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SSelection Question: What are the circumstances surrounding EU membership? PPerformance Question: What is the effect of EU membership on economic.

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Presentation on theme: "SSelection Question: What are the circumstances surrounding EU membership? PPerformance Question: What is the effect of EU membership on economic."— Presentation transcript:

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2 SSelection Question: What are the circumstances surrounding EU membership? PPerformance Question: What is the effect of EU membership on economic growth?

3  EU-15 Member Countries  France, United Kingdom  New EU Member Countries  Poland, Slovakia  EU Candidate Countries  Turkey, Croatia  Non-EU Countries  Russia, Switzerland

4  Measure of economic growth: change in GDP per capita per year using Chain model  % in 2005 Constant Prices  Calculate average change in GDP/capita/year before and after joining EU  Specific years varied for each country  Compare

5  Calculate average change in GDP/capita/year for 5 years before becoming an EU candidate and:  Turkey (1999): 8 years after  Croatia (2004): 3 years after  Macedonia (2005): 2 years after  Compare

6  Calculate average change in GDP/capita/year from  Compare to average change for EU member countries and EU candidate countries

7 Growth RateMemberNon-MemberDifference Average Before Average After  Member v. Non-Member (Performance)  Member v. Candidate (Selection) Growth RateMemberCandidateDifference Average Before Average After

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10 EU membership = GOOD! BUT Conditions surrounding membership or the membership itself?


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