2016 Super Tuesday Cheat Sheets Timing, Delegates, and What to Watch For March 1, 2016 Producer: Katharine Conlon and Justin Brown Director: Afzal Bari

SUPER TUESDAY CHEAT-SHEETPRESENTATION CENTER Trump and Cruz Battle for the Conservative Vote in Alabama March 1, 2016 | Katharine Conlon Timing The polls open from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. EST Delegates Republicans have 50 delegates allocated proportionally at the statewide and congressional district level. Candidates must reach a threshold of 20% to win a delegate. What to Watch For Donald Trump and Ted Cruz will battle for the conservative vote in the northern part of the state, while Marco Rubio will need to post strong margins in the areas surrounding Birmingham, Montgomery, and Mobile to be competitive. Alabama Republican Presidential Caucuses Adam Wollner and Zach Montellaro, “2016 South Carolina Democratic Primary Cheat Sheet,” National Journal, February 25, Timing The polls open from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. EST Delegates Democrats have 53 pledged delegates and 7 superdelegates. What to Watch For More than half of 2008 Democratic primary voters were black, so Hillary Clinton should be able to avoid repeating her loss from eight years ago. Alabama Democratic Presidential Caucuses

SUPER TUESDAY CHEAT-SHEETPRESENTATION CENTER Despite Small Population, Alaska Receives 28 Delegates Due to its Strong History Supporting GOP Candidates March 1, 2016 | Katharine Conlon Timing The polls open 7 p.m. to midnight EST Delegates Republicans have 28 delegates allocated proportionally at the statewide and congressional district level. Candidates must reach a threshold of 13% to win a delegate. What to Watch For Just one candidate from either party, Rand Paul, paid a visit this cycle. Mitt Romney won the past two caucuses. Alaska Republican Presidential Caucuses Adam Wollner and Zach Montellaro, “2016 South Carolina Democratic Primary Cheat Sheet,” National Journal, February 25, Alaska’s Democratic Caucuses take place on March 26, 2016.

SUPER TUESDAY CHEAT-SHEETPRESENTATION CENTER American Samoa Republicans Do Not Have a Preference Poll, Delegates are Sent to the Convention Unbound March 1, 2016 | Katharine Conlon Timing The polls open 3 p.m. to midnight EST Delegates Republicans have 9 unbound delegates. What to Watch For The GOP does not hold a preference poll, so the delegates aren’t pledged to a specific candidate heading into the convention. American Samoa Presidential Caucuses Adam Wollner and Zach Montellaro, “2016 South Carolina Democratic Primary Cheat Sheet,” National Journal, February 25, Timing The polls open 3 p.m. to midnight EST Delegates Democrats have 6 pledged delegates and 4 superdelegates. What to Watch For In 2008, about 400 Democrats caucused and delivered a victory for Hillary Clinton. American Samoa Presidential Caucuses

SUPER TUESDAY CHEAT-SHEETPRESENTATION CENTER Clinton Expected to Win in Her Adopted Home State, Arkansas March 1, 2016 | Katharine Conlon Timing The polls open from 8:30 a.m. to 8:30 p.m. EST Delegates Republicans have 40 delegates allocated proportionally at the statewide (15% threshold) and congressional district level (no threshold). What to Watch For Keep an eye on the state’s most populous counties—Pulaski, Benton, and Washington—for an idea of how the GOP race is shaping up. Arkansas Republican Presidential Primary Adam Wollner and Zach Montellaro, “2016 South Carolina Democratic Primary Cheat Sheet,” National Journal, February 25, Timing The polls open from 8:30 a.m. to 8:30 p.m. EST Delegates Democrats have 32 pledged delegates and 5 superdelegates. What to Watch For As the former first lady of Arkansas, Clinton is expected to cruise to victory. Arkansas Democratic Presidential Primary

SUPER TUESDAY CHEAT-SHEETPRESENTATION CENTER Colorado Republicans Broke Away from Recent Traditions in Response to National GOP Rules March 1, 2016 | Katharine Conlon Timing The caucuses begin at 9 p.m. EST Delegates Republicans have 37 delegates bound to a candidate only by their declared intend to support. What to Watch For The GOP is not holding a presidential preference poll this time around. Colorado Republican Presidential Caucuses Adam Wollner and Zach Montellaro, “2016 South Carolina Democratic Primary Cheat Sheet,” National Journal, February 25, 2016; Associate Press,” Both Dems, GOP Expect Smaller Crowds in Colorado Caucuses,” 9News, March 1, Timing The caucuses begin at 9 p.m. EST Delegates Democrats have 66 pledged delegates and 13 superdelegates. What to Watch For This is one of Sanders’s better opportunities to put a win on the board Tuesday thanks to a whiter and younger electorate. Colorado Democratic Presidential Caucuses

