1. Arkansas Natural Resources Commission

2. The Major Technical and Planning Elements of the Water Plan Update 2 Regional and Institutional Setting Demand Forecast by Sector Supply Availability Supply Availability Identify Gaps between Available Resource and Demands Identify Gaps between Available Resource and Demands Management Practices/ Projects to Address Shortfalls between Demand and Supply Water Needs will be forecasted to the Year 2050 Final Plan Rulemaking Nov 2014

3. Water Resources Planning Regions

4. County Population Projections: Woods & Poole Scenario

5. Statewide Water Forecast – All Demand Sectors Total statewide water use forecasted to increase 13% 5

6. Statewide Irrigated Acreage Forecast 6

7. Statewide Water Forecast - Excluding Irrigation Statewide increase of 10% for all non-irrigation sectors 7

8. 8 ARKANSAS STATEWIDE DEMANDS - MEDIUM SCENARIO Statewide Total (Million Gallons per Day [MGD])Base Year2020203020402050 Municipal 385 405 431 463 503 Self-Supplied Domestic 13 14 Industrial 291 273 249 224 202 Self-Supplied Commercial 5 5 5 6 6 Thermoelectric 1,177 1,356 1,357 1,363 1,370 Shale Gas 11 9 - - - Mining 6 6 8 10 13 Aquaculture 103 Duck Hunting & Habitat Maintenance 253 Livestock 27 29 Crop Irrigation 8,816 9,507 9,941 10,020 10,040 Total 11,086 11,959 12,390 12,485 12,533

9. Statewide Crop Water Demand Forecast Results by Source of Supply Results of irrigation withdrawal forecast at county level identified by source of supply from WUDBS (2010) Source assumed to remain constant (in terms of percent) to 2050

10. 10

11. Thank you! Water Plan information: www.arwaterplan.arkansas.gov Edward Swaim Arkansas Natural Resources Commission 101 East Capitol Avenue, Suite 350 Little Rock, Arkansas 72201 501-682-3979 edward.swaim@arkansas.gov