1. Outermost Regions & Climate Change
António Domingos Abreu

2. Small Islands and OR’s Reduced size Limited natural resources
Natural disasters
Isolated
Vulnerable and exposed economies
High population density
Vulnerable natural systems

3. Main climate change impacts - OR’s and small islands
Sea level rise
Changes in wind and rain regimes
Soil balance changes
Changes of local wave and near shore sea conditions
Coastal based socieconomical activities

4. Climate Change - main trends
Increase of mean temperature
Sea level rise
Less precipitation
More frequent extreme events

5. Special issues Development, sustainability and equity, Sea level rise
Coastal changes
Biological systems and biodiversity
Water, agriculture and fisheries
Human health, settlements, infrastructures and tourism

6. Development, sustainability and equity
< 1% of GHG contribution
Exposed and vulnerable economies
Need of scale adaptation measures

7. Sea level rise 5mm/year in the next century
Social and economical implications
Adaptation within their natural and social boundaries...

8. Coastal zones Human contribution to coastal zone change
In the next 50 to 100 years these changes will increase
Need to assure resilience of coastal zones
Higher social and economical costs of adaptation

9. Natural systems and biodiversity
Natural systems are the basis of the economical stability of OR’s
33% of the endemic species of the flora are insular endemisms
23% of the insular bird species are endangered
Changes in the composition, structure and dynamics of natural systems

10. Water, agriculture & fisheriess
Water availability and food production will always be critical factors in the OR’s
Most of water is from rain origin
Loss of soil, erosion, saline intrusion,
Changes in the abundance and distribution of fisheries

11. Human health, settlements, infrastructures and tourism
Potential increase of biological induced and water related diseases
More critical situations linked to extreme events
Vulnerability of infrasctructures, including touristic and those located on risk zones,

12. Adequated and adapted management
Information
Monitoring
Mitigation
Adaptation

13. Scenarios & models

15. Precipitation - Madeira (2071-2100)
Dry Winters & wet Summers
Significant loss of precipitation
Perda anual (in mm)

16. Temperature Madeira (2071-2100)

17. Sectoral Impact Assessment
Water
Forest
Biodiversity
Agriculture
Tourism
Human health
Energy
...

18. Potential Impacts on forest and agriculture
Changes in the distribution zones - altitude;
Higher forest fire risks;
Changes on primary production.

19. Impacts on Tourism Comfort Health risks Landscape Natural disaters
Média
Funchal

20. Contamination vectors Transmission dinamics Regional Climatic changes
Human Health
Levels of air polution
Contamination vectors
Transmission dinamics
Regional Climatic changes
Extreme events
Temperature
Precipitation
Potential effects on human health
Death/diseases due to temperature &
climatic extreme events (floods/dry/rain)
air polution related effects
Diseases promoted by water and food
Diseases transmited by bilogical vectors

21. The near future Climate change is a fact
It is prioritary to monitor the trends
Mitigation and adaptation measures
Participation
Is this possibe to deal with climate change challenges on a OR’s scale?