1. William H. Frey The Brookings Institution & The University of Michigan www.frey-demographer.org A 30,000-Foot View of the Demographic Landscape

2. Source: William H. Frey analysis Projected 50 Years Population Growth

3. Source: William H. Frey analysis US: Population by Race: 2000 and 2050 69.1% 50.1%

4. Source: William H. Frey analysis US: Population by Age: 2000 and 2050 12.4% 20.7%

5. Source: William H. Frey analysis New Demographic Regions n Melting Pot America n The New Sunbelt n The Heartland

6. Source: William H. Frey analysis Melting Pot, New Sunbelt and Heartland States New Sunbelt Melting Pot Heartland States

7. Source: William H. Frey analysis Foreign Born 70% Asian Language at Home 68% Spanish at Home 76% Mixed Marriages 51% Native Born 37% English at Home 34% Share of U.S. in Melting Pot States

8. Source: William H. Frey analysis Demographic Components, 2000-2007 (Rates per 1000) Demographic Components, 2000-2007 (Rates per 1000)

9. Source: William H. Frey analysis Immigrant Magnet Metros, 2000-07 1 New York 1,079,700 2 Los Angeles 804,702 804,702 3Miami 414,189 414,189 4 Chicago 379,550 379,550 5Dallas 289,312 289,312 6Houston 263,309 263,309 7 San Francisco 246,877 246,877 8 Washington DC 241,661 241,661

10. Source: William H. Frey analysis Domestic Migration Magnets, 2000-07 1Phoenix477,871 2 Riverside, CA 468,873 3Atlanta353,953 4 Las Vegas 287,192 5Tampa254,739 6Orlando226,649 7Dallas220,579 8 Charlotte, NC 185,647

11. Source: William H. Frey analysis Greatest Domestic Out-Migration, 2000-07 1 New York -1,643,228 2 Los Angeles -1,120,854 3Chicago-477,254 4 San Francisco -354.534 5 New Orleans -323.869 6Detroit-263,322 7Boston-260,176 8 San Jose -224,992

12. Source: William H. Frey analysis Race Composition of Regions 2007 Melting Pot New Sunbelt Heartland

13. Source: William H. Frey analysis Melting Pot States: Race Change 1990-2007

14. Source: William H. Frey analysis New Sunbelt: Race Change 1990-2007

15. Source: William H. Frey analysis California: All Races Out-Migrate

16. Source: William H. Frey analysis Growing "New Immigrant" Destinations 1990-2005

17. Source: William H. Frey analysis Immigrant Concentrations in States 15% or more 10-14% 5-9% Less than 5% 1990 2005

18. Source: William H. Frey analysis Immigrants vs Natives

19. Hispanic Concentrations Data source: William H. Frey, US Census Estimates Percent of County Population

20. Source: William H. Frey analysis Greatest Hispanic Gains, 2000-07 1Riverside589,769 2 Los Angeles 522,060 3Dallas519,055 4Houston508,448 5Phoenix441,745 6 New York 417,329 7Miami389,168 8Chicago351,410

21. Source: William H. Frey analysis Fastest Hispanic Growth, 2000-07 Metros with at least 50,000 Hispanics 1 Cape Coral, FL 137.3. 2 Port St. Lucie, FL 109.5 3Charlotte100.7 4 Fayetteville, AR 98.8 98.8 5Raleigh 96.2 96.2 6 Lakeland, FL 92,4 92,4 7Nashville 92.1 92.1 8Indianapolis 85.9 85.9

22. Asian Concentrations Percent of County Population Data source: William H. Frey, US Census Estimates

23. Source: William H. Frey analysis Greatest Asian Gains, 2000-07 1 New York 315,022 2 Los Angeles 204,641 3 Washington DC 110,148 4 San Francisco 108,736 5 San Jose 98,446 6Chicago95,919 7Dallas85,179 8Riverside84,407

24. Source: William H. Frey analysis Fastest Asian Growth, 2000-07 Metros with at least 50,000 Asians 1 Las Vegas 71.5 2Phoenix65.3 3Riverside57.4 4Austin56.1 5Orlando55.6 6Atlanta53.0 7Tampa50.9 8 Columbus OH 45.2

25. Black Concentrations Percent of County Population Data source: William H. Frey, US Census Estimates

26. Source: William H. Frey analysis Greatest Black Gains, 2000-07 1Atlanta413,199 2Houston150,180 3Dallas144,887 4Miami105,093 5 Washington DC 100,197 6Charlotte84,681 7Orlando69,913 8Baltimore61,509

27. White Concentrations Percent of County Population Data source: William H. Frey, US Census Estimates

28. Source: William H. Frey analysis 2000-07 Greatest White Decliners 1 New York -280,519 2 Los Angeles -229,493 3Miami-142,696 4 San Francisco -130,709 5 New Orleans -127,120 6Pittsburgh-95,713 7 San Jose -82,347 8Philadelphia-76,663

