US Demographics in the New Century: Diversity but not a Melting Pot William H. Frey Milken Institute & University of Michigan

Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census Fastest Growing,

Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census Immigrant Magnet States

Selected New Sunbelt and Old Sunbelt States Growth 1980s and 1990s 80s 90s Nevada Colorado Georgia Florida Texas California Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census

New Sunbelt, Immigrant Magnet, and Heartland States New Sunbelt Immigrant Magnets Heartland States

10 “Classic” Immigrant Magnet Metros Immigrants 1. New York ,408, Los Angeles ,257, San Francisco , Miami , Chicago , Washington , Houston , Dallas-Fort , San Diego , Boston ,634 Source: William Frey. University of Michigan & Milken Institute

Domestic Migrant Magnet Metros Net Migration 1. Atlanta , Phoenix , Las Vegas , Dallas , Denver , Portland, OR , Austin , Orlando , Tampa , Charlotte ,320 Source: William Frey. University of Michigan & Milken Institute

Demographic Components, 1990s Source: William Frey. University of Michigan & Milken Institute California New York Texas ImmigrationDomestic MigrationNatural Increase

Demographic Components, 1990s Source: William Frey. University of Michigan & Milken Institute ColoradoGeorgiaPennsylvania ImmigrationDomestic MigrationNatural Increase

Population Dynamics in the 1990s Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census

10 “Classic” Immigrant Magnet Metros Are Home to 30% of Total Population 65% of 1990s Immigration 54% of Hispanic Population 57% of Asian Population Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census

Greatest Hispanic Gainers 1. Los Angeles 1,819, New York 992, Chicago 600, Dallas 594, Houston 575, Miami 501,543 Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census

Up- and Coming Hispanic Growth Magnets % Growth 1. Greensboro Charlotte Raleigh Atlanta Las Vegas Portland, OR Orlando Minn -St. Paul Reno Grand Rapids Salt Lake City Populations > 50,000 Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census

Hispanic Concentration 2000 Source: William H Frey, Milken Institute

1990 – 2000 Greatest Asian Gainers 1. New York710, Los Angeles611, San Francisco554,326 Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census

Up- and Coming Asian Growth Magnets % Growth 1. Las Vegas Atlanta Austin Orlando Tampa Phoenix Dallas Portland OR Minn. - St. Paul Denver Miami Populations > 50,000 Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census

Asian Concentration 2000 Source: William H Frey, Milken Institute

Greatest Black Gainers 1. Los Angeles459, New York450, Washington DC358, Miami241, Chicago181, Dallas176, Philadelphia162, Houston142,304 Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census

Major Black Growth Centers % Growth 1. Orlando Atlanta Miami Tampa Charlotte Columbus, OH Jacksonville, FL Boston Raleigh Dallas 31.7 (Over 200,000 blacks and 30% growth) Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census

Black Concentration 2000 Source: William H Frey, Milken Institute

Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census Blacks outnumber Hispanic in the South Blacks outnumber Hispanic Both group comprise less than 5% of state population Ratio GT 4:1 Ratio LT 4:1 Ratio GT 4:1 Ratio LT 4:1

Greatest White Gainers 1. Phoenix434, Atlanta359, Las Vegas326, Denver278, Dallas255, Portland OR230, Seattle199, Minn.St. Paul191, Austin 187, Raleigh 171, Charlotte162, Nashville146,615 Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census

Greatest White Decliners 1. Los Angeles New York-679, San Francisco-269, Philadelphia-199, Miami-118, Chicago-93, San Diego-84, Pittsburgh-81,900 Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census

White Concentration 2000 Source: William H Frey, Milken Institute

America’s Patchwork Quilt Source: William H Frey, Milken Institute

"Multiple Melting Pot” Typology of US States Melting Pot States White-Black Gainers Mostly White Gainers Slow Growth/Declining Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census

