Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

At river mouths, predicts annual average export of: Global NEWS Model Nutrient Export from WaterSheds * DIC in prep. Original models and scenario applications.

Published byDenzel Fear Modified over 10 years ago

Similar presentations

Presentation on theme: "At river mouths, predicts annual average export of: Global NEWS Model Nutrient Export from WaterSheds * DIC in prep. Original models and scenario applications."— Presentation transcript:

1 At river mouths, predicts annual average export of: Global NEWS Model Nutrient Export from WaterSheds * DIC in prep. Original models and scenario applications published in 2 special issues of Global Biogeochemical Cycles (>25 papers) Dissolved Particulate Inorganic Organic N DIN DON PN P DIP DOP PP C DIC * DOC POC Si DSi

2 Nutrient Sources Natural N 2 -Fixation P Weathering Anthropogenic Non-Point Fertilizer (by crop type) N 2 -fixation - crops Manure (by animal species) Atmos. Dep. N Point Sewage (pop.; treatment level) Water Runoff Precip. Intensity Land-use Slope Lithology Hydrology & Physical Factors Rivers & Reservoir Consumptive Water Use In-River N, P, Si Removal Nutrient Loading to Coastal Waters Seitzinger et al. 2005, Mayorga et al. 2010 Seitzinger et al. 2010 Global NEWS Model

3 Global NEWS modeling Environment (GNE) (Python code that runs NEWS models) Diffuse sources Point sources Hydrology Raw, Heterogeneous GIS Source files Diffuse sources Pre-processed, homogenized GIS Input files Point sources Hydrology Manual steps, Ad-hoc automation Direct Global NEWS inputs Basin-scale Inputs tables Global NEWS outputs Model outputs Papers, Glory, $$$$ GNE Complicated Variables other than basin means/sums. e.g. dam retention, FQrem, lithology class Global NEWS model(s)

4 Comparison of Model Predicted vs Measured River Transport Measured DOC yield (kg C km -2 yr -1 ) Modeled DOC yield (kg C km -2 yr -1 ) Measured DIN export (kg N basin -1 yr -1 ) Modeled DIN export (kg N basin -1 yr -1 ) Colorado Dnepr Susquehanna Gambia Ganges Rhine R 2 =0.88 Ganges

5 Disolved Inorganic N Particulate N Nitrogen Regional variations in watershed yields for all forms Different spatial patterns for N and P and forms (due to differences in controlling factors) Difference in dominant forms between N and P Phosphorus 0 880 110 190 350 570 15 40 70 kg N/km 2 /yr > 1220 0 500 10 20 50 100 1 2 5 kg P/km 2 /yr > 2000 Dissolved Organic N Disolved Inorganic P Particulate P Dissolved Organic P

6 Dominant DIN Sources (Seitzinger & Harrison, 2008)

7 Millennium Assessment Scenarios GlobalRegional Reactive Proactive OS AMTG GO

8 Integrated Development Scenarios Nutrient Export at River Mouth Nutrient Sources from Food and Energy Population and Climate Policy Options & Costs

9 DIN yields (kg N/km 2 /yr) 2030 scenarios vs mean 2030 80 -10 0 10 40 < -250 -80 -40 kg N/km 2 /yr > 250 Run 4, 5/22/08 N yield change See legend on slide 1 Order from StrengthAdapting Mosaic Global OrchestrationTechno-garden 2030 Average DIN YieldAverage Change 2000-2030 (Seitzinger et al., 2010, Global Biogeochemical Cycles)

10 NEWS-Predicted DIP Yield (kg P / km 2 / yr) NEWS-DIP-2005 NEWS-DIP-HD-2010 (Harrison et al., 2010; GBC)

11 NEWS-DIN recently applied to CA sub- watersheds (Goodwin et al., Submitted)

12 Mayorga et al. 2010 Model development, Envir. Modelling & Software Global Biogeochemical Cycles 2010 - Special section Seitzinger et al. overview Bouwman et al. agriculture Van Drecht et al. urban wastewater Fekete et al. hydrology Harrison et al. increased spatial resolution Yan et al. Changjiang river VanderStruijk & Kroeze South America Yasin et al. Africa Garnier et al. river nutrient export ratios Billen et al. watershed auto-/heterotrophy Acknowlegements and for more details

