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This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could.

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Presentation on theme: "This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could."— Presentation transcript:

1 This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could differ materially due to changes in technology, the development of new supply sources, political events, demographic changes, and other factors discussed herein (and in Item 1 of ExxonMobil’s latest report on Form 10-K). This material is not to be reproduced without the permission of Exxon Mobil Corporation. the outlook for energy: a view to 2030 Universiteit Twente, lunchlezing ExxonMobil 20 Mei 2009 Ton Jeen Benelux Environmental Advisor & SHE Team Lead

2 2 the outlook for energy 100 countries 15 demand sectors 20 fuel types

3 3 global economics and energy

4 4 growing global energy demand by fuel 2030 MBDOE % 0.6% 1.8% 2.3% 0.3% 2.2% 9.3%

5 5 ExxonMobil and the world energy market Source: EM Financial Reports, IEA, Oil & Gas Journal

6 6 global energy demand & CO 2 emissions energy demand MBDOE Gas Oil Wind Solar & Biofuels Biomass Hydro & Geo Nuclear Coal Average Growth / Yr – % CO 2 emissions billion tonnes IEA – Ref. Case Oil Gas Coal Average Growth / Yr – %

7 7 CO 2 outlook by region United States billion tonnes European Union billion tonnes China billion tonnes Average Growth / Yr – % Average Growth / Yr – % Average Growth / Yr – % IEA – Ref. Case

8 8 summary •economic progress, especially in developing countries continues to drive energy demand 35% higher •oil, gas and coal will remain predominant at ~80% of energy mix, even with significant growth in alternatives •CO 2 emissions expected to rise globally, even with improved efficiency

9 9 the energy imperative

10 10 integrated set of solutions mitigate emissions expand supply increase efficiency Technology

11 11 Mitigate emissions: near-term, beyond 2030 and in the chain

12 12 making vehicles more efficient •efficiency and technological developments in vehicles are critical •we are developing vehicle technologies to improve fuel economy and reduce emissions advanced technologies for conventional vehicles advanced vehicles breakthrough technologies

13 13 on-board hydrogen reformer fuel exhaust water hydrogen production fuel cell stack electricity H2H2 current target future

14 14 energy efficiency – one quart at a time •Mobil 1 AFE: Lower-viscosity synthetic motor oil launched in April •can improve fuel economy by up to 2 percent versus most common motor oils •builds on ExxonMobil’s 30-year tradition of protecting against engine wear

15 15 reinventing your wheels •Exxpro TM : ExxonMobil Chemical’s new tire lining technology •enables lighter, more durable tires •maintains proper air pressure longer than conventional tires •helps save fuel, creating fewer emissions

16 16 enhanced lithium ion batteries •ExxonMobil Chemical has developed new separator film for lithium-ion batteries •may be more cost-effective than current batteries, potentially resulting in more drivers opting for hybrid vehicles •improves safety, reliability and power of batteries for hybrid vehicles

17 17 capturing and storing CO 2

18 18 Global Climate & Energy Project •an unprecedented alliance of scientists and companies over a 10-year period •focus on creating commercially viable low emissions technologies •projects at Stanford and in Europe, USA, Japan, Australia research projects include: • designing and fabricating solar cells with the goal of developing efficient and low-cost options to convert solar energy into electricity • exploring the science underlying the operation of fuel cells • approaches to the capture, separation and storage of carbon dioxide emissions

19 19 Global Energy Management System (GEMS) •Wereldwijd systeem ingevoerd in 2000 om energie-efficientie maatregelen te stimuleren •Processen optimaliseren •Wereldwijd delen + implementeren van ‘best practices’ •Investeringen voor grote, permanente verbeterslagen •Voorbeelden: •Warmte-Kracht-Koppeling •Warmte-integratie + warmteverlies herwinning projecten •Mogelijke projecten om raffinage- en chemie-energiegebruik wereldwijd met 15-20% te reduceren •> 50% reeds gerealiseerd •Kostenbesparing van ~$750m in 2006 •Resultaat: •Mogelijke CO 2 reductie van ~8 miljoen ton/jaar •Benelux raffinaderijen behoren tot meest energie efficiente in Europa

20 20 Wat is Warmtekracht Koppeling ?

21 21 Voordelen van WKK •Energy efficiency •Reduced CO 2 •Cost savings •Secure supply 34 % Electricity 2 % Other 18 % Stack Gas 46 % Process Heat COGENERATION 80% Efficiency 34 % Electricity 1 % Other 65 % Stack Gas SIMPLE CYCLE 34% Efficiency 50 % Electricity 2 % Other 20 % Stack Gas 28 % Condensed Steam COMBINED CYCLE 50% Efficiency

22 22 Estimates ExxonMobil WKK – Nu & Toekomst •ExxonMobil WKK capaciteit •Sinds 2004 investeerde ExxonMobil meer dan $1 miljard in WKK •4.5 GW reeds geinstalleerd op 100+ WKK installaties in 30+ locaties •~10 MT/jaar bespaarde CO 2 uitstoot •Plannen om capaciteit te verdubbelen tegen 2015 •CO 2 emissie reductie naar verwachting meer dan 20 MT/jaar •Stabiel investeringsklimaat nodig Upstream Downstream

23 23 Emissiebesparing door WKK’s van ExxonMobil is equivalent aan… ~ 70% van windopwekking in Spanje ~ 55% van windopwekkin g in U.S.A. ~ 45% van windopwekking in Duitsland Environmental Performance Equivalents * Environmental Performance Equivalents ~500% van windopwekking in Nederland

24 24 Nieuwe WKK Antwerpen •Project: •Gas gestookte GE 9E GTG (130 MW) •Additionele Heat Recovery Unit om stoom te genereren én ruwe olie voor te verwarmen •Belangrijke faciliterende factoren (‘Enablers’) •Balancering mechanisme en marktdeelname door contracten gezekerd •Geen transmissie issues met ISO Elia •Ondersteundend WKK beleid door Vlaamse autoriteiten

25 25 conclusion •population and economies will expand; energy demand and CO 2 emissions will rise •integrated set of solutions required –increase efficiency –expand supply –mitigate emissions •technology breakthroughs are critical •meeting this demand will require a global effort

26 26 Dank voor jullie aandacht! Zijn er nog vragen of opmerkingen? Indien later: Tel.:


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