Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

1 Lincolnshire Research Observatory www.research-lincs.org.uk Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Components of Change and the Demographic Impact Eleanor.

Similar presentations


Presentation on theme: "1 Lincolnshire Research Observatory www.research-lincs.org.uk Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Components of Change and the Demographic Impact Eleanor."— Presentation transcript:

1 1 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Components of Change and the Demographic Impact Eleanor Spillane Senior Projects Officer

2 2 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population This presentation will: Highlight the datasets that can be used to estimate population Describe the underlying factors driving population change Consider the impact on county demographics Introduce the population projections

3 3 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Datasets Internationa l Passengers Long Term Migrants Worker Registration s Census populatio n NINo allocation s Resident population Destination of graduates Flag 4 Registration s Births and deaths Population projection s NHS patient lists NHS patient lists School Census School Census Populatio n estimates

4 4 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Approx. 150,000 people 1,500 per year Almost 150,000 Almost 5,000 per year Population Growth in Lincolnshire ,000 People

5 5 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Growth Index , , , Lincs England

6 6 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Growth in Lincolnshire 1990s 2000s %

7 7 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Change since 2001 Wyberton 10% 400 people Market Deeping 6.5% 400 people Quarrington 55% 1,500 people Witham St Hughs 76% 2,000 people

8 8 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Components of Change Released as part of the ONS Population Estimates Taken from the civil registration system Applied to authority of residence Births and deaths

9 9 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Natural Change Lincolnshire East Lindsey Boston Lincoln South Kesteven West Lindsey NK SH

10 10 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Births and deaths People

11 11 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Births and Deaths ‘000 people Migration Births and deaths Population estimates

12 12 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Components of Change Births and deaths Internal Migration National Health Service Central Register (NHSCR) Transferring patient notifications

13 13 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Internal Migration In

14 14 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Internal Migration In Out

15 15 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Internal Migration In 9,400 Recession Low house prices Out

16 16 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Internal Migration to Lincolnshire ‘000 people

17 17 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Components of Change Births and deaths Internal Migration Internationa l Migration

18 18 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Datasets Internationa l Passengers Long Term Migrants Worker Registration s Census populatio n NINo allocation s Resident population Destination of graduates Flag 4 Registration s Births and deaths Population projection s NHS patient lists NHS patient lists School Census School Census Populatio n estimates

19 19 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population International Migration ,000 EU 322,000 rest of world 591, ,000 99, , ,000 EU rest of world Britain +252,000 Britain 90,000

20 20 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Datasets Internationa l Passengers Long Term Migrants Worker Registration s Census populatio n NINo allocation s Flag 4 Registration s School Census School Census Populatio n estimates Resident population

21 21 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population National Insurance Number Registrations (NINo) Registrations

22 22 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population NINOs by District Last 5 Years 32,920 registrations in the county since 2006/07 34% 8% 16% 6% 22% 12% 3%

23 23 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Datasets Internationa l Passengers Long Term Migrants Worker Registration s Census populatio n NINo allocation s Flag 4 Registration s School Census School Census Populatio n estimates Resident population

24 24 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Flag 4 GP Registrations Registrations

25 25 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population English as an Additional Language Over 100,000 pupils Nearly 5,000 have English as an additional language 30% 21% 7% 5% 18% 15% 3%

26 26 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Datasets Internationa l Passengers Long Term Migrants Worker Registration s Census populatio n NINo allocation s Flag 4 Registration s School Census School Census Populatio n estimates Resident population

27 27 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Resident population 690,000 UKNon-UK EU Non-EU 646,00045,000 29,00016,000

28 28 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Key Points Population growth driven by migration Increasing birth rate in recent years In-migration rising again after 2 years of decline Major source of international migrants changed from Portugal to Lithuania

29 29 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Components of Change Births and deaths Internal Migration International Migration =

30 30 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Change by Age Group

31 31 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Change by Age Group University opens

32 32 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Change by Age Group Peak of internal migration

33 33 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Change by Age Group

34 34 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Age Profile

35 35 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Datasets Internationa l Passengers Long Term Migrants Worker Registration s Census populatio n NINo allocation s Resident population Destination of graduates Flag 4 Registration s Births and deaths Population projection s NHS patient lists NHS patient lists School Census School Census Populatio n estimates

36 36 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Growth Approx. 150,000 people 1,500 per year Over 200,000 Over 5,000 per year Approx. 116,000 5,800 per year

37 37 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

38 38 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

39 39 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

40 40 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

41 41 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

42 42 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

43 43 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

44 44 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

45 45 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

46 46 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

47 47 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

48 48 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

49 49 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

50 50 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

51 51 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

52 52 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

53 53 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

54 54 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

55 55 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

56 56 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

57 57 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

58 58 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

59 59 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

60 60 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

61 61 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

62 62 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Population Projections People

63 63 Lincolnshire Research Observatory Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Any questions?


Download ppt "1 Lincolnshire Research Observatory www.research-lincs.org.uk Lincolnshire’s Changing Population Components of Change and the Demographic Impact Eleanor."

Similar presentations


Ads by Google