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Population Change in The United States: Implications for Human and Socioeconomic Resources in the 21st Century by Steve H. Murdock Institute for Demographic.

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Presentation on theme: "Population Change in The United States: Implications for Human and Socioeconomic Resources in the 21st Century by Steve H. Murdock Institute for Demographic."— Presentation transcript:

1 Population Change in The United States: Implications for Human and Socioeconomic Resources in the 21st Century by Steve H. Murdock Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research The University of Texas at San Antonio

2 Major Demographic Trends Affecting the Future Rates, Sources and Distribution of the Population Increase in the Minority Population Aging of the Population

3 Total Population and Percent Population Change in Texas and the United States, 1850-2005

4 Percent Change in the U.S. Population, 1790-2000

5 Percent of United States Population Change Due to Immigration and Natural Increase, 1820 to 2005

6 Numerical Population Change by Components of Change in the United States and Selected States, 1990-2000 and 2000-2005

7 Percent of Population Change by Components of Change in the United States and Selected States, 1990-2000 and 2000-2005

8 Immigration into the United States, by Period and Area of Origin of Immigrants, 1820-2004 (numbers in thousands)

9 Ten Fastest Growing States (in Numerical Terms) in the United States, 1990-2000

10 Ten Fastest Growing States in Numerical Terms in the United States, 2000-2005

11 Ten Fastest Growing States in Percentage Terms in the United States, 2000-2005

12 Ten Largest States in United States by Population Size in 2000 Ranked by Population Size in 2000

13 Ten Largest States in United States by Population Size in 2000 Ranked by Population Size in 2005

14 Largest Metropolitan Areas in the United States Ranked by Size in 2000

15 Largest Metropolitan Areas in the United States Ranked by Numerical Change, 1990-2000

16 Largest Metropolitan Areas in the United States Ranked by Percent Change, 1990-2000

17 Largest Metropolitan Areas in the United States Ranked by Size in 2004

18 Largest Metropolitan Areas in the United States Ranked by Numerical Change, 2000-2004

19 Largest Metropolitan Areas in the United States Ranked by Percent Change, 2000-2004

20 Largest Places in the United States Ranked by Size in 2004

21 Largest Places in the United States Ranked by Numerical Change, 2000-2004

22 Places 100,000 Population or More in the United States Ranked by Percent Change, 2000-2004

23 Largest Counties in the United States Ranked by Size in 2000

24 Largest Counties in the United States Ranked by Numerical Change, 1990-2000

25 Largest Counties in the United States Ranked by Percent Change, 1990-2000

26 Largest Counties in the United States Ranked by Size in 2005

27 Largest Counties in the United States Ranked by Numerical Change, 2000-2005

28 Largest Counties in the United States Ranked by Percent Change, 2000-2005

29 Population of the United States 1990 and 2000, Population Change 1990 to 2000 and Proportion of Population in 2000 by Region

30 Population of the United States by Regions, 1900-2000

31 Major Changes in Population Composition (Characteristics) Race/Ethnicity Age

32 Proportion of U.S. Population by Race/Ethnicity in Each Region in 2000

33 Population 1980 and 1990, Percent Change in Population 1980 to 1990 and Proportion of Population 1980 and 1990 by Ethnicity for Texas and the United States

34 United States Population by Race/Ethnicity in 1990 and Net Change Due to Each Racial/Ethnic Group 1980-1990 Percent of PopulationNet Change

35 Population 1990 and 2000, Percent Change in Population 1990 to 2000 and Proportion of Population 1990 and 2000 by Ethnicity for Texas and the United States

36 United States Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Net Change Due to Each Racial/Ethnic Group 1990-2000

37 Proportion of Population by Ethnicity for Texas and the United States, 2000 Proportion of Population

38 Anglo Population For Ten Largest States in the United States in 1990 and 2000

39 Major Changes in Population Composition (Characteristics) Age

40 Median Age in the United States and Texas, 1900-2000

41 Percent Change in Population by Age Group in the United States and Texas, 1990-2000

42 Percent of United States Population By Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000

43 Population Pyramids for Anglo and Hispanic Ethnic Groups in the United States, 2000

44 POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS

45 Median Household Income in the United States by Age of Householder, 1999 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Money Income in the United States: 1999, Current Population Report P60-209