29. Source: William H. Frey analysis 2000-07 Greatest White Gainers 1Phoenix322,104 2Atlanta262,890 3Dallas172,284 4Austin138,701 5Charlotte134,483 6Houston130,488 7Raleigh126,761 8 Las Vegas 116,444

30. Source: William H. Frey analysis

31. Born in Same State

32. Source: William H. Frey analysis US Growth by Age 2000-10

33. Source: William H. Frey analysis Growth by Age, 2000-10

34. Source: William H. Frey analysis State Growth in Child Population*, 2000-2010 Under age 18

35. Source: William H. Frey analysis Growth in H.S. Graduates, 2002-3 to 2009-10

36. Source: William H. Frey analysis Percent Non White Children*, 2015 * Under age 15

37. Source: William H. Frey analysis Percent Children with Immigrant Parents - 2006 51% 35% 34% 32% 31% 23%

38. Source: William H. Frey analysis Children Speaking Other than English*, 2005 Source: William H. Frey analysis * Ages 5 - 17

39. Source: William H. Frey analysis Percent Speaking Spanish, Children and Adults, 2005

40. Source: William H. Frey analysis English Proficiency for Spanish Speakers, 2005

41. Source: William H. Frey analysis Hispanic, Asian Children by Generation, 2006 Hispanics Asians

42. Source: William H. Frey analysis Young Adult Education 2006, 2 Generations HispanicsAsians

43. Source: William H. Frey analysis US Growth by Age 2000-10

44. Source: William H. Frey analysis Age 65 + Growth, 2000-10, US States 25% & above 20% -24% 10% -19% under 10%

45. Source: William H. Frey analysis Percent 65+ population for States, 2005 13.4% & above 12% -13% 11% -11.9% under 12%

46. Source: William H. Frey analysis Greatest 65+ Growth: Large Metros 1 Las Vegas 131.4 2 McAllen, TX 63.3 3 Colorado Springs 62.4 4Austin62.0 5Raleigh57.4 6Phoenix54.3 7 El Paso 52.9 8Atlanta51.6 9Orlando51.3 10Houston50.5

47. Source: William H. Frey analysis Greatest 65+ Decline: Large Metros 1Scranton-10.8 2Pittsburgh-2.7 3 Springfield, MA -2.1 4Buffalo-1.5 5 Worcester, MA -0.6 6 New Haven -0.5 7Providence0.1 8Youngstown-OH0.8 9Toledo1.1 10Cleveland2.5

48. Source: William H. Frey analysis Fastest Growing “Old-Old” (85+), 2000-10 % Growth 1. Alaska 116.0 2. Nevada 96.9 3. Arizona 76.4 4. New Mexico 64.4 5. Florida 62.4 6. California 57.8 7. Delaware 57.7 8. Hawaii 57.4 9. Maryland 57.1

49. Source: William H. Frey analysis 140% & above 100% -139% 70% -99% under 69% Projected Age 65+ Growth 2000-30, US States

50. Source: William H. Frey analysis Projected Age 65+ Growth, 2000-40 FloridaCaliforniaNew York percent growth

51. Source: William H. Frey analysis Rates of Migration by Age Per 100

52. Source: William H. Frey analysis Arizona Projections: Aging in Place and Migration percent growth

53. Source: William H. Frey analysis New York Projections: Aging in Place and Migration Source: William H. Frey analysis percent growth

54. Source: William H. Frey analysis Boomers vs. Parents at Midlife Boomers vs. Parents at Midlife

55. Source: William H. Frey analysis Race for Age Groups: US

56. Source: William H. Frey analysis Race for Age Groups: California

57. Source: William H. Frey analysis Race for Age Groups: Minnesota

58. Source: William H. Frey analysis United States United States Projected Race Compositions, 2025 Under Age 18 52 % whiteblackIndianAsianHispanic 62 % Age 18 -64 76 % Age 65+

59. Source: William H. Frey analysis State Projected Growth, 2000-2030 Source: William Frey

60. Source: William H. Frey analysis Electoral Vote Gains, 2000-2030 Electoral Vote Gains, 2000-2030 Source: William Frey

61. Source: William H. Frey analysis Electoral Vote Losses, 2000-2030 Electoral Vote Losses, 2000-2030 Source: William Frey

62. Source: William H. Frey analysis Red and Blue States, 2004 Source: William Frey

63. Source: William H. Frey analysis Projected Red State Advantage (assuming constant 2004 state victories) Source: William Frey

64. Source: William H. Frey analysis Red and Blue States, 2008

65. Source: William H. Frey analysis Projected Blue State Advantage (assuming constant 2008 state victories) RedBlueAdvantage 2008174364190 2012178360182 2024179359180 2032183355172 Electoral Votes

66. Source: William H. Frey analysis Useful Websites Useful Websites www.brookings.edu/metro www.frey-demographer.org