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NM Occupational Situation April 2013 Suzan Reagan, Labor Economist 2010-2020 Projections Coming this July 2011-2021 (statewide only)

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Presentation on theme: "NM Occupational Situation April 2013 Suzan Reagan, Labor Economist 2010-2020 Projections Coming this July 2011-2021 (statewide only)"— Presentation transcript:

1 NM Occupational Situation April 2013 Suzan Reagan, Labor Economist Projections Coming this July (statewide only)

2 Labor Market Information Job Descriptions Education Wages Employment levels Future Growth

3 LMI - Alphabet Soup Data Series, Projections, & Publications USDOL – US Dept. of Labor BLS - Bureau of Labor Statistics ETA – Employment and Training Administration NMDWS ER&A - Economic Research and Analysis Bureau

4 1)NM Economic Situation Industry Recession History/impact of Current Situation Whats Next ( ) Occupations Hot Jobs Clusters STEM & Healthcare Agenda 2)Tools & Resources: NM Workforce Connection Career Solutions LASER CareerOnestop.org

5 The Great Recession Started December 2007 Housing Peaked on 2006 High Oil and Gas prices early 2007 Financial Markets in August 2007 New Mexico Total Non-Farm Employment Seasonally Adjusted: Max. February 2008:849,700 Min. September 2011:798,000 Difference: -51,700

6 The Great Recession Ended July 2009? 6 February 2013:808,300 February 2012: 804,900 Over -the-year change: 3,400 New Mexico Total Non-farm Seasonally Adjusted Employment

7 NM Industries Change Initially Mining lost over 500, However now its added 4,000. Construction shed about 19,000 Manufacturing lost 5,000 Admin & Waste Svs 6,000 Retail took a hit with 6,000 Education is down 2,500 initially added jobs Bright spot Health Care +14,000 Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages NMDWS

8 Housing Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Census Bureau year to date

9 Oil Rig Source: P ETROLEUM R ECOVERY R ESEARCH C ENTER, S OCORRO, NM

10 . Values above 50 represent expansion. Manufacturing Source: Institute for Supply Management

11 US Retail Sales

12 US In thousands NM Total Non-Farm Employment Seasonally Adjusted NM vs. US Employment NM vs. US Employment from 1990 to Present

13 NM Employment Industry Mix Source: Projections unit , NM Dept. of Workforce Solutions

14 Industry Employment in Rural Areas Each local area has its own characteristics Data is based on Balance of State which is Statewide less the Metropolitan Statistical Areas. Source: Projections unit , NM Dept. of Workforce Solutions

15 Local Area Industry Employment Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, NM Dept. of Workforce Solutions Southwest o Mining o Utilities o Manufacturing o Wholesale o Transportation o Professional & Tech o Educational Svcs East o Mining o Utilities o Construction o Manufacturing o Transportation o Real Estate o Admin o Educational Svces o Arts & Rec o Accommodations Northern o Utilities o Manufacturing o Information o Arts & Rec. o Other Svcs. Central Arts & Rec Education Admin & Waste Svcs Real Estate Utilities

16 Current Employment Situation The bad news is… Seasonally Adjusted The unemployment rate for: February 2013 February 2012 The US is at 7.7 % 8.3 % New Mexico 6.8 % 7.0 % Albuquerque 7.1% 7.5% Farmington 6.7% 7.3% Las Cruces 7.0% 7.1% Santa Fe 5.4% 5.5%

17 What about… 17 Alternative Measures of Labor Underutilization U-6 US 14.7% NM 14.1% Four Quarters of 2012 Unemployed Part time for economic reasons Multiple Jobs holders Marginally attached workers Bureau of Labor Statistics 4 QTR Moving Average Part time but would work full time Discouraged unemployed workers Multiple job holders

18 Employment to Population Ratio Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Local Area Unemployment Statistics

19 Another look at Employment & Unemployment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Local Area Unemployment Statistics

20 US Unemployment Rates for Men and Women Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey

21 New Mexico Unemployment Rate by Age 2012 annual averages 8.1% all ages Source: Census Geographic Profile of Employment and Unemployment

22 New Mexico 2011 Unemployment Rate Source: 2011 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates, Table S2301 Employment Status

23 NM UI Continued Claims Duration Based on UI Summary Data 4rd Qtr 2012: Average Duration 19.6 weeks in 2012

24 County Unemployment Rates February Not seasonally adjusted Source: NMDWS LAUS unit in conjunction with US Bureau of Labor Statistics

25 Whats Next : Employment Projections

26 National Trends – projected population by age Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau

27 NM Population Projections by Age Source: U.S.Census Bureau, Population Division, Interim State Population Projections, 2005

28 NM Employment Projections Growth of 136,304 Total Change 15.9% Annual Average Change 1.49% (numbers include self-employed) Growth of 136,304 Total Change 15.9% Annual Average Change 1.49% (numbers include self-employed) Source: NMDWS ER&A Projections Unit

