enterprises: - 27 groups per each sector of economy; 2) main economic activity based on КVED-2010 (NACE Rev.2 ): - industry – 34 groupings at the level of division КVED; - construction – 3 groupings at the level of division КVED; - retail trade – 13 groupings at the level of group КVED; - services – 33 groupings at the level of division KVED; - transport – 3 groupings at the level of division KVED; - agriculture – 5 groupings at the level of group КVED; 3) size of enterprises: - micro and small enterprises; - medium enterprises and banks.

State Statistics Service of Ukraine Generation of the BTS units population (4) Criteria of generation of sampling populations of units: 1) total share of the sampling population shall not go beyond 5% of the general population of units; 2) provision of total amounts of sold products (goods, services) in Ukraine on the whole for: – industry – retail trade – transport – services – construction – agriculture at least 50% around 40%

State Statistics Service of Ukraine Number of selected units from the sample frame and their share by the output of sold products (goods, services) Number of selected units Share of sold products (goods, services) of selected units in the total sales of a relevant economic activity, % Total, units in % to the total number of enterprises of a relevant economic activity Industry Construction Retail trade Services including: non-financial services financial services Transport Agriculture Total Generation of the BTS units population (5)

State Statistics Service of Ukraine BTS Toolkit NBTS form titleForm indexFrequency Number of questions total including harmonised questions (envisaged by the Joint Harmonised EU Programme) 1. Questionnaire for industrial enterprises No. 2К–Pquarterly Questionnaire for construction enterprises No. 2К–Bquarterly Questionnaire for enterprises of retail trade, maintenance and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, wholesale trade in parts and accessories for motor vehicles No. 2К–Тquarterly Questionnaire for enterprises in the service sector: No. 2К–SPquarterly - nonfinancial services financial services Questionnaire for transport enterprises No. 2К–Тrquarterly Questionnaire for agricultural enterprises No. 2К–Squarterly58– 7. Questionnaire for industrial enterprises (annex) No. 2К–P annexonce a year7–

State Statistics Service of Ukraine BTS Calendar, BTS for QIBTS for QIIBTS for QIIIBTS for QIV ХІІІІІІІІІVVVІVІІVІІІІХХХІХІІ List of active enterprises based on the Statistical Business Register06.12 Generation of sampling populations of BTS units for Sending of approved sampling populations of BTS units for 2014 to local state statistical offices (LSSO)31.12 Revision and approval of BTS questionnaire forms, sending their e- copies to LSSO Preparation of analytical materials covering the last quarter for respondents and sending their e-copies to LSSO Printing out BTS questionnaire by regional offices of forms for the reporting quarter, analytical materials for the previous quarter and delivering them to respondents Software update Filing of BTS questionnaires by respondents Entering and control of reported data by regional offices Control of reported data, generation and analysis of output information at the national level Publishing information at the SSSU website

State Statistics Service of Ukraine Users of BTS information  economists, analysts, researchers;  survey respondents;  top managers (officials);  business managers;  mass media;  broad public.

Thank you! State Statistics Service of Ukraine