1. ACRE WORKSHOP PARTICIPANTS WELCOME TO QUEENSLAND! Lynne Turner - Director Queensland Climate Change Centre of Excellence (QCCCE) Department of Environment and Resource Management

2. Why are we investing? BETTER INFORMATION FOR IPCC 5AR and REGIONAL PLANNING Foundation data to support the compelling case for action Improved regional projections Improved modelling of ENSO and other key drivers of Queensland's climate in GCMs Pacific Island Countries

3. Challenges for Queensland Our economy is energy intensive Most of our energy derived from greenhouse intensive fuel sources We have high per capita emissions Our population is growing We are vulnerable to climate change impacts

4. IMPACTS AND ADAPTATION Significant loss of biodiversity - Great Barrier Reef and the Wet Tropics Water security problems likely to intensify by 2030 Increased risk of flooding – exacerbated by population growth Decline in agriculture and forestry production Other impacts: health, insurance, infrastructure

5. HOTTER

6. DRIER

7. By 2070, Evaporation is projected to increase up to 13%

8. Queensland's population is increasing by 1700 each week

9. Queensland is projected to get hotter and drier – Warming will be greatest in inland areas – Drying will be strongest in winter and spring – Despite a drying trend, rain events will become heavier Queensland’s climate could become more variable and extreme Our hot, dry years could be normal by 2030 - our future climate will be beyond our current experiences How will our climate change in the future?

11. To avoid the worst impacts Stabilisation of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere at levels to avoid the worst impacts requires emissions to peak soon, and decline thereafter – IPCC 2007 Current concentration is 380 ppm Carbon dioxide concentration Global mean temperature increase Peaking year for emissions Reduction in global emissions in 2050 350 - 400 ppm2.0 – 2.4 o CNo later than 201550% - 85% below 2000 emissions 400 - 440 ppm2.4 – 2.8 o C No later than 2020 30% - 60% below 2000 emissions

12. Queensland “contributes only a small amount” …but is one of the highest per capita emitters Australia’s emissions are higher than most European countries Queensland has Australia’s highest per capita and are amongst the highest in the world Australia’s emissions from stationary energy and transport are increasing A spike in land clearing in 1990 has provided a buffer for growth in energy emissions

14. With no further action emissions will continue to rise

15. Energy is the most significant contributor to Queensland’s greenhouse gas emissions. Energy sector emissions represent 56 per cent of total emissions in 2006 and have grown by 90 per cent since 1990 (DCC, 2008).

17. Responding to climate change: Mitigation and adaptation Addressing both the causes and effects

18. ClimateSmart Adaptation 2007-12 An action plan for managing the impacts of climate change 5 year plan: 2007 – 2012 62 actions:High and medium priorities Priority sectors:Water planning and services Agriculture Human settlements Natural environment and landscapes Emergency services and human health Tourism, business and industry All sectors:Building foundation knowledge

19. ClimateSmart 2050 Queensland climate change strategy 2007: a low-carbon future Initiatives in:Energy Industry Community Planning and building Primary industries Transport Adaptation Government leadership