1. The Road To and Beyond 2015 Jerry Velasquez Sr. Regional Coordinator, UNISDR Asia Pacific Meeting of the Executive Committee and Development Support Group for 6AMCDRR, 5-6 August 2015

2. Implementing HFA1 Developing HFA2 Implementing HFA2 5AMCDRR Oct 2012 3WCDRR, March 2015 We are here 6AMCDRR, June 2014 UN GA Sept 2015 SIDS, Sept 2014

3. What do we need by 2015? 1.What and how can we boost HFA1 implementation in Asia Pacific until it expires? 2.What are the main concerns of the region related to the “elements” of HFA2? 3.How do we integrate HFA2 outcomes in the Post-2015 development agenda (post MDGs)? 4.What does the region prepare for WCDR? 5.How do we prepare to develop the HFA2 implementation plan?

4. More people in the region are getting exposed to hazards… Human exposure to tropical cyclone is increasing for most sub-regions

5. …and typhoons are getting stronger… The number of recorded categories 4 and 5 typhoons increasing

6. … however, mortality risks are decreasing – less people are dying! For hydro-meteorological hazards, mortality risks are decreasing for some sub-regions Cyclone - Relative mortality risk trend

7. Total economic losses (1981 – 2011) in million US$ for selected countries Economic losses larger than previously thought…

8. …economic exposure growing faster than human exposure… Region represent more than 85 per cent of global economic exposure to tropical cyclones

9. … economic losses due to disasters increasing… Losses have grown more than 16 times since 1970, while GDP increased by 13 times Economic losses in 2011, 80% of total losses for 2000 to 2009

10. … and its private citizens who pay for disaster losses. Private sector and communities pay the highest price

11. 1) What and how can we boost HFA1 implementation by 2015? HFA1 expected outcome – “The substantial reduction of disaster losses, in lives and in the social, economic and environmental assets of communities and countries” Which areas of HFA1 needs boosting? What does the HFA Monitor tell us? And other sources of learning on DRR? Where and what actions are necessary? What evidence of HFA1 achievements can we generate for “celebration” in 2015? How HFA1 experiences can guide identification of targets, indicators and “How to do DRR” for HFA2?

12. 2) What are the main concerns related to the HFA2? 1. HFA2 Form Building on the existing HFA - What needs to be added to HFA1 (GP13) Adding a soft law or principles Targets and indicators on DRR and Resilience Adding guides for action Periodic peer review Strengthening Priority 4 – dealing with underlying risks National standards on risk assessment of critical infrastructures and commitments on global safe schools and health facilities with funding commitments announced at 3WCDR (High Level Communiqué at GP13)

13. 2) What are the main concerns related to the HFA2? 1. HFA2 Form What are the issues from HFA2 Phase 1 consultations in the region? DRR – CCA - Sustainable development integration, planning to action Turning vulnerability to resilience Local level action Gender and women issues Governance and Accountability What are the issues of interest for 6AMCDRR? Community resilience Increasing public investments for DRM Enhance Public-Private Partnership for increased role of private sector in DRR

14. Form: DRR and resilience Risk = function (hazard, vulnerability, exposure) Hazard defined in terms of natural hazards and man-made hazards Vulnerability defined in terms of mortality and economic losses (direct and indirect) Exposure defined in terms of human and economic exposure to hazards Resilience = function (shock, capability, exposure) Shock defined as events that impact vulnerability Capability defined as function of sensitivity to shock, adaptive capacity and resources Exposure defined in terms of economic, social and ecological exposure to hazards

15. Form: DRR and Resilience How do we reduce disaster risks? Reduce hazards Reduce vulnerability (OUR FOCUS SO FAR…) Early warning Risk assessment Education Underlying causes of risks Preparedness Reduce exposure Land use planning Urban and spatial planning Recovery and reconstruction How do we increase resilience? Increase capabilities Promote inclusiveness and equity to improve absorption of benefits by people from the system Improve the ability to learn and store knowledge and experience, Promote flexible decision-making and problem solving and power structures Be ready to deploy ex-post interventions. Income, commodities and assets that are available and sufficient, redundant and diversified. These assets will also include social and ecological assets. Promote ex-ante DRR interventions Improve preparedness

16. Form: Targets and Indicators - DRR and Resilience DRRResilience Reduce mortalityNo negative impact of disasters on poverty Reduce economic lossesNo negative impact of disasters on GDP Reduce future climate changeNo negative impact of disasters on conflict Outcomes

17. Form: Targets and Indicators - DRR and Resilience Exposure DRRResilience All land use plans are risk sensitive Clear governance and accountabilities on exposure Halve exposure of poor and the services they rely on Redundant services for poor All disaster recovery reduce hazard exposure Ex-post plans in place

18. Form: Targets and Indicators - DRR and Resilience Vulnerability/Capability DRRResilience DRM in national policiesInclusive decision making Disaster Impact Assessment in %age of sectoral plans Social safety net floor % of national budget for DRRDiversified livelihoods

19. Post-2015 Development Agenda - High Level Panel Recommendation

20. 2. HFA2 Actors Which actors (GP13) How do we encourage DRR commitment from various stakeholders? How do we get them interested? How do we convert threats to opportunities for each actor? How do we create space for various actors to work hand in hand with governments? GP High Level Dialogue Communiqué and Asia Pacific HFA2 consultations Private sector commitments on DRR Public and private collaboration on DRM 2) What are the main concerns related to the HFA2?

21. HFA1 Actors States, Regional Organizations, International Organizations, ISDR

22. Actors: How to promote new decision taking approach? Lessons from the region –HFA2 Phase 2 consultations focus on stakeholders –Formalize an HFA2 partnership framework for stakeholders –Examples of successful partnerships i.e. AADMER Partnership Group GAR13 –New standards –New incentives and models of value addition –New accountability and regulatory framework

23. 2) What are the main concerns related to the HFA2? 3. Implementation How do we promote improved DRR implementation in HFA2? How to move from plans to actions? Mechanisms, approaches, methods and tools Examples of “how do we really do DRR”?

24. 3) How do we integrate HFA2 outcomes in the SDGs/Post-2015 Development Agenda? Build on the High Level Panel recommendations Work with country delegations Develop strong evidence for use by delegations Briefings – notes and presentations in various venues

25. 4) What do we need to prepare for GP15/3WCDRR? From the GP13 Chairs Summary GP15 will be multi-stakeholder –Meeting of National Platforms –Multi-stakeholder parallel forums (e.g. children) 3WCDR will be inter-governmental - commitments needed from –Central governments –Local governments –Communities –Private sector –Science community Review of regional DRR strategies Review of UN joint action on DRR to assist countries

26. 4) What do we need to prepare for GP15/3WCDRR? Ensure AP region voice/inputs: Need of a dedicated group of champion stakeholders from the region fully aware and vocal carrying evidence of their cause Governments need to be fully aware of the options for HFA2 with evidence and cases compiled from the region Highlight achievements of the region on HFA1 and celebrate these achievements

27. 5) How do we prepare to develop HFA2 Implementation Plan? Use the process leading to 6AMCDRR and beyond: Build HFA2 partnerships Use HFA2 partnerships to develop and review standards, regulations and incentives under HFA2 implementation plan Use the learning on “how to do DRR” from the region to inform the above

28. THANK YOU