1. Economics 172 Issues in African Economic Development Lecture 9 February 13, 2006

2. Economics 1722 Outline: (1)The Economics of HIV/AIDS in Africa (2)Labor productivity impacts (Fox et al 2004)

3. Economics 1723 The Economics of HIV/AIDS in Africa Of the 42 million people worldwide thought to be infected with HIV, it is estimated that 25 million (!) are in Sub- Saharan Africa

4. Economics 1724

5. 5 The Economics of HIV/AIDS in Africa Of the 42 million people worldwide thought to be infected with HIV, it is estimated that 25 million (!) are in Sub- Saharan Africa In some countries in southern Africa (e.g. Botswana, Swaziland), it is claimed that over 35% are HIV+

6. Economics 1726

7. 7 Counting HIV+ people in Kenya Based on antenatal clinic survey data, the official UNAIDS estimate of HIV+ adults in Kenya by late 2001 was 15.0%

8. Economics 1728 Counting HIV+ people in Kenya Based on antenatal clinic survey data, the official UNAIDS estimate of HIV+ adults in Kenya by late 2001 was 15.0% The 2003 Kenya Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) tried to survey a representative subsample of population. 73.4% agreed to be tested

9. Economics 1729 Counting HIV+ people in Kenya Based on antenatal clinic survey data, the official UNAIDS estimate of HIV+ adults in Kenya by late 2001 was 15.0% The 2003 Kenya Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) tried to survey a representative subsample of population. 73.4% agreed to be tested –This data indicates that “only” 6.7% of Kenyan 15-49 year olds tested are HIV+!

10. Economics 17210

11. Economics 17211 Counting HIV+ people in Kenya Based on antenatal clinic survey data, the official UNAIDS estimate of HIV+ adults in Kenya by late 2001 was 15.0% The 2003 Kenya Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) tried to survey a representative subsample of population. 73.4% agreed to be tested –This data indicates that “only” 6.7% of Kenyan 15-49 year olds tested are HIV+! Which of the two numbers is better?

12. Economics 17212

13. Economics 17213 Key questions in the study of HIV/AIDS (0) Characterizing the extent of the problem (today) (1) What impact does HIV/AIDS have on economic development in Africa?

14. Economics 17214 Key questions in the study of HIV/AIDS (0) Characterizing the extent of the problem (today) (1) What impact does HIV/AIDS have on economic development in Africa? (2) Why does HIV/AIDS continue to spread in Africa?

15. Economics 17215 Key questions in the study of HIV/AIDS (0) Characterizing the extent of the problem (today) (1) What impact does HIV/AIDS have on economic development in Africa? (2) Why does HIV/AIDS continue to spread in Africa? (3) What can / should public policy do about HIV/AIDS?

16. Economics 17216 HIV/AIDS and labor productivity in Kenya Fox et al (2004) study the impact of HIV/AIDS illness on labor productivity on tea plantations in Kenya, 1997-2002

17. Economics 17217 HIV/AIDS and labor productivity in Kenya Fox et al (2004) study the impact of HIV/AIDS illness on labor productivity on tea plantations in Kenya, 1997-2002 They compare the labor productivity – the kilograms of tea leaves picked per day – of workers who became sick with HIV/AIDS during the study period to workers who remained healthy –The total sample is 271 workers. 54 died or retired due to HIV/AIDS

18. Economics 17218

19. Economics 17219

20. Economics 17220

21. Economics 17221 Whiteboard #1

22. Economics 17222 Whiteboard #2

23. Economics 17223 Whiteboard #3

24. Economics 17224 Whiteboard #4

25. Economics 17225 Whiteboard #5

26. Economics 17226 Map of Africa