1. 1 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change UNFCCC press conference, Bonn, 17 November 2008 by Sergey KONONOV (UNFCCC secretariat) UNFCCC data 2008: highlights

2. 2 Background: now 2 sets of data For 41 Annex I Parties (industrialized countries) Reported data for 1990–2006 –GHG emissions/removals –with/without sinks (LULUCF) Published as FCCC/SBI/2008/12 (“GHG data report”) Convention data (= “emissions data”) KP data (new in 2008) (= “accounting data”) For Annex B Parties (39) –Annex B = Annex I – US – Turkey Data from “initial review under KP” – KP base year level => assigned amounts (AA) for 2008–2012 –eligibility to trade under KP –various accounting parameters Published as FCCC/KP/CMP/2008/9 (“Compilation and accounting report” or “C&A report”) “emissions side”“accounting side” compliance with KP (after 2012)

3. 3 Highlights (1): Convention data Trends of interest: Long-term trend for Convention period (1990–2006) => … Short-term trend for recent years (2000–2006) => … Data by Annex I groups: Annex I all (41 Parties) Annex I EITs (14) Annex I non-EITs (26)

4. 4 Convention data / long-term: changes 1990–2006 Note: the data above are for GHG emissions without LULUCF; most trends for net emissions including LULUCF are similar although not necessarily equivalent (see UNFCCC reports with detailed data) Changes in million t CO 2 -eq: All Annex I–894 Annex non-EITs+1290 Annex I EITs–2184 Observations: Overall, Annex I emissions below base year (–5%) Most of the long-term decrease comes from EITs (see in Mt CO 2 -eq…)

5. 5 Convention data / short-term: changes 2000 – 2006 Note: the data above are for GHG emissions without LULUCF; most trends for net emissions including LULUCF are similar although not necessarily equivalent (see UNFCCC reports with detailed data) Changes in million t CO 2 -eq: All Annex I+403 Annex non-EITs+145 Annex I EITs+258 Observations: Distinct increases in 2000–2006 –AI total = +2.3%; AI non-EITs = +1.0%; AI EITs = +7.4% Same trend as noted last year, but The increase from 2000 is lower than in last year’s report –2007 report: AI total = +2.6%; AI non-EITs = +1.9%; AI EITs = +5.8% –decrease (–0.1% for AI total) occurred in 2005–2006 (non-EITs: – 1%, EITs: +3%)

6. 6 Background: now 2 sets of data Reported data for 1990–2006 –GHG emissions/removals –with/without sinks (LULUCF) For 41 Annex I Parties (industrialized countries) Published as FCCC/SBI/2008/12 (“GHG data report”) Convention data (= “emissions data”) KP data (new in 2008) (= “accounting data”) Data from “initial review under KP” – KP base year level => assigned amounts (AA) for 2008–2012 –eligibility to trade under KP –various accounting parameters For Annex B Parties (39) –Annex B = Annex I – US – Turkey Published as FCCC/KP/CMP/2008/9 (“Compilation and accounting report” or “C&A report”) “emissions side”“accounting side”

7. 7 Highlights (2): accounting data from initial review under KP Data reported by Parties=> reviewed by experts => finalized in 2007–2008 Assigned amount for 2008–2012 (fixed emissions quota for 5 years) Main accounting parameters (mostly LULUCF) Review completed for 36 of 39 Annex B Parties –pending for Australia, Belarus, Croatia Accounting values are now in ITL and registries; full trading enabled 33 registries + CDM registry are currently live with ITL (only 3 registries + CDM were operational in 2007) Kyoto Protocol trading through ITL is ongoing Extensive reporting from Parties on the status of trading are due in 2009 Number of transactions on steep increase after CITL->ITL link in October –at CITL-ITL linking, 26 EU registries were connected to the ITL Comparisons with official KP baseline (without trading) now possible… Note 1: ITL = UNFCCC’s International Transaction Log Note 2: Assigned amount for 2008–2012 is determined from a) base year level, and b) Kyoto Protocol target Note 3: Base year (BY) definition under KP slightly differs from the Convention (F-gases, deforestation, KP coverage)

8. 8 Changes for individual Parties Observations: (1) NOT a compliance assessment (too simple, too early)! (2) diverse trends for Parties => potential for mechanisms 16 3 20 not yet on target on target now (2006) full data not yet available

9. 9 GHG emissions in 2006 compared to KP base year (36 Parties) Observations: Overall, Annex B emissions well below base year (–17%) –the overall KP –5% target achievable for Annex B group –decreases in EITs essential; slightly above base year for non-EITs Further monitoring important (see the 2000–2006 trend) 1.8 -16.7 in billion tonnes in %

10. 10 Summary 2008 update for all Annex I Convention Parties together: –emissions are currently (2006) below 1990 level (–5%) –increase from 2000 requires attention 2008: official accounting data under KP available/used in trade –data finalized through the initial review process –data for most Parties are in ITL and registries –full KP trading enabled: 33 registries + CDM registry live with ITL Comparisons of emissions and KP base year now possible –with current data (–17%), the –5% KP target looks achievable –trends in individual Parties differ; potential for mechanisms indicated Note of caution: –this comparison of emission trends is NOT a compliance assessment (2006 data, not 2008–2012; no impact of mechanisms and LULUCF)

11. 11 References FCCC/SBI/2008/12 (“GHG data report”) – published –UNFCCC document with 1990–2006 data on GHG emissions/removals from Annex I Parties FCCC/KP/CMP/2008/9 (“C&A report”) – published –UNFCCC document with the 1 st compilation and accounting report for Annex I Parties (with assigned amounts, eligibility and other results from the initial review under Kyoto Protocol) FCCC/KP/CMP/2008/7 (“ITL report”) – to be published –UNFCCC document with the report of the ITL administrator UNFCCC GHG data interface online: –unfccc.int/ghg_data/items/3800.php: main page –unfccc.int/ghg_data/ghg_data_unfccc/items/4146.php: Convention data –http://unfccc.int/ghg_data/kp_data_unfccc/items/4357.php: KP data UNFCCC web page on registry systems and the ITL: –http://unfccc.int/kyoto_protocol/registry_systems/items/2723.php