13

14 Access to improved sanitation? Connection to sewer system? Removed Via Wastewater treatment? Population Urban Rural Yes No Yes No 100% Human emission No improved sanitation Improved sanitation, but not connected to sewer Discharged to surface waters Removed via sewage treatment No Human Emissions Van Drecht et al. Global Biogeochem. Cycles (2003), Van Drecht et al., (2010) Global Biogeochem. Cycles

15 0.5 by 0.5 degree grid cell Upland crops Wetland rice Legumes Grassland Inputs -Fertilizer -Animal manure -Biological N fixation -Atmospheric deposition N sur = Inputs -N exp -N vol Van Drecht et al. Global Biogeochem. Cycles (2003) Bouwman et al. Pedosphere (2005) Nutrient Balances For Diffuse Source Estimates Outputs -crop/grass N export (N exp ) Incl. Fodder crops Excl. residue management SOILSOIL Outputs -crop/grass N export Incl. Fodder crops Excl. residue management -Ammonia volatilization Energy crops

16 River transport of DIN to coast (kg N km -2 y -1 ) Seitzinger et al. 2005 Global Biogeochemical Cycles

17 Integrated development scenarios Nutrient Export at River Mouth Nutrient Sources from Food and Energy Policy Options & Costs

18 Millennium Assessment Scenarios GlobalRegional Reactive Proactive OS AMTG GO

19 NEWS-DIN Performance Measured DIN yield (kg N km -2 y -1 ) Modeled DIN yield (kg N km -2 y -1 ) N.S.E.= 0.70 Calibration Validation (Dumont et al., 2005: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Mayorga et al. 2010, Env. Modeling and Software)

20 1970-2050 Projections of River DIN Export Global Orchestration Scenario

21 NEWS-DIN-Predicted DIN Yield (kg N km -2 y -1 ) (Dumont et al., 2005: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Mayorga et al. 2010, Env. Modeling and Software)

22 Project Co-chairs A.F. Bouwman, PBL, Netherlands J. Harrison, Washington State U., USA Other Participants A. Beusen RIVM, The Netherlands G. Billen UMR Sisyphe (CNRS-UPMC), France D. Breitburg, SERC, USA F. Dentener JRC, Ispra, Italy R. Diaz, VIMS, USA P. Döll Univ. Kassell, Germany H. Envoldesen, UNESCO-IOC, Denmark J. Garnier, UMR Sisyphe (CNRS-UPMC), France P. Glibert, UMD, USA V. Ittekkot Ctr. Mar. Trop. Ecology, Germany R. Kudela, UCSC, USA F.T. Mackenzie Univ. Hawaii, USA M. Meybeck UMR Sisyphe, France S. Seitzinger, IGBP, Sweden R. Smith, USGS, USA C. Vörösmarty Univ. New Hampshire, USA W. Yan Chinese Academy Sciences, China N. Caraco, Institute Ecosystem Studies, USA D. Conley, National Envir. Res. Inst., Denmark J. Garnier, UMR Sisyphe, France C. Kroeze, Univ. Wageningen, Netherlands Global NEWS Global (N)utrient (E)xport from (W)ater(S)heds

Download ppt "At river mouths, predicts annual average export of: Global NEWS Model Nutrient Export from WaterSheds * DIC in prep. Original models and scenario applications."

Similar presentations

R E 1 Some Experiences with Data and Models in International (Water) Assessments Ton Bresser National Institute of Public Health and Environment Frans.

R E 1 Some Experiences with Data and Models in International (Water) Assessments Ton Bresser National Institute of Public Health and Environment Frans.
Assessing pollutant loads in inland and coastal waters for continental Europe FATE project Institute for Environment and Sustainability Joint Research.

Assessing pollutant loads in inland and coastal waters for continental Europe FATE project Institute for Environment and Sustainability Joint Research.
Economics of GHG Management in the LULUCF sector Michael Obersteiner JRC Improving the Quality of Community GHG Inventory… 22-23 rd Sept. 2005.

Economics of GHG Management in the LULUCF sector Michael Obersteiner JRC Improving the Quality of Community GHG Inventory… rd Sept
Model-based and statistical methods for assessment of goal achievement EEA, Copenhagen 21-22 February, 2005 Anders Grimvall Department of Mathematics Linköping.