29 Workforce Investment Areas Projections Annual Average Percent Change Source: NMDWS ER&A Projections Unit

30 Projected 991,600 NM Job Recovery Max Employment CES Feb 2008 at 849,700 Min. Employment CES Sept at 798,000 July 2012 was 799,900

31 State Employment Change Comparison

32 Tigger Slide

33 Occupations 33

34 O*NET / SOC 2010 Code Structure Sample code : Title: Computer Network Support Specialists 11- Management Occupations 13- Business & Financial Operations Occupations 15- Computer and Mathematical Occupations 17-Architecture and engineering Occupations 19- Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 21- Community and Social services Occupations 23- Legal Occupations 25- Education, Training, and Library Occupations 27- Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports & Related 29- Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occs. 31- Healthcare Support Occupations 33- Protective Service Occupations 35- Food Preparation & Serving Related Occs. 37- Building & Grounds Cleaning & Maintenance 39- Personal Care and Service Occupations 41- Sales and Related Occupations 43- Office &Administrative Support Wkrs 45- Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occs. 47- Construction and Extraction Occs. 49- Installation, Maintenance, and Repair 51- Production Occupations 53- Transportation and Material Moving 55- Military Specific Occupations Organized into Groups: Go to: laser.state.nm.uslaser.state.nm.us Click on: Occupation Profile -> Occupation Details-> Occupations by Group

35 New Mexico Occupational Group Source: Estimated Employment Projections Unit NMDWS

36 Job Hunting Strategies Apply for posted job openings Cold call researched employers Network ~ talk to people ~ Network ~ NETWORK Develop job hunting skills by researching what a job hunt entitles

37 Occupational Employment by Education Needed Source: Estimated Employment Projections Unit NMDWS

38 NM 10 Occupations with the Highest Employment Occupation 2010 Estimated Employment Retail Salespersons 29,637 Cashiers19,001 Personal and Home Care Aides17,778 Secretaries, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive17,486 Registered Nurses15,146 Waiters and Waitresses15,141 General and Operations Managers13,993 Bookkeeping, Accounting, & Auditing Clerks13,692 Combined Food Preparation & Serving Workers, Inc. Fast Food13,489 Janitors & Cleaners, Except Maids & Housekeeping Cleaners13,168 Nationally – Retail Salespersons and Cashiers make up nearly 6 percent of total US Employment, OES Source: Estimated Employment Projections Unit NMDWS

39 NM Occupations, Most Annual Openings RankOccupational Annual Average Job Openings 2011 Entry Level Wage (OES) 1Retail Salespersons1,435$17,320 2Waiters and Waitresses1,114$17,260 3Cashiers1,112$17,330 4Personal and Home Care Aides1,083$17,290 5 Combined Food Preparation & Serving Workers, Inc. Fast Food809$17,200 6Registered Nurses667$50,290 7Home Health Aides600$20,110 8Customer Service Representatives501$20,850 9 Elementary School Teachers, Ex Special Education500$38,410 10Laborers & Freight, Stock, & Material Movers494$17,510 Source: Estimated Employment Projections Unit NMDWS

40 Primary Occupation Coding Guidelines A worker should be assigned to an SOC occupation code based on work performed. When workers in a single job could be coded in more than one occupation, they should be coded in the occupation that requires the highest level of skill. If there is no measurable difference in skill requirements, workers should be coded in the occupation in which they spend the most time. Workers whose job is to teach at different levels (e.g., elementary, middle, or secondary) should be coded in the occupation corresponding to the highest educational level they teach. Workers who perform activities not described in any distinct detailed occupation in the SOC structure should be coded in an appropriate All Other or residual occupation. In LASER, tasks for a specific occupation are on the Occupation Details tab.

41 * Four groups with Openings due to growth higher Annual Average Openings Source: Estimated Employment Projections Unit NMDWS

42 Highest Growth Jobs in NM Occupations Annual Percent Change Home Health Aides4.8% Personal and Home Care Aides4.3% Coaches and Scouts3.9% Helpers--Carpenters3.6% Interpreters and Translators3.6% Meeting and Convention Planners3.6% Roustabouts, Oil and Gas3.4% Diagnostic Medical Sonographers3.3% Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas3.3% Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas3.2% Veterinary Technologists and Technicians3.2% Physical Therapist Assistants 3.1% Source: Estimated Employment Projections Unit NMDWS

43 NM Occupations – High Wage & Growth RankOccupational Title 2011 Annual Average Wage (O ES) Annual Job Growth 1Radio Mechanics$46,2905.1% 2Interpreters and Translators$53,2003.6% 3Meeting and Convention Planners$49,5003.6% 4Roustabouts, Oil and Gas$34,1503.4% 5Diagnostic Medical Sonographers$67,2403.3% 6Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas$49,9103.3% 7Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas$63,9803.2% 8 Philosophy and Religion Teachers, Postsecondary$60,8703.2% 9Physical Therapist Assistants$37,7303.1% 10Financial Examiners$79,9403.0% Source: Estimated Employment Projections & Occupational Employment Survey Units NMDWS