SUPER TUESDAY CHEAT-SHEETPRESENTATION CENTER African-Americans and Evangelical Christians Dominate the Primary Process in Georgia March 1, 2016 | Katharine Conlon Timing The polls open from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. EST Delegates Republicans have 76 delegates allocated proportionally at the statewide (20% threshold) and congressional district level (no threshold). What to Watch For Gwinnett, Cobb, and Fulton counties in the Atlanta suburbs together account for roughly one in four votes in GOP primaries. Georgia Republican Presidential Primary Adam Wollner and Zach Montellaro, “2016 South Carolina Democratic Primary Cheat Sheet,” National Journal, February 25, 2016; John McCarthy, “Polls Show Trump, Clinton Have the Edge in Georgia,” USA Today, February 29, Timing The polls open from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. EST Delegates Democrats have 102 pledged delegates and 14 superdelegates. What to Watch For Black voters make up more than half of the Democratic primary electorate in 2008, making Georgia favorable terrain for Clinton. Georgia Democratic Presidential Primary

SUPER TUESDAY CHEAT-SHEETPRESENTATION CENTER Outlook for Trump in Massachusetts is Positive Due to Support of Working-Class Voters March 1, 2016 | Katharine Conlon Timing Most polls open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. EST Delegates Republicans have 42 delegates allocated proportionally at the statewide and congressional district level. Candidates must reach a threshold of 5% to win a delegate. What to Watch For Even in this blue state, Trump enters as a heavy favorite thanks to his support among working-class voters. Rubio and Kasich could gain some ground in the more liberal western part of the state. Massachusetts Republican Presidential Primary Adam Wollner and Zach Montellaro, “2016 South Carolina Democratic Primary Cheat Sheet,” National Journal, February 25, Timing Most polls open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. EST Delegates Democrats have 91 pledged delegates and 25 superdelegates. What to Watch For The race appears to be a toss-up on the Democratic side. Keep an eye on Middlesex County, home to the most votes for both parties in recent primaries. Massachusetts Democratic Presidential Primary

SUPER TUESDAY CHEAT-SHEETPRESENTATION CENTER Minnesota May Deviate From Frontrunners With Rubio and Sanders Expecting Wins March 1, 2016 | Justin Brown Timing The caucuses begin at 8 p.m. EST Delegates Republicans have 38 delegates allocated proportionally at the statewide and congressional district level. Candidates must reach a threshold of 10% to win a delegate. What to Watch For Rubio has expressed high hopes for Minnesota and has focused on the suburbs surrounding the Twin Cities. Minnesota Republican Presidential Caucuses Timing The caucuses begin at 8 p.m. EST Delegates Democrats have 77 pledged delegates and 16 superdelegates. What to Watch For Sanders has identified Minnesota as one of his stronger states for Tuesday, targeting the Twin Cities, particularly its college students. Minnesota Democratic Presidential Caucuses Adam Wollner, Zach Montellaro and Karyn Bruggeman, “2016 Super Tuesday Cheat Sheet,” National Journal, February 29, 2016.

PRESENTATION CENTER Trump Leads While Cruz Hopes to Upset in Oklahoma, Democratic Primary In Dead Heat March 1, 2016 | Justin Brown Timing Polls open at 8 a.m. and close at 8 p.m. EST. Delegates Republicans have 43 delegates allocated proportionally at the statewide and congressional district level. Candidates must reach a threshold of 15% to win a delegate. What to Watch For Cruz will need to run well in the northeastern part of the state to stand a chance. Oklahoma Republican Presidential Primary Timing Polls open at 8 a.m. and close at 8 p.m. EST. Delegates Democrats have 38 pledged delegates and 4 superdelegates. What to Watch For This could be one of the closer Democratic races in the South, however about half of the state’s voters younger than 34 are Republicans which could be a potential problem for Sanders. Oklahoma Democratic Presidential Primary SUPER TUESDAY CHEAT-SHEET Adam Wollner, Zach Montellaro and Karyn Bruggeman, “2016 Super Tuesday Cheat Sheet,” National Journal, February 29, 2016.