Model-based and statistical methods for assessment of goal achievement EEA, Copenhagen February, 2005 Anders Grimvall Department of Mathematics Linköping.
MITERRA-EUROPE Assessment of nitrogen flows in agriculture of EU-27

MITERRA-EUROPE Assessment of nitrogen flows in agriculture of EU-27
Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries Changes of agricultural diffuse nutrient inputs in major European river systems and their contribution.

Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries Changes of agricultural diffuse nutrient inputs in major European river systems and their contribution.
DRC 2006.Presenters Name.March 7-9.p 1 Californias enormous computing resources allow climate simulations at unprecedented resolution capturing Californias.

DRC 2006.Presenters Name.March 7-9.p 1 Californias enormous computing resources allow climate simulations at unprecedented resolution capturing Californias.
Study on Carbon Budget for Ecosystems of China: Aspects and Progress Yao Huang Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy.

Study on Carbon Budget for Ecosystems of China: Aspects and Progress Yao Huang Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy.
Overview – Nutrient Fate and Transport Mark B. David University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Presented at Building Science Assessments for State-Level.

Overview – Nutrient Fate and Transport Mark B. David University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Presented at Building Science Assessments for State-Level.
SPARROW Modeling in the Mississippi and Atchafalaya River Basins (MARB) Dale Robertson, Richard Alexander, and David Saad U.S. Geological Survey USGS/USEPA.

SPARROW Modeling in the Mississippi and Atchafalaya River Basins (MARB) Dale Robertson, Richard Alexander, and David Saad U.S. Geological Survey USGS/USEPA.
The World Water Quality Assessment Large-scale water quality modeling Hot spots and causes of water pollution.

The World Water Quality Assessment Large-scale water quality modeling Hot spots and causes of water pollution.
Global Forum on Oceans, Coasts, and Islands Presented on behalf of the Linking Freshwater to Oceans Working Group by Dr. Clement Lewsey (NOAA/NOS) Key.

Global Forum on Oceans, Coasts, and Islands Presented on behalf of the Linking Freshwater to Oceans Working Group by Dr. Clement Lewsey (NOAA/NOS) Key.
Land use effect on nutrient loading – nutrient models new assessment tools Inese Huttunen, Markus Huttunen and Bertel Vehviläinen Finnish Environment Institute.

Land use effect on nutrient loading – nutrient models new assessment tools Inese Huttunen, Markus Huttunen and Bertel Vehviläinen Finnish Environment Institute.
GEF Component B Actual start: January 2013. GEF component B Italics: will be completed end 2014 Underlined: completed UP = Un. Philippines WSU = Washington.

GEF Component B Actual start: January GEF component B Italics: will be completed end 2014 Underlined: completed UP = Un. Philippines WSU = Washington.
Ecosystem Ecology. Serengeti at Sunrise Biogeochemistry.

Ecosystem Ecology. Serengeti at Sunrise Biogeochemistry.
U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Welcome to the USGS Webinar: New Science and Online Management Tools to Help Guide Action on Nutrients.

U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Welcome to the USGS Webinar: New Science and Online Management Tools to Help Guide Action on Nutrients.
Eutrophication of the Black Sea

Eutrophication of the Black Sea
European Nitrogen Assessment: Supplementary Material: Powerpoint Graphics to Chapter 5. Source: Sutton, M.A., Howard, C.M., Erisman J.W., Bealey J.W.,

European Nitrogen Assessment: Supplementary Material: Powerpoint Graphics to Chapter 5. Source: Sutton, M.A., Howard, C.M., Erisman J.W., Bealey J.W.,
Robert Howarth Cornell University Ithaca, NY USA Ocean Hypoxia and its Impacts on Ecosystems UNDP Side Event at GESAMP #39 New York City, USA 18 April.

Robert Howarth Cornell University Ithaca, NY USA Ocean Hypoxia and its Impacts on Ecosystems UNDP Side Event at GESAMP #39 New York City, USA 18 April.
Reactive nitrogen (N) is essential to life, making up compounds such as proteins and nucleic acids. Technology now allows us to create N fertilizers, increasing.

Reactive nitrogen (N) is essential to life, making up compounds such as proteins and nucleic acids. Technology now allows us to create N fertilizers, increasing.

Similar presentations

Ads by Google