1. Modelling crisis management for improved action and preparedness Funded from the European Community's Seventh Framework Programme FP7/2007-2013 under grant agreement no. 284552 "CRISMA“ Modelling crisis management for improved action and preparedness (CRISMA) Meeting with Czech delegation 03.09.2013 Naples Maria Polese and Giulio Zuccaro

2. 15.1.2015 | 2 © Crismaproject CRISMA-project in a nut shell EU-FP7 Theme 10: Security Call FP7- SEC-2011.4.1-1 Crisis management modelling tool Type of funding scheme: Collaborative Project Type of project: Integration Project Work programme topics addressed: SEC-2011.4.1-1 Duration42 months Start date: 1 st March 2012, End date: 30 th August 2015 Effort1097,85 person months Cost/EU-Fundingappr. 14.4 m Euro / appr. 10.1 m Euro WWWwww.crismaproject.eu ContactsAnna-Mari Heikkilä, VTT Crisma.Coordinator@vtt.fi

3. 15.1.2015 | 3 © Crismaproject CRISMA Participants

4. 15.1.2015 | 4 © Crismaproject Participant no. * Participant organisation nameShort name Country 1 (Coordinator) Valtion teknillinen tutkimuskeskus (as of 1.12.2010 “Teknologian Tutkimuskeskus VTT”) VTTFinland 2Fraunhofer Gesellschaft zur Förderung der angewandten Forschung e.V. FhGGermany 3Analisi e Monitorraggio del Rischio AmbientaleAMRAItaly 4AIT Austrian Institute of Technology GmbH.AITAustria 5Association for the Development of Industrial Aerodynamics ADAIPortugal 6Tallinna Tehnikaulikool Tallinn University of Technology TTUEstonia 7NICE Systems LtdNICEIsrael 18ARTELIA Eau & EnvironnementAEEFrance 9European Aeronautics Defence and Space Company – CASSIDIAN Division EADSGermany 10Insta DefSecINSFinland 11Spacebel S.ASpBBelgium 12Cismet GmbHCISGermany 13Pelastusopisto, The Emergency Services College ESCFinland 14Magen David AdomMDAIsrael 15Public Safety Communication Europe ForumPSCEBelgium 16Ilmatieteen laitos, Finnish Meteorological Institute FMIFinland 17Deutsches Rotes KreutzDRKGermany

5. 15.1.2015 | 5 © Crismaproject CRISMA Vision

6. 15.1.2015 | 6 © Crismaproject CRISMA objectives  A common set of criteria and performance indicators for crisis management simulation and optimisation provided by the CRISMA modelling system shall enable decision makers* and crisis managers to:  (1) model possible multi-sectoral crisis scenarios and assess the consequences of an incident,  (2) simulate possible impacts resulting from alternative actions,  (3) support strategic decisions on capabilities,related investments, reserves and inventories,  (4) optimise the deployment of resources dedicated to crisis response in- line with the evolvement of a crisis, and  (5) to improve action plans for the preparedness and response phases of the crisis management.  *) Decision makers/crisis managers here mean all public and private stakeholders active in the management of crisis and critical infrastructures (i.e. energy, transportation and IT networks) and incidents affecting them.

7. 15.1.2015 | 7 © Crismaproject CRISMA outcome  An integrated modelling system for simulation–based decision support  CRISMA System facilitates simulation and modelling of  realistic crisis management scenarios;  possible response actions; and  the impacts of crisis, depending on crisis evolvement and various crisis management actions.  CRISMA System will support  multi-organisational short and long term strategic planning,  impact evaluation of e.g. investment options,  improving multi-organisational cooperation, and  more flexible training.

8. 15.1.2015 | 8 © Crismaproject Original CRISMA concept

9. 15.1.2015 | 9 © Crismaproject CRISMA system architecture shall  Predict on integrating the existing models and tools to foresee the evolution and consequences of specific hazards and the planning of the response.  Cover the evolution of large-scale incidents by integrating existing models in this area.  Enable integrating the future models and tools for better understanding of new hazards and scenarios.  Enable the use of existing user interfaces but also provides a CRISMA user interface.

10. 15.1.2015 | 10 © Crismaproject CRISMA shall focus on  ƒNatural disasters with irreversible damages and related vulnerability models for buildings, transport systems and social disruption;  ƒFlooding and its coastal submersion and related flood models;  ƒAccidental pollution with dispersal models of toxic fumes;  ƒCross-border accident with meteorological forecasts and models; and  ƒVulnerability models for forecasting societal consequences, and short and long term economic impacts.

11. 15.1.2015 | 11 © Crismaproject  Pilot A : Cross-Border Emergency – Finland  Pilot B : Coastal Submersion – Charente-Maritime (France)  Pilot C : Accidental Pollution – Ashod (Israel)  Pilot D : Geophysical Hazards – L’Aquila (Italy)  Pilot E : Multi-Hazard Site – Plane Crash on Congress Centre (Germany) CRISMA Test cases

12. 15.1.2015 | 12 © Crismaproject CRISMA Test cases  Pilot A : Cross-Border Emergency – Finland The Pilot A sample scenario describes a crisis in the North of Finland for 1-2 weeks due to snowstorms occurring in the Barents Sea region and damage the critical infrastructure and its services. Low temperatures, heavy snowfall and strong winds cause major regional and cross-border problems for the communications, traffic power lines, heating, health services, water and waste water systems. This disaster has potential for causing cascading effects

13. 15.1.2015 | 13 © Crismaproject  Pilot B : Coastal Submersion – Charente-Maritime (France) CRISMA Test cases The pilot B is based on the Xynthia storm surge event that occurred in February 2010. A coastal submersion generated by high wind velocity is described on the Atlantic coast of Charente-Maritime in France. Due to the submersion, many of the public facilities and civil protection systems are severely affected. People could become isolated and many communications routes could be disabled

14. 15.1.2015 | 14 © Crismaproject  Pilot C : Accidental Pollution – Ashod (Israel) CRISMA Test cases The Pilot C describes the crisis situation caused by a chemical accident (a large accidental spill from a container transporting Bromine ) in the port of Ashdod, Israel. This pilot is being created for training purposes, in order to provide commanders from different response organizations (Police, Fire, EMS, local authority) at the "operational" (Silver) level, to practice decision making with regards to the resource allocation and prioritization.

15. 15.1.2015 | 15 © Crismaproject  Pilot D : Geophysical Hazards – L’Aquila (Italy) CRISMA Test cases The Pilot D has the objective of implementation and the exploitation of a crisis management modelling tool allowing the simulation of natural disaster with irreversible damages, that enables comparing scenarios in a multi-risk framework and including cascading effects simulation. The main triggering event is an earthquake, and a forest fire will be considered as a possible cascading event in this pilot.

16. 15.1.2015 | 16 © Crismaproject  Pilot E : Multi-Hazard Site – Plane Crash on Congress Centre (Germany) CRISMA Test cases The objective for this pilot site is the implementation and the exploitation of a crisis management modelling tool dedicated to generic mass casualty incident. The German Pilot will focus on capacity planning for the support of first responder organizations in large crisis situations. For this reason Pilot E (the German Pilot) will investigate the aspects of resource management at a generic level, thus the pilot is not associated with a concrete incident

17. 15.1.2015 | 17 © Crismaproject Thank You! Follow CRISMA in: www.crismaproject.euwww.crismaproject.eu