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Eastern Europe Markets and Opportunities: Why Now?

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Presentation on theme: "Eastern Europe Markets and Opportunities: Why Now?"— Presentation transcript:

1 Eastern Europe Markets and Opportunities: Why Now?

2 European Union of 25 May 1, 2004

3 Integration Scorecard For The Ten EU Legislation in Place Mostly Privatized Market Economies Adequate Governance and Rule of Law Low Labor Costs Lower Productivity Really Bad Enforcement

4 South Eastern Europe Romania & Bulgaria Balkan Countries – 2010? Turkey – 2015? Russia, Ukraine, Belorussia, Moldova

5 Elements of an Opportunity I Country Population (Million) GDP/Capita EU Relative Poland 38 40% Czech Republic 10 60% Hungary 10 57% Slovakia 5 47% Baltics 7 38% Slovenia 2 75% Cyprus & Malta 1 75%

6 Elements of an Opportunity II Country GDP Growth 2001–2005 ave. GDP Catchup 20 year rate Poland 3.7% 7.6% Czech Republic 3.0% 5.4% Hungary 3.0% 5.4% Slovakia 4.5% 5.8 % Baltics 6.0% 7.8% Slovenia 3.0% 4.0% Cyprus & Malta 2.3% 4.0%

7 Markets and Opportunities Poland - Market Size Matters, But Many Mistakes. Hungary and Estonia – Most Likely to Succeed in EU Markets. Slovenia and Slovakia - On Path to Sustained Integration. Ukraine - The EU Frontier in Russia - Important Consumer Market

8 Why Now? Big Push in 2004 for Some. EU Harmonization Makes Integration Pay for Some. Change in Business Models Imperative


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