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Value quantity Yuan U.S. $ D – U.S. imports from China (China exports) S – China imports from U.S. (U.S. exports) S – U.S. imports from China (China exports)

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Presentation on theme: "Value quantity Yuan U.S. $ D – U.S. imports from China (China exports) S – China imports from U.S. (U.S. exports) S – U.S. imports from China (China exports)"— Presentation transcript:

1 value quantity Yuan U.S. $ D – U.S. imports from China (China exports) S – China imports from U.S. (U.S. exports) S – U.S. imports from China (China exports) E1 E E2 D China imports from U.S. (U.S. exports) E E1 E2 1.) China imports from U.S. : Chinese businessmen must pay for goods with U.S. $. They sell Yuan and buy $. Creates supply of Yuan that will be used by U.S. importers. 2.) U.S. imports from China : U.S. businessmen must pay for goods with Yuan. They sell U.S. $ and buy Yuan. 3.) Since the U.S. imports more from China than China imports from U.S., the shifts in blue are greater than the shifts in red.

2 Effects on currencies resulting from trade deficit with China: Yuan appreciated U.S.$ depreciated Ceteris paribus, as a result of the above currency changes, U.S. would import less because imports become more expensive, and export more, causing the trade deficit to correct itself. Problem for China: They want to continue exporting a lot to the U.S. to promote economic growth in their country.

3 So the Central Bank of China intervenes in the FX markets to prevent the value of their currency from appreciating against the U.S. $, keeping it at a targeted value below E’. This also keeps the value of the U.S. $ at a targeted level above E’’. They sell Yuan and buy U.S $ by entering into FX transactions with U.S. Banks. D S D S E’ E’’ value Q Q Yuan Market U.S. $ Market target Buy $ Sell Yuan S1 D1

4 China uses their U.S. $ surpluses to buy U.S. government bonds. The effect of China keeping the value of their currency artificially low from 2001-2006: 1.) U.S. trade deficits soared from 2001-2006 as we continued to buy cheap exports from China, financed by the Chinese who bought our government bonds.

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