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Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

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Presentation on theme: "Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems"— Presentation transcript:

1 Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

2 Macroeconomic Objectives
Distinction between microeconomics and macroeconomics The major macroeconomic issues economic growth unemployment inflation balance of payments and exchange rates balance of payments deficits and surpluses exchange rate movements

3 Economic growth (average % per annum), Unemployment (average %), Inflation (average % per annum)

4 Economic growth (average % per annum), Unemployment (average %), Inflation (average % per annum)

5 Economic growth (average % per annum), Unemployment (average %), Inflation (average % per annum)

6 The Circular Flow of Income
The inner flow

7 The circular flow of income
Firms Factor payments Consumption of domestically produced goods and services (Cd) Households

8 The Circular Flow of Income
Withdrawals net saving net taxes import expenditure Injections investment government expenditure export expenditure

9 The circular flow of income
Export expenditure (X) INJECTIONS Government expenditure (G) Investment (I) Consumption of domestically produced goods and services (Cd) BANKS, etc Net saving (S) ABROAD Import expenditure (M) Factor payments GOV. Net taxes (T) WITHDRAWALS

10 The Circular Flow of Income
The relationship between injections and withdrawals the links between them

11 The circular flow of income
Export expenditure (X) INJECTIONS Government expenditure (G) Investment (I) Consumption of domestically produced goods and services (Cd) BANKS, etc Net saving (S) ABROAD Import expenditure (M) Factor payments GOV. Net taxes (T) WITHDRAWALS

12 The Circular Flow of Income
The relationship between injections and withdrawals the links between them planned injections may not equal planned withdrawals

13 The Circular Flow of Income
The relationship between injections and withdrawals the links between them planned injections may not equal planned withdrawals Equilibrium in the circular flow

14 The circular flow of income
Export expenditure (X) INJECTIONS Government expenditure (G) Investment (I) Consumption of domestically produced goods and services (Cd) BANKS, etc Net saving (S) ABROAD Import expenditure (M) Factor payments GOV. Net taxes (T) WITHDRAWALS

15 The Circular Flow of Income
The relationship between injections and withdrawals the links between them planned injections may not equal planned withdrawals Equilibrium in the circular flow The circular flow and the four macroeconomic objectives

16 The circular flow of income
Export expenditure (X) INJECTIONS Government expenditure (G) Investment (I) Consumption of domestically produced goods and services (Cd) BANKS, etc Net saving (S) ABROAD Import expenditure (M) Factor payments GOV. Net taxes (T) WITHDRAWALS

17 Measuring national income
GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach

18 The circular flow of national income and expenditure

19 The circular flow of national income and expenditure
(1) Production (2) Incomes (3) Expenditure

20 Measuring national income
GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach The product approach

21 Measuring national income
GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach The product approach measuring GVA

22 UK GVA (product-based measure): 2001
Agriculture, forestry and fishing £8 241 m Mining, energy and water supply £ m Manufacturing £ m Construction £ m Wholesale and retail trade; repairs £ m Hotels and restaurants £29 359m Transport and communication £ m Banking, finance, insurance, etc. £6 667 m Letting of property £ m Public administration and defence £ m Education, health and social work £ m Other services £ m

23 UK GVA (product-based measure): 2001
Agriculture, forestry and fishing £8 241 m Mining, energy and water supply £ m Manufacturing £ m Construction £ m Wholesale and retail trade; repairs £ m Hotels and restaurants £29 359m Transport and communication £ m Banking, finance, insurance, etc. £6 667 m Letting of property £ m Public administration and defence £ m Education, health and social work £ m Other services £ m Total GVA £ m

24 UK GVA (product-based measure): 2001
Agriculture, forestry and fishing £8 241 m Mining, energy and water supply £ m Manufacturing £ m Construction £ m Wholesale and retail trade; repairs £ m Hotels and restaurants £29 359m Transport and communication £ m Banking, finance, insurance, etc. £6 667 m Letting of property £ m Public administration and defence £ m Education, health and social work £ m Other services £ m Total GVA £ m 0.9 4.7 17.5 5.4 12.2 3.4 8.0 0.8 24.0 4.8 13.0 5.2 100.0 Percentage of GVA

