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New Real Time Delphi Studies The World Bank: review of the Resource Allocation Framework of the Global Environmental Facility (GEF) UNESCO: design of UN.

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Presentation on theme: "New Real Time Delphi Studies The World Bank: review of the Resource Allocation Framework of the Global Environmental Facility (GEF) UNESCO: design of UN."— Presentation transcript:

1 New Real Time Delphi Studies The World Bank: review of the Resource Allocation Framework of the Global Environmental Facility (GEF) UNESCO: design of UN World Water Development Report Peru’s Energy and Mining Supervisory Agency: 10-year future of electricity Millennia 2015 : developments and policies to improve the status of women World Federation of UN Associations: current relevance and issues of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. MP: Priorities 2009-2010 MP: Elements of the evolving economic system

2 Recent Improvements Ease of initiation (load sheets) Addition of diverse inputs radio buttons yes/no true/false Identification of levels of agreement and disagreement Question statement carries generic column heading Simplified pricing

3 Next RTD Steps Student version Promotion A version with only qualitative inputs Mixed row inputs Training others

4 Data Imputation The problem: completing incomplete historical data sets Fill the blanks in WDI historical data for a set of 30 countries and 28 variables over 20 years. Used the JP7 statistical package

5 Techniques Raw data Interpolation Limits Country by country time series Other parameters Regress across all countries

6 Effect of Techniques TechniqueData Available Raw Data 60.1 Interpolation 62.5 Limits 67.8 Time series and other parameters 80.0 Regression across all countries 100.0

7 Raw Data Examples

8 Validation Examples

9 Next Steps Extend to other countries Continue validation Search for automated means of imputation Create “go-no go” rules Combine with global model


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