PRESENTATION CENTER Evangelical Voters a Focus for GOP in Tennessee, Clinton Hopes to Lean on African American Democrats March 1, 2016 | Justin Brown Timing Polling place must be open for at least 10 hours but no longer than 13. All must close at 8p ET/7p CT. Delegates Republicans have 58 delegates allocated proportionally at the statewide and congressional district level. Candidates must reach a threshold of 20% to win a delegate. What to Watch For Tennessee has the highest percentage of evangelical voters of any Super Tuesday state. Rubio will need to run well in the Nashville area to keep close to Trump and Cruz. Tennessee Republican Presidential Primary Timing Polling place must be open for at least 10 hours but no longer than 13. All must close at 8p ET/7p CT. Delegates Democrats have 67 pledged delegates and 9 superdelegates. What to Watch For Black voters made up a sizable share of the 2008 Democratic primary vote so Clinton is on track for a repeat victory. Tennessee Democratic Presidential Primary SUPER TUESDAY CHEAT-SHEET Adam Wollner, Zach Montellaro and Karyn Bruggeman, “2016 Super Tuesday Cheat Sheet,” National Journal, February 29, 2016.

PRESENTATION CENTER Cruz Enters Texas as Favorite But Race Should Be Tight, Clinton Looks to Repeat Strong 2008 Performance Timing Most are open from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. EST but those in the Mountain Time Zone won’t close until 9 p.m. EST Delegates Republicans have 155 delegates allocated proportionally at the statewide and congressional district level. Candidates must reach a threshold of 20% to win a delegate. What to Watch For Cruz enters his home state’s primary as a slight favorite. He needs to run up his margins in the Houston area to stay ahead. Texas Republican Presidential Primary Timing Most are open from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. EST but those in the Mountain Time Zone won’t close until 9 p.m. EST Delegates Democrats have 222 pledged delegates and 30 superdelegates. What to Watch For Clinton looks to repeat strong 2008 performances in south Texas and the Rio Grande Valley. Texas Democratic Presidential Primary March 1, 2016 | Justin Brown SUPER TUESDAY CHEAT-SHEET Adam Wollner, Zach Montellaro and Karyn Bruggeman, “2016 Super Tuesday Cheat Sheet,” National Journal, February 29, 2016.

PRESENTATION CENTER Trump May Spoil Kasich’s Hopes For Vermont, Easy Win Expected for Sanders Timing Voting beings between 5 and 10 a.m. depending on the town. All polls close at 7 p.m. EST Delegates Republicans have 16 delegates allocated proportionally at the statewide and congressional district level. Candidates must reach a threshold of 20% to win a delegate. What to Watch For Kasich had his sights set on Vermont, but Trump is still the front-runner here. Keep an eye on Chittenden county, the most populous county in the state. Vermont Republican Presidential Primary Timing Voting beings between 5 and 10 a.m. depending on the town. All polls close at 7 p.m. EST Delegates Democrats have 16 pledged delegates and 10 superdelegates. What to Watch For Sanders is expected to score an easy win in his home state. Clinton didn’t bother to visit this election cycle. Vermont Democratic Presidential Primary March 1, 2016 | Justin Brown SUPER TUESDAY CHEAT-SHEET Adam Wollner, Zach Montellaro and Karyn Bruggeman, “2016 Super Tuesday Cheat Sheet,” National Journal, February 29, 2016.

PRESENTATION CENTER Rubio Hopes to Best Trump and Cruz in Northern Virginia, Hillary Relies On African American Voters Timing Polls open at 6 a.m. and close at 7 p.m. EST. Delegates Republicans have 49 delegates allocated proportionally at the statewide and congressional district level with no threshold. What to Watch For Rubio would need to run up the score in northern Virginia counties of Loudon, Prince William and Fairfax if he hopes to pull off an upset. Trump and Cruz will compete for votes in the more conservative south and west. Virginia Republican Presidential Primary Timing Polls open at 6 a.m. and close at 7 p.m. EST. Delegates Democrats have 95 pledged delegates and 15 superdelegates. What to Watch For Clinton will rely on the black vote which accounted for 30 percent of the 2008 primary electorate. Virginia Democratic Presidential Primary March 1, 2016 | Justin Brown SUPER TUESDAY CHEAT-SHEET Adam Wollner, Zach Montellaro and Karyn Bruggeman, “2016 Super Tuesday Cheat Sheet,” National Journal, February 29, 2016.

PRESENTATION CENTER Wyoming Does Not Have a Presidential Preference Poll, GOP Delegates Are Sent to the Convention Unbound Timing Precinct start and end at different times depending on the location. Delegates Republicans have 29 unbound delegates. What to Watch For Since there isn’t a preference poll, delegates are sent to the convention unpledged to any candidate. Wyoming Republican Presidential Caucuses March 1, 2016 | Justin Brown SUPER TUESDAY CHEAT-SHEET Adam Wollner, Zach Montellaro and Karyn Bruggeman, “2016 Super Tuesday Cheat Sheet,” National Journal, February 29, Wyoming’s Democratic Caucuses take place on April 9, 2016.