25 Measuring national income
GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach The product approach measuring GVA The income approach

26 UK GVA by category of income: 2001
Compensation of employees (wages and salaries) £ m Operating surplus (gross profit, rent and interest of firms government and other institutions) £ m Mixed incomes £ m Tax less subsidies on production (other than those on products) plus statistical discrepancy £19 158m

27 UK GVA by category of income: 2001
Compensation of employees (wages and salaries) £ m Operating surplus (gross profit, rent and interest of firms government and other institutions) £ m Mixed incomes £ m Tax less subsidies on production (other than those on products) plus statistical discrepancy £19 158m Total GVA £ m

28 UK GVA by category of income: 2001
Compensation of employees (wages and salaries) £ m Operating surplus (gross profit, rent and interest of firms government and other institutions) £ m Mixed incomes £ m Tax less subsidies on production (other than those on products) plus statistical discrepancy £19 158m Total GVA £ m 63.6 27.3 6.9 2.2 100.0 Percentage of GVA

29 Measuring national income
GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach The product approach measuring GVA The income approach From GVA to GDP

30 UK GDP (product-based measure): 2001
GVA (gross value added at basic prices) £ m

31 UK GDP (product-based measure): 2001
GVA (gross value added at basic prices) £ m plus Taxes on products £ m

32 UK GDP (product-based measure): 2001
GVA (gross value added at basic prices) £ m plus Taxes on products £ m less Subsidies on products £6 712m

33 UK GDP (product-based measure): 2001
GVA (gross value added at basic prices) £ m plus Taxes on products £ m less Subsidies on products £6 712m GDP (at market prices) £ m

34 Measuring national income
GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach The product approach measuring GVA The income approach The expenditure approach

35 UK GDP by category of expenditure, GNY and NNY: 2001
£million Consumption expenditure of households and NPISH (C) Government final consumption (G) Gross capital formation (I) Exports of goods and services (X) less Imports of goods and services (M)  Statistical discrepancy 499 Gross domestic product (GDP) (at market prices)

36 Measuring national income
GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach The product approach measuring GVA The income approach from GVA to GDP From GDP to net national income (NNY)

37 UK GDP by category of expenditure, GNY and NNY: 2001
£million Consumption expenditure of households and NPISH (C) Government final consumption (G) Gross capital formation (I) Exports of goods and services (X) less Imports of goods and services (M)  Statistical discrepancy 499 Gross domestic product (GDP) (at market prices) plus Net income from abroad 5 756 Gross national income (GNY)

38 UK GDP by category of expenditure, GNY and NNY: 2001
£million Consumption expenditure of households and NPISH (C) Government final consumption (G) Gross capital formation (I) Exports of goods and services (X) less Imports of goods and services (M)  Statistical discrepancy 499 Gross domestic product (GDP) (at market prices) plus Net income from abroad 5 756 Gross national income (GNY) less Capital consumption (depreciation) Net national income (NNY)

39 Measuring national income
GDP as a measure of social welfare benefits of using GDP weaknesses The Human Development Index (HDI)

40 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

41 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

42 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

43 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

44 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

45 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

46 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

47 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

48 Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

49 Growth and the Business Cycle
Growth in actual and potential growth Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth

50 The business cycle National output Time Potential output Actual output

51 Growth and the Business Cycle
Growth in actual and potential output Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth the phases of the business cycle

52 The business cycle National output Time Potential output 3 4 2 Actual
1 2 3 4 National output Actual output 3 4 2 1 O Time

53 Growth and the Business Cycle
Growth in actual and potential output Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth the phases of the business cycle trend growth

54 The business cycle National output Time Potential output Trend output
Actual output O Time

55 Growth and the Business Cycle
Growth in actual and potential growth Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth the phases of the business cycle long-term output trend the business cycle in practice

56 Growth and the Business Cycle
Growth in actual and potential growth Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth the phases of the business cycle long-term output trend the business cycle in practice the irregularity of the cycle