44 Show me the money! 12 Highest paying jobs in New Mexico 2011 Occupation Annual Median Wage (OES ) Psychiatrists$180,740 Family and General Practitioners$174,990 Pediatricians, General$166,810 Dentists, General$157,380 Dentists, All Other Specialists$141,600 Health Specialties Teachers, Postsecondary$134,610 Engineering Managers$131,290 Pharmacists$117,040 Air Traffic Controllers$114,050 Engineers, All Other$111,100 Materials Scientists$111,090 Natural Sciences Managers$106,360 Podiatrists$104,210 Source: Occupational Employment Survey (OES) Unit NMDWS

45 Lowest Paying Jobs in New Mexico Occupation 2011 Average Annual Wage (OES) Baggage Porters and Bellhops$18,580 Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners$18,570 Graders and Sorters, Agricultural Products$18,560 Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials$18,390 Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse$18,350 Food Preparation and Serving Related Workers, All Other$18,310 Pressers, Textile, Garment, and Related Materials$18,310 Counter Attendants, Cafeteria, Food Concession, and Coffee Shop$18,300 Dishwashers$18,270 Child Care Workers$18,260 Source: Occupational Employment Survey (OES) Unit NMDWS

46 The Top 15 NM Occupations in Decline Occupation TitleAnnual % Change Postal Service Clerks-6.0% Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators-6.0% Prepress Technicians and Workers-3.6% Postmasters and Mail Superintendents-2.7% Switchboard Operators, Including Answering Service-2.7% Desktop Publishers-2.5% Office Machine Operators, Except Computer-1.9% Jewelers and Precious Stone and Metal Workers-1.7% Camera Operators, Television, Video, and Motion Picture-1.5% Radio and Television Announcers-1.4% Pressers, Textile, Garment, and Related Materials-1.4% Motion Picture Projectionists-1.3% Gaming Change Persons and Booth Cashiers-1.3% Reporters and Correspondents-1.3% Floral Designers-1.2%

47 Occupations in Rural Areas Self-employed Small business owners Entrepreneurs Accommodation & Food Services Waiters and Waitresses Food Preparation and Serving Workers Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners Cooks, Restaurant Cooks, Fast Food First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Food Preparation Hotel, Motel, and Resort Desk Clerks Dishwashers Host & Hostess, Restaurant, Lounge & Coffee Shop Cashiers Education Elementary School Teachers Teacher Assistants Middle School Teachers Secondary School Teachers Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria Janitors and Cleaners Secretaries Retail Trade Retail Salespersons Cashiers Stock Clerks and Order Fillers Healthcare & Social Assistance Registered Nurses Home Health Aides Personal and Home Care Aides Medical Assistants Social and Human Service Assistants Utilities Power Plant Operators Gas Compressor and Gas Pumping Station Operators Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers Water & Liquid Waste Treatment Plant & System Oper. Agriculture Farmworkers & Laborers, Crop, Nursery & Greenhouse Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Farmworkers, Farm and Ranch Animals Agricultural Equipment Operators Nonfarm Animal Caretakers Animal Trainers Packers and Packagers, Hand Mining Roustabouts, Oil & Gas Service Unit Operators, Oil, Gas, & Mining Derrick Operators, Oil & Gas Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics Continuous Mining Machine Operators Truck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Rotary Drill Operators, Oil & Gas Welders, Cutters, Solderers, & Brazers Wellhead Pumpers Helpers--Extraction Workers Mine Cutting and Channeling Machine Operators Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operator

48 Standard Occupational Classification Bureau of Labor Statistics

49 Detailed job profile for nearly 800 occupations Job Description +knowledge, skills, tasks, abilities SOC and O*NET Training Program Completers Classification of Instructional Programs (CIP) crosswalk Many-to-Many Typical Education Requirements Wage Statistics by area and industry Employment Projections Employment by Industry Areas available: – Statewide, –4 MSAs, –4 Workforce Investment Regions

50 Tools for LMI Career Solutions : LASER: NM Workforce Connection: https://www.jobs.state.nm.us/https://www.jobs.state.nm.us/ Green Jobs: National O*NET lookup O*NET Academy

51 Job Hunting Final Notes In General: Dont take it personally. Keep your outlook up! Keep notes – find a system that works for you. Research Employers – Improved resume, cover letter, & avoid Job Scams. Network – its a social grace. In General: Dont take it personally. Keep your outlook up! Keep notes – find a system that works for you. Research Employers – Improved resume, cover letter, & avoid Job Scams. Network – its a social grace. Trendy: Electronic Profile – LinkedIn, Facebook, Voice Mail, . Custom Resumes – Tailored for each individual application. Personal Marketing – Visit the library and research. Different Interview situations – 15. Trendy: Electronic Profile – LinkedIn, Facebook, Voice Mail, . Custom Resumes – Tailored for each individual application. Personal Marketing – Visit the library and research. Different Interview situations – 15. Hire Me!

52 Pathways Welding Cement Masonry Plumbing Electrical Wiring Facilities Maintenance Carpentry Office Admin. Health Occupations

53 Education Pays

54 Thank You! Suzan Reagan Phone (505)


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