“Melting Pot” Metro Profiles, 2000 Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census Whites Los Angeles MiamiHouston BlacksHispanicsAsians American Indians

“New Sunbelt” Metro Profiles, 2000 Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census Whites AtlantaDenverPortland BlacksHispanicsAsians American Indians

Metro and Nonmetro Residence, 2000 Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census Large MetroSmall MetroNon-Metro WhiteNon-White

City, Suburb, Nonmetro Residence, 2000 Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census CitySuburbNon Metro WhiteNon-White

International & Domestic Migration 1990s InternationalDomesticCalifornia Rest of West Source: William Frey. University of Michigan & Milken Institute

Population Change By Race, 1990s whiteblackIndianAsianHispanic CaliforniaRest of West Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census

Migration by Education Attainment California Source: William Frey. Milken Institute Domestic Migration Immigration Less than High School HS GradSome CollegeCollege Grads

Education Attainment by Race Los Angeles Metro 1999 Source: William Frey. Milken Institute Age Less than High School HS GradSome CollegeCollege Grads WhiteBlackAsianHispanic

Hispanic Education Attainment Los Angeles 1999 Source: William Frey. Milken Institute Age Native BornArrived Before 1980Arrived Since 1980 Less than High School HS GradSome CollegeCollege Grads

Race Profiles for Occupations Los Angeles 1999 Source: William Frey. Milken Institute Professional & Mgrs Clerical & Sales Skilled Blue Collar Unskilled & Services Black Indian HispanicWhite Asian

Race Profiles for Family’s Income Los Angeles 1999 Source: William Frey. Milken Institute Black Indian HispanicWhite Asian Upper 25 % Second 25 %Third 25 %Lower 25 %

Home-Ownership by Race Los Angeles Metro 1999 Source: William Frey. Milken Institute White 63 % OwnersRenterBlack 50 %Asian 47 %Hispanic 41 %

Hispanic Home-Ownership Los Angeles Metro 1999 Source: William Frey. Milken Institute Native Born 56 % OwnersRenter Arrived Before 1980 Arrived Since % 21.6 %

Household Changes in the Next Decade Source: William Frey. University of Michigan & Milken Institute

The Senior Explosion Projected Senior Growth, % and below Over 100 % 81 % % 60% ~80% Percent Senior Growth Source: William Frey. University of Michigan & Milken Institute

Child & Elderly Dependency Rate United States WhitesHispanicsAsians Child Elderly Source: William Frey. University of Michigan & Milken Institute

”Non-Whites among Adults and Children, 2000 Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census Over 40%25% to 40%Under 25% Adults Children

Largest “Racial Generation Gaps” Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census StateAdultsChildren Arizona31%50% New Mexico51%67% California49%65% Nevada31%46% Texas44%57% % Non-Whites

Smallest “Racial Generation Gaps” Source: William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census StateAdultsChildren Vermont 3%5% Maine 3%5% West Virginia 5%7% New Hampshire 4%7% Kentucky10%14% % Non-Whites

Race Profiles for Age Groups L.A. County, 1998 Under Age 18 Age Age %34% 58 % whiteblackIndianAsianHispanic Source: William Frey. University of Michigan & Milken Institute

California Projected Race Compositions, 2025 Age Age Age %34% 52% whiteblackIndianAsianHispanic Source: William Frey. University of Michigan & Milken Institute

Rest of West Projected Race Compositions, 2025 Age Age Age %67%81% whiteblackIndianAsian Hispanic Source: William Frey. University of Michigan & Milken Institute

Georgia Projected Race Compositions, 2025 Age Age Age % 60 % 73 % NH-WhiteNH-BlackNH- IndianNH-AsianHispanic Source: William Frey. University of Michigan & Milken Institute

United States Projected Race Compositions, 2025 Under Age % whiteblackIndianAsianHispanic 62 % Age % Age 65+ Source: William Frey. University of Michigan & Milken Institute

Useful Websites