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© European Communities, 2011 Methodology (Success) scenario building (success scenario induced driver identification) with backcasting elements Delphi.

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Presentation on theme: "© European Communities, 2011 Methodology (Success) scenario building (success scenario induced driver identification) with backcasting elements Delphi."— Presentation transcript:

1 © European Communities, 2011 Methodology (Success) scenario building (success scenario induced driver identification) with backcasting elements Delphi survey with scientific community  scenario workshops with policy makers  online Delphi: 1.200 scientist responses in 1st round Results …a reliable and comprehensive set of drivers perceived by key stakeholders as influencing the 2020 future of S&T cooperation between Southeast Asia and Europe; significance of differences in answers (between regions and stakeholder groups) has been analysed; detailed drivers by scientists; global overview by policy-makers. Bottom-up identification of drivers, directed and in the wording of stakeholders, thus readily available as concrete policy recommendations; for instance: “Measures should be adopted to enhance equilibrated mobility in both directions as, currently, there is a bias towards Southeast Asian scientists coming to Europe“ Moreover, interdependencies and scenario logics have been identified, for instance: Lessons learned Epistemological challenges: Policy stakeholders need to understand that Int. S&T Coop. Foresight is not a service delivering neutral insights – they are themselves deeply involved in facilitating or hindering the implementation of findings. Likewise, scientists should be aware that, through the foresight, they can influence future cooperation conditions. It is a challenge to reduce complexity without becoming too superficial. It is important to justify and communicate simplification measures from the beginning. Methodological challenges: It is a challenge to keep policy makers engaged  mid-level policy maker panel interested and committed to the foresight process over a longer period of time. The distinction between ‘driving’ and ‘shaping’ factors has not proven useful in concrete scenario workshops. Many scientists are happily available to engage in futures thinking, when they see a possibility for impact and/or a benefit for their own reflection process. Experiment with sectoral case studies! SEA-EU-NET and its Foresight Exercise The FP7-funded SEA-EU-NET project, “Facilitating the bi-regional EU-ASEAN Science and Technology Dialogue”, has been set up to expand scientific collaboration between Europe and Southeast Asia in a more strategic and coherent manner. The project was launched in January 2008 and involves 16 key institutions from the two regions. It adopts an evidence- based approach to increase the quality, quantity, profile and impact of S&T cooperation between ASEAN Member States (MS) and EU MS/AC. Analytical work accompanying and informing the political dialogue plays an important part in SEA-EU-NET’s activities. SEA-EU-NET International S&T Cooperation Foresight is part of this analytical work and aims to open up and structure the discussion on the potential future cooperation(s) between the EU and Southeast Asia in the field of S&T. Characteristics of International (S&T) Cooperation Foresight NOTES 1.Poster Title Replace the mock-up text of the poster title (”Joint Research Centre”) with the text of your own title. Keep the original font colour (100c 80m 0y 0k). Keep the flush-right justification. Set it in Helvetica Rounded Bold Condensed, if you own the typeface. Otherwise, in Arial, Helvetica or Verdana – plain or bold. Keep the original font body size (102 pt or, preferably,120 pt) and the title on a single line whenever possible. Reduce the body size and/or set the title on more than one line only if unavoidable. 2.Poster Subtitle Replace the mock-up text of the poster subtitle (”Place Your Poster Subtitle Here”) with the text of your own subtitle. Keep the original font colour (black). Keep the flush-right justification. Set it in MetaPlusBook-Roman, if you own the typeface. Otherwise, in Arial, Helvetica or Verdana. Keep the original font body size (72 pt) and the subtitle on a single line whenever possible. Reduce the body size and/or set the subtitle on more than one line only if unavoidable. If your poster does not have a main subtitle, delete the subtitle mock-up text or its text-box altogether. 3.Poster Main Text and Illustrations Replace the mock-up text of the poster with your own text. Keep it within the boundaries of the two main-text boxes provided. Keep the original font colour (black). Should you need a second colour within your text, use the same one of the poster title (100c 80m 0y 0k). Keep the flush-left justification. Set the main text in MetaPlusBook-Roman and the section headings in MetaPlusBold-Roman, if you own the typefaces. Otherwise, the main text in Arial, Helvetica or Verdana, and the section headings in their respective bold weights. Adjust the font body size and leading to the needs of your own text, depending on its overall length, for optimal display and legibility. Should you need a second level of text, set it in a smaller body size than that of your main text (and, in the case of photo captions, in italics, too). Place your illustrations (pictures, graphs, etc.) within the boundaries of the two main-text boxes. Adjust your text-flow as needed. 4.Contact Box Replace the mock-up contents of the contact box with your own data. Keep the contact box in place if possible. Place it elsewhere only if unavoidable for layout reasons, but in that case try, at least, to align it with some main element of the poster. 5.Additional Logos Should you need to display additional logos (e.g., of partner organizations or universities), reduce or enlarge them to a height within those of the JRC logo and the Directorate or Institute logo. Place any additional logos on the bottom of the poster, evenly spaced between the JRC and (if there is one) the Directorate or Institute logo, and vertically centred with them. 2011 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE Complexity: two or more regions involved Most of the relevant drivers influencing future cooperation are not easily quantifiable; quantitative technological forecasts are of little relevance. Few entirely external factors: one of the two most important stakeholder groups concerned, S&T and other policy makers, can to some extent influence most of the relevant drivers. Scientists’ behaviour cannot be determined, but they are also within the dialogue processes triggered by the exercise. Towards professionalising ‘International S&T Cooperation Foresight’ Contact Alexander Degelsegger / Florian Gruber Centre for Social Innovation Tel. +43 1 495 04 42 - 59 Fax +43 1 495 04 42 - 40 E-mail: degelsegger@zsi.atdegelsegger@zsi.at SEA-EU-NET is co-funded under the 7th Framework Programme for RTD. Project duration is 60 months: January 2008 until December 2012. Grant agreement no.: 212334


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