Presentation on theme: "SSelection Question: What are the circumstances surrounding EU membership? PPerformance Question: What is the effect of EU membership on economic."— Presentation transcript:
SSelection Question: What are the circumstances surrounding EU membership? PPerformance Question: What is the effect of EU membership on economic growth?
EU-15 Member Countries France, United Kingdom New EU Member Countries Poland, Slovakia EU Candidate Countries Turkey, Croatia Non-EU Countries Russia, Switzerland
Measure of economic growth: change in GDP per capita per year using Chain model % in 2005 Constant Prices Calculate average change in GDP/capita/year before and after joining EU Specific years varied for each country Compare
Calculate average change in GDP/capita/year for 5 years before becoming an EU candidate and: Turkey (1999): 8 years after Croatia (2004): 3 years after Macedonia (2005): 2 years after Compare
Calculate average change in GDP/capita/year from Compare to average change for EU member countries and EU candidate countries
Growth RateMemberNon-MemberDifference Average Before Average After Member v. Non-Member (Performance) Member v. Candidate (Selection) Growth RateMemberCandidateDifference Average Before Average After
EU membership = GOOD! BUT Conditions surrounding membership or the membership itself?