Presentation on theme: "50 years of change and a model for the future Cathy Parker and Simon #HSUK2020."— Presentation transcript:
50 years of change and a model for the future Cathy Parker and Simon Quin @placemanagement #HSUK2020
Good morning and welcome Welcome particularly to representatives of our partner towns: Alsager, Altrincham, Ballymena, Barnsley, Bristol (St George), Congleton, Holmfirth, Market Rasen, Morley and Wrexham
Welcome also to our international webinar participants Australia Canada Cyprus Germany Greece Italy Malaysia Netherlands Portugal Poland Sweden United Kingdom …and Isle of Man https://mmu.adobeconnect.com/uk2020mmu/
Agenda 09.30 – 10.30 10.30 – 11.00 11.00 – 13.00 50 years of high street change & a model for the future Break Repositioning, reinventing, rebranding & restructuring your high street @placemanagement #HSUK2020
Vital & Viable Town Centres Planning Policy Guidance/Statements Business Improvement Districts High Street Britain 2015 The Portas Review Understanding High Street Performance Future High Streets Forum
10000 studies found2345 after clean up923 ‘retail’ highlighted253 town centre/high st173 studies reviewed @placemanagement#HSUK2020
Review parameters 1.Type of study (empirical, exploratory, conceptual) 2.Methodological evidence 3.Data source (primary, secondary, tertiary) 4.Dependent variable (retail area performance measure) 5.Independent variables (factor affecting performance) 6.Significance (major findings and statistical significance if available) 7.Limitations (flaws, weaknesses etc.) 8.Author, date, publisher 9.Geographical location (UK, US, Europe, e.g.) 10.Size of retail/shopping centre (Different geographical scales of place, e.g. city centre, town centre, high street, neighbourhood centre, district centre, suburban centre)
Time in minutes per review Retail Restructuring and Consumer Choice 1: Long-term local changes in consumer behaviour: Portsmouth, 1980- 2002 38 mins US nationwide trends in metropolitan retail trade: A perspective of the mid 1980s
Most of the studies were empirical Empirical Conceptual Explanatory Historical Other
And if 166 factors were not enough….. Partner towns identified 50 additional factors that influence the High Street 33 additional studies reviewed 201 factors finally identified, but: – how much influence does each one have? – what should towns be focussing on?
The Delphi Technique The Delphi method is unique in its method of eliciting and refining group judgement as it is based on the notion that a group of experts is better than one expert when exact knowledge is not available. (Paliwoda, 1983).
22 Experts participated PractitionerAcademic Major retailerManchester Metropolitan University Shopping centres ownerUniversity of Leicester Urban consultantUniversity of Dundee Retail letting agencyUniversity of Ulster Urban policy groupOxford University Trade associationUniversity of Manchester Professional bodyUniversity of Liverpool University of Portsmouth University of Loughborough
Consensus reached on 1.How much influence each factor has on the vitality and viability of the High Street 2.How much control a location has over the factor
Spatial Macro Meso Micro You can’t control everything
Influence relationships Weak inverse relationship between influence town has over factor and influence factor has over vitality and viability As a rule of thumb the more a factor influences vitality and viability, the less you can do about it Towns need to focus on factors they can influence, and where that influence will impact on vitality and viability
Not worth it!Get on with it! Forget it!Live with it!