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Which global drivers included in global scenarios are most relevant to food systems? 14:15 – 15:30 Break Working Group Session I.

Published byMorgan Evangeline Blankenship Modified over 8 years ago

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Presentation on theme: "Which global drivers included in global scenarios are most relevant to food systems? 14:15 – 15:30 Break Working Group Session I."— Presentation transcript:

1 Which global drivers included in global scenarios are most relevant to food systems? 14:15 – 15:30 Break Working Group Session I

2 Determinants perspective of key elements helps analyse external drivers of Food Systems HIV-AIDS Climate Change Political Unrest Floods, Droughts Currency Fluctuations Water Pollution Economic Recession War Change in Trading Agreements FOOD UTILISATION FOOD ACCESS Affordability Allocation Preference Nutritional Value Social Value Food Safety FOOD AVAILABILITY Production Distribution Exchange

3 AVAILABILITYACCESSUTLISATION Political Unrest Climate Change D HIV-AIDS War ? ? - = none/minor  = direct  = indirect

4 AVAILABILITYACCESSUTLISATION Demography Ageing Numbers Number of H/holds Urbanisation S, labour avail S, production & exchange W, exchange; w food wastage S, all 3 S, lower incomes, preference S, allocation; W preference S, preference S, all 3 S, nut requirements, social value W, food safety W, social value S, all 3 Climate Change D HIV-AIDS War Political Unrest SOCEC Gender S ? ?

5 Which elements of existing scenario storylines are most important for GECAFS scenario building efforts? 16:00 – 17:00 Working Group Session II

6 How can we link scenario exercises across scales or develop multi-scale scenarios for GECAFS? 14:00 - 16:00 Break Report back @16:30 Working Group Session III

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