1. Original systems diagram (‘Messy’) Economy Environ- ment Human behaviour The individual mobility Transportation Global Security Laws & Regulations Technology Energy resources Demographics Recreation Work Family & Friends Holiday

2. - - Economy Technology Societal Environmental Government Individual mobility New fuel transition Oil price Global Securtiy Ageing Distance working TaxationInvestment & development Policies and regulations Pandemic flue Terrorism +/- - + - Social Individualism + - + - Fuel efficiency - Disintegration Forced migration 3G technology Green house effect Digital illiteracy

3. + - Economy Individual mobility Oil price Environmental Government Taxation Investment in infrastructure Policies and regulations + - + - Societal Ageing population Distance working Individualism + - Technology New fuel transition Fuel efficiency - Global Securtiy Pandemic flue TerrorismSocial tension Forced migration 3G technology + - - + - + -

4. - Economy Individual mobility Oil price Environment Government Taxation Investment in infrastructure Policies and regulations + - + - Societal Ageing population Distance working Individualism + - Technology New fuel transition Fuel efficiency - Global Security Pandemic Terrorism Social tension Forced migration 3G technology + - - + - + - + +

5. The SD (2-dimensional) Individual mobility Economy Oil price GovernmentSocietal Global Security 3G technology Technology Forced migration Pandemic Social tension Terrorism Distance working Individualism Ageing population Investments Regulation & policies Taxation Environment Fuel efficiency Fuel technology HIGH LEVERAGE