1. 1 1 Impact of Census on Registration Kgosietsile Tshoke June 2013

2. 2 Access to registration venues increased by 40%; Registration technology now used for other purposes as well in the electoral cycle!!!!! YearElectionsReg. VotersIncr. (%) 1999Nat. & Prov18 172 751- 2000Municipal18 476 5161.7 2004Nat. & Prov.20 674 92611.9 2006Municipal21 054 9571.8 2009Nat. & Prov.23 181 99710.1 2011Municipal23 655 0462.1 2013(22/03/2013) 23 168 540 -2.1 Registration changes vs Elections

3. 3 What’s in the Numbers? YearElection VotersIncrease FemaleMaleFemaleMale 1999Nat & Prov9 895 3698 277 382First Roll 2000Municipal10 081 9848 394 5321,9%1,4% 2004Nat & Prov11 334 0289 340 89812,4%11,3% 2006Municipal11 574 1189 480 8392,1%1,5% 2009Nat & Prov12,722,62210,459,3759,9%10,3% 2011Municipal12,997,85410,657,1922,1%1,8% 2013(22/03/2013)12,766,22710,402,313-1.8-2.5

4. 4 Gender Breakdown YearFemalesMales 199954,45%45,55% 200054,56%45,44% 200454,82%45,18% 200654,97%45,03% 200954.88%45.12% 201154.95%45.05% Current (22/03/2013) 55.1044.90

5. 5 Breakdown by Age Groups 18-35 (Youth)36-69 (Adult)70+ (Aged)Total Voter Count EventVoter Count% % % 19998,685,25847.79%8,468,89346.60%1,018,6005.61%18,172,751 20008,327,81645.07%8,982,33748.61%1,166,3636.31%18,476,516 20049,193,84544.47%10,199,79449.33%1,281,2876.20%20,674,926 20068,899,91542.27%10,787,39351.23%1,367,6496.50%21,054,957 20099,820,25142.36%11,859,89751.16%1,501,8496.48%23,181,997 20119,611,25840.63%12,420,29152.51%1,623,4976.86%23,655,046 Current (22/03/2013) 8,659,14537.37%12,834,42155.40%2,228,5939.62%23,168,540

6. 6 This is what the data tells us! There is an increased number of registered voters with every election for almost every age except for youth; Growth in the number of registrations has not been uniform over the spectrum of age bands and has, in fact dropped significantly in the 20-24 year age band leading to a 6% decline in youth registration (18-29 years); There is a relative decline in the number of young voters (below ±25 years) with every ensuing election; There is also a gender base to the non-participation of youth to register as voters – there generally being a larger decline in the participation of males; and There is an evident ‘aging’ of the voters roll.

7. 7 Gender Analysis: New Registrations

8. 8 VR: Analysis by Year of Registration Note: 1.1999, 2000, 2004,2006, 2009, 2011 indicate the year of first registration for verified voters, 2.Other included categories such as Deleted from Population Register, Non South African Citizen, Not on Population Register, Received after registration cut-off date, Still Under Age

9. 9 Stability of Voters on the VR

10. 10 Year of Registration vs. Stability: Analysis 15.5 million of the 18.1 million voters registered in 1999 are still on the voters roll; 9.9 million of them still live in the same voting district; Continuous registration campaigns, including campaigns for by-elections, do not result in a sufficient number of new registrations; Outside of general registration periods, it is possible to have a negative net growth on the VR; and We get value for money opening registration stations for VR inspections, new registrations and re- registrations when there is an election in sight!

11. 11 NEW/ADDITIONAL VDs YearElectionsVD Count New/Additional VDs Incr. (%) 1999Nat. & Prov 14 650- - 2000Municipal 14 9883382.31% 2004Nat. & Prov. 16 9661 97813.20% 2006Municipal 18 8731 90711.24% 2009Nat. & Prov. 19 7268534.52% 2011Municipal 20 8591 1335.74% 2013(22/03/2013) 22 2361 3776.60%

12. 12 Voter participation by Gender ProvinceFemaleMaleTotal Eastern Cape1 019 082674 3471 693 429 Free State477 776331 414809 190 Gauteng1 441 3241 213 5482 654 872 KwaZulu-Natal1 828 3471 217 0163 045 363 Limpopo931 023480 2941 411 317 Mpumalanga646 076434 8561 080 932 North West527 190392 823920 012 Northern Cape232 228172 657404 885 Western Cape928 931715 9831 644 914 Total8 031 9775 632 93713 664 914

13. 13 Voter participation by Age

14. 14 ProvinceRegPop 26 Feb 2013Census 2011 VAP% Voter registration Eastern Cape3 040 1353 794 35280.1% Free State1 349 7751 685 19880.1% Gauteng5 464 2377 860 28069.5% KwaZulu-Natal4 573 2336 096 50975.0% Limpopo2 315 3253 004 79577.1% Mpumalanga1 678 7122 389 40670.3% North West1 550 3592 120 38173.1% Northern Cape556 186711 84378.1% Western Cape2 655 1713 771 27170.4% TOTAL23 183 13331 434 03573.8% Registration Gap Analysis: South Africa

15. 15 Registration Gap Analysis: Limpopo MunicipalityRegPop 26 Feb 2013Census 2011 VAP% Voter registration LIM331 - Greater Giyani [Giyani]113 946128 75888.5% LIM332 - Greater Letaba [Duiwelskloof]100 660116 23586.6% LIM333 - Greater Tzaneen [Tzaneen]171 500230 92274.3% LIM334 - Ba-Phalaborwa [Phalaborwa]61 28385 61271.6% LIM335 - Maruleng [Hoedspruit]47 54252 88389.9% LIM341 - Musina [Messina]20 35629 70768.5% LIM342 - Mutale [Mutale-Masisi]45 41747 63495.3% LIM343 - Thulamela [Thohoyandou]277 333333 55783.1% LIM344 - Makhado [Louis Trichardt]228 628281 88681.1% LIM351 - Blouberg [Bochum/My Darling]71 19182 76386.0% LIM352 - Aganang [Moletji/Matlala]63 07470 05190.0% LIM353 - Molemole [Dendron/Dikgale]45 07557 09778.9% LIM354 - Polokwane [Pietersburg]235 694375 02162.8% LIM355 - Lepele-Nkumpi [Lebowakgomo]96 748125 88276.9% LIM361 - Thabazimbi [Thabazimbi]38 27852 61872.7% LIM362 - Lephalale [Ellisras]42 58766 41064.1% LIM364 - Mookgopong [Naboomspruit]15 66921 42473.1% LIM365 - Modimolle [Nylstroom]28 47540 14570.9% LIM366 - Bela-Bela [Warmbad]27 83640 98067.9% LIM367 - Mogalakwena [Potgietersrus]134 268173 82177.2% LIM471 - Ephraim Mogale [Marble Hall]53 50365 31581.9% LIM472 - Elias Motsoaledi [Groblersdal]108 311135 41780.0% LIM473 - Makhuduthamaga [Ngwaritsi]116 639147 06579.3% LIM474 - Fetakgomo [Fetakgomo ]41 90652 75979.4% LIM475 - Greater Tubatse [Burgersfort/Ohrigstad/Eastern Tubatse]129 406190 83367.8% TOTAL2 315 3253 004 79577.1%

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17. Thank You 17