46 Median Household Income in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 1989 and 1999 with Percent Change 1989 to 1999

47 Average (Mean) SAT Scores for College Bound Seniors in the United States in 2001 by Selected Characteristics

48 PROJECTIONS

49 Projections of the Population of the United States from 2000 to 2050 by Race/Ethnicity for the Middle Projection Scenario (in thousands)

50 Projected Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for the Population for the United States by Racial/Ethnic Status for the Middle Projection Scenario

51 Projections of the Percent of the Population of the United States by Race/Ethnicity from 2000 to 2050 for the Middle Projection Scenario

52 Projections of the Percent of the United States Population by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050*

53 Percent of Net Change in the Population of the United States from 2000 to 2050 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group for the Middle Projection Scenario

54 Percent of Net Population Change Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group for the United States, 2000-2050

55 Projections of the Percent of the Population of the United States by Age in 2000, 2010, 2030 and 2050 for the Middle Projection Scenario

56 Percent Change in Projected Population for the United States by Age Group, 2000-2050

57 Total, Elementary and Secondary, and College Enrollment

58 Projections of Total, Elementary and Secondary, and College Enrollment in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050 Under the Middle Scenario

59 Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Total, Elementary and Secondary, and College Enrollment in the United States by Race/Ethnicity Under the Middle Scenario

60 Projected Percent of Total, Elementary and Secondary, and College Enrollment in the United States by Race/Ethnicity in 1990 and Projected for 2000-2050 Under the Middle Scenario

61 Percent of Net Change in the Number of Persons Enrolled in Schools in the United States from 1990- 2050 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under the Middle Scenario

62 EDUCATION IN TEXAS

63 Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040

64 Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Population in Texas by Racial/Ethnic Status Under Alternative Assumptions of Migration Scenarios

65 Percent of Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Percent of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040

66 Projected Proportion of Population by Race/Ethnicity in Texas, 2000-2040*

67 Percent of the Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity and Age Groups in Texas from 2000- 2040 Under Alternative Migration Scenarios

68 Projected Percent of Net Change Attributable to Each Race/Ethnicity Group for 2000-2040*

69 Percent Change from 2000 to 2040 in Selected Age Groups in the Texas Population Under the 1.0 Scenario

70 Educational Attainment Characteristics of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity, 1990-2000

71 Public Community College and University Enrollment Rates (Per 100 Persons Ages 18 to 35) in Texas by Race/Ethnicity, 1990 and 2000

72 Enrollment in Public Elementary and Secondary Schools in Texas for all Scenarios, 2000-2040

73 Enrollment in Public Community Colleges and Public Universities in Texas, 2000-2040*

74 Projected Percent of Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections for 2040*

75 Projected Percent of Public Community College Enrollment by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections for 2040*

76 Projected Percent of Public University Enrollment by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections for 2040*

77 Future Demands for Specific Programs

78 Percent Change in Public Community College Enrollment, Public University Enrollment, Students with Financial Need Unmet by Household Resources, and State Financial Assistance Expenditures for Public Higher Education in Texas, 2000-2040*

79 Number of Labor Force Members Reaching 65 Years of Age During Each Decade and Approximate Monthly Retirement Costs by Decade, 1980-2050

80 Average Annual Household Income in Texas and the United States by Educational Attainment of Householder in 2000*

81 Percent of Persons 25 Years of Age or Older by Level of Educational Attainment and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected to 2040* Assuming 1990-2000 Trends in Educational Attainment Rates

82 Aggregate Income and Consumer Expenditures for Population 25 Years of Age or Older in Texas in 2000 and Projected Under Alternative Educational Attainment Assumptions for 2040*

83 State Tax Revenues in Texas for 2000 and Projected for 2040 (in 2000 Dollars) Assuming 2000 Rates, 1990-2000 Rates of Closure Between Anglo-Black and Anglo-Hispanic Household Incomes, and Anglo Income Levels for All Race/Ethnicity Groups*

84 The mark of a truly educated man is to be moved deeply by statistics. George Bernard Shaw

85 Steve Murdock Texas State Data Center Phone 210 – 458 - 6530 Fax 210 – 458 - 6540 Website txsdc.utsa.edu


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