Presentation on theme: "Forecasting process: Severe Weather. Early warning Strive to ensure that every person or organization at risk 1. Receives the information 2. Understands."— Presentation transcript:
Early warning Strive to ensure that every person or organization at risk 1. Receives the information 2. Understands the information 3. BELIEVES the information 4. Personalizes the risk 5. Make correct decisions 6. Respond in a timely manner
Early warning Effective early warning should be: Short, concise, understandable and actionable What, where, when, why, how to respond Should be presented in several different formats – text-graphics-color coded categories-audio; should include specific actions for people to take in response to the event.
Television Radio: KFM, Cape Talk, Tygerberg, CCFM, Voice of the Cape and many others Newspaper: Burger, Cape Times, Son, Argus, Local newspapers Telephone: Recorded message- Vodacom Service Telephone: Direct to Forecaster
Process: Current Monitoring and Amending warnings
Keith Moir – Meteorologist – Cape Town Weather Office Extra Tropical Cyclone - Gamede Old Tropical Cyclone - Favio Cold Front Very Cold Air Mass Satellite images
Way Forward: 1.Re-define warning criteria in conjunction with Disaster Management structures. 2.Educate People-Risks, Adequate Preparedness, 3.Keep abreast with Modern Technology- Dissemination of warnings 4.Keep abreast with advancements in Meteorology-, Climatology research
South African Flash Flood Guidance System Delineation of River Basins Will Be Discussed Next