57 Growth and the Business Cycle
Growth in actual and potential growth Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth the phases of the business cycle long-term output trend the business cycle in practice the irregularity of the cycle the length of the phases

58 Growth and the Business Cycle
Growth in actual and potential growth Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth the phases of the business cycle long-term output trend the business cycle in practice the irregularity of the cycle the length of the phases the magnitude of the phases

59 Growth and the Business Cycle
Causes of fluctuations in actual growth aggregate demand aggregate demand relative to potential output Actual growth in practice experience since 1970

60 Growth rates in selected industrial countries
UK Annual growth rate (%)

61 Growth rates in selected industrial countries
UK Annual growth rate (%)

62 Growth rates in selected industrial countries
UK France Annual growth rate (%)

63 Growth rates in selected industrial countries
UK France Annual growth rate (%)

64 Growth rates in selected industrial countries
UK Germany France Annual growth rate (%)

65 Growth rates in selected industrial countries
UK Germany France Annual growth rate (%)

66 Growth rates in selected industrial countries
UK Germany France USA Annual growth rate (%)

67 Growth rates in selected industrial countries
UK Germany France USA Annual growth rate (%)

68 Growth rates in selected industrial countries
UK Germany Japan France USA Annual growth rate (%)

69 Growth rates in selected industrial countries
UK Germany Japan France USA Annual growth rate (%)

70 Growth and the Business Cycle
Causes of potential growth increases in the quantity of factors capital labour land and raw materials the problem of diminishing returns increases in factor productivity Policies to achieve growth demand-side and supply-side policies market-orientated and interventionist policies

71 Unemployment The meaning of 'unemployment' The costs of unemployment
Official measures of unemployment claimant unemployment do claimant statistics give a true picture of unemployment? standardised unemployment (ILO / OECD)

72 Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
UK

73 Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
UK

74 Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
UK France

75 Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
UK France

76 Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
UK Germany France

77 Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
UK Germany France

78 Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
UK Germany France USA

79 Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
UK Germany France USA

80 Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
UK Germany Japan France USA

81 Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
UK Germany Japan France USA

82 Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
UK Germany Japan France USA OECD

83 Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
UK Germany Japan France USA OECD

84 Standardised unemployment rates in different sectors of the labour market (2002)

85 Standardised unemployment rates in different sectors of the labour market (2002)

86 Standardised unemployment rates in different sectors of the labour market (2002)

87 Standardised unemployment rates in different sectors of the labour market (2002)

88 Unemployment Unemployment and the labour market
the aggregate demand and supply of labour equilibrium in the model

89 Disequilibrium unemployment
ASL Average (real) wage rate We Qe ADL O No. of workers

90 Unemployment Unemployment and the labour market
the aggregate demand and supply of labour equilibrium in the model disequilibrium unemployment

91 Disequilibrium unemployment
ASL Average (real) wage rate B A W2 Q2 Q1 We ADL O No. of workers

92 Unemployment Unemployment and the labour market
the aggregate demand and supply of labour equilibrium in the model disequilibrium unemployment equilibrium unemployment

93 Equilibrium unemployment
ASL Average (real) wage rate e We ADL O Qe No. of workers

94 Equilibrium unemployment
ASL N Average (real) wage rate e d We Q2 ADL O Qe No. of workers

95 Equilibrium and disequilibrium unemployment
ASL Average (real) wage rate e We ADL O Qe No. of workers

96 Equilibrium and disequilibrium unemployment
ASL Disequilibrium unemployment Average (real) wage rate b a W2 e We ADL O No. of workers

97 Equilibrium and disequilibrium unemployment
ASL N Disequilibrium unemployment Average (real) wage rate b a c W2 Equilibrium unemployment e We ADL O No. of workers

98 Unemployment Disequilibrium unemployment
real-wage (classical) unemployment demand-deficient (cyclical) unemployment unemployment arising from a growth in the labour supply

99 Unemployment Equilibrium unemployment frictional (search) unemployment
structural unemployment changing pattern of demand technological unemployment regional unemployment seasonal unemployment

100 Aggregate Demand and Supply
The aggregate demand curve

101 Aggregate demand and aggregate supply
AD Price level O National output

102 Aggregate Demand and Supply
The aggregate demand curve Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards

103 Aggregate Demand and Supply
The aggregate demand curve Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards import effect

