Living with a Rising Bay: Vulnerability and Adaptation in San Francisco Bay and on its Shoreline San Francisco Bay Conservation and Development Commission

Process April First Recommendation May 7, June _ and July 16 Public Hearings September Three Public Workshops October 2009-Second Recommendation November 5, 2009 Public Hearing December 3, 2009 Public Workshop Meet with Interested Parties September 3, 2010 – Third Recommendation October 7, 2010 Public Hearing Prior Meetings and Workshops Public Engagement Since Last Meeting

Update Baylands Goals With Targets Reflecting Projected Sea Level Rise Promote Sediment Management, Research & Monitoring

Restore Wetlands and Manage Sediments

Temperature and Sea Level Three Emissions Scenarios: Lower, Medium-High, Higher Source: California Climate Action Team Report 2006 Source: Cayan, D.B., P.D. Bromirski, K. Hayhoe, M. Tyree, M.D. Dettinger, R.E. Flick “Climate Change Projections of Sea Level Extremes Along the California Coast.” Climatic Change 87

Area subject to high tide with 16 inches of sea level rise Current 100- year flood plain Today’s Flood is Tomorrow’s High Tide

Findings: Define Terms  Resilient  Adaptive Capacity  Risk (Likelihood and Consequence)  Mitigation  Adaptation  Innovative Adaptation  Adaptive Management  Sustainability  Infill Development

Specific Vulnerabilities 16” SLR 55” SLR Ports Airports

Photo Courtesy Ingrid Taylor

Small Projects No Public Safety Risks

Multiple Jurisdictions

Risk Assessments

Protect the Bay

Safety of Fills

Public Access

Thank you Joe LaClair Commission Presentation October 7, 2010