104 Aggregate demand and aggregate supply
AD Price level O National output

105 Aggregate Demand and Supply
The aggregate demand curve Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards import effect interest-rate effect

106 Aggregate demand and aggregate supply
AD Price level O National output

107 Aggregate Demand and Supply
The aggregate demand curve Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards import effect interest-rate effect savings effect

108 Aggregate demand and aggregate supply
AD Price level O National output

109 Aggregate Demand and Supply
The aggregate demand curve Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards import effect interest-rate effect savings effect The aggregate supply curve

110 Aggregate demand and aggregate supply
AD AS Price level O National output

111 Aggregate Demand and Supply
The aggregate demand curve Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards import effect interest-rate effect savings effect The aggregate supply curve Why aggregate supply curves generally slope upwards

112 Aggregate demand and aggregate supply
AD AS Price level O National output

113 Aggregate Demand and Supply
The aggregate demand curve Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards import effect interest-rate effect savings effect The aggregate supply curve Why aggregate supply curves generally slope upwards Equilibrium

114 Aggregate demand and aggregate supply
AS Price level Pe AD O National output

115 Aggregate demand and aggregate supply
AS Price level Pe b a P2 AD O National output

116 Aggregate Demand and Supply
The aggregate demand curve Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards import effect interest-rate effect savings effect The aggregate supply curve Why AS curves generally slope upwards Equilibrium Effect of a shift in the AD curve

117 Inflation Defining inflation The costs of inflation
redistribution uncertainty balance of payments resources used to cope with inflation Experience of inflation since 1965

118 Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
UK

119 Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
UK

120 Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
UK EU 15

121 Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
UK EU 15

122 Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
UK USA EU 15

123 Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
UK USA EU 15

124 Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
UK USA EU 15 Japan

125 Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
UK USA EU 15 Japan

126 Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
UK USA OECD EU 15 Japan

127 Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
UK USA OECD EU 15 Japan

128 Inflation Types of inflation demand pull

129 Demand-pull inflation
AS Price level P1 AD1 O Q1 National output

130 Demand-pull inflation
AS Price level P1 AD2 AD1 O Q1 National output

131 Demand-pull inflation
AS Price level P2 Q2 P1 AD2 AD1 O Q1 National output

132 Inflation Types of inflation demand pull cost push

133 Inflation Types of inflation demand pull cost push wage push

134 Inflation Types of inflation demand pull cost push wage push
profit push

135 Inflation Types of inflation demand pull cost push wage push
profit push import-price push

136 Cost-push inflation AS1 Price level P1 AD O Q1 National output

137 Cost-push inflation AS2 AS1 Price level P1 AD O Q1 National output

138 Cost-push inflation AS2 AS1 AD Price level P2 P1 O Q2 Q1
National output

139 Inflation Types of inflation demand pull cost push
wage push profit push import-price push the interaction of demand-pull and cost- push inflation

140 The interaction of demand-pull and cost-push inflation
AS1 Price level P1 AD1 O National output

141 The interaction of demand-pull and cost-push inflation
AS2 AS1 Price level P2 P1 AD2 AD1 O National output

142 The interaction of demand-pull and cost-push inflation
AS3 AS2 AS1 P3 Price level P2 AD3 P1 AD2 AD1 O National output

143 Inflation Types of inflation demand pull cost push
wage push profit push import-price push structural (demand shift)

144 Inflation Types of inflation demand pull cost push
wage push profit push import-price push structural (demand shift) expectations and inflation

145 Inflation Types of inflation Policies to tackle inflation demand pull
cost push wage push profit push import-price push structural (demand shift) expectations and inflation Policies to tackle inflation

146 Inflation Types of inflation Policies to tackle inflation demand pull
cost push wage push profit push import-price push structural (demand shift) expectations and inflation Policies to tackle inflation demand-side policies

147 Inflation Types of inflation Policies to tackle inflation demand pull
cost push wage push profit push import-price push structural (demand shift) expectations and inflation Policies to tackle inflation demand-side policies supply-side policies


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