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Texas Demographic Characteristics and Trends for Non-Profit Organizations OneStar Foundation Austin, Texas April 23,

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Presentation on theme: "Texas Demographic Characteristics and Trends for Non-Profit Organizations OneStar Foundation Austin, Texas April 23,"— Presentation transcript:

1 Texas Demographic Characteristics and Trends for Non-Profit Organizations OneStar Foundation Austin, Texas April 23, 2015 @TexasDemography

2 Y ear* Population Numeric Change Annual Percent Change 19507,711,194-- 19609,579,6771,868,4832.4 197011,196,7301,617,0531.7 198014,229,1913,032,4612.7 199016,986,5102,757,3192.0 200020,851,8203,865,3102.3 201025,145,5614,293,7412.1 201226,060,796 915,2351.8 201326,448,193387,397 1.4 201426,895,688447,495 1.7 * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census Counts and Population Estimates

3 Population Growth, Texas, 1950-2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses

4 1950 19601970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Historic County Population, Texas Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial censuses

5 Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates

6 Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2014 6 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage. 102 counties lost population over the four year period. 95 counties lost population between 2013-14 Of these: 36 (38%) had natural decline 89 (94%) had net out migration 30 (32%) had both natural decline and net out migration

7 Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2014 7 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

8 Components of Population Change by Percent in Texas, 1950-2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

9 U.S. Rank Population Change Population Change Percent of Change from Natural Increase Percent Change from Migration Percent of Migration that is international Harris1 88,61848.6%51.4%54.0% Bexar6 33,71242.8%57.2%23.2% Dallas8 32,55569.6%30.4%116.3%* Tarrant10 31,41750.8%49.2%38.5% Fort Bend11 30,78419.4%80.6%17.3% Travis12 28,39738.2%61.8%29.7% Collin14 26,53026.1%73.8%20.1% Denton16 24,21127.2%72.8%14.0% Montgomery27 19,12917.9%82.1%10.4% Williamson31 18,02523.2%76.8%7.8% *Dallas had net out domestic migration over this period. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, 2013-2014

10 Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, 2013-2014 U.S. Rank 2013-2014 Percent Population Change Percent Change from Migration Percent of Migration that is International Hays54.8%83.89%2.62% Fort Bend64.7%80.6%17.27% Comal94.0%90.1%3.04% Andrews124.0%62.8%3.57% Montgomery133.8%82.1%10.39% Williamson143.8%76.8%7.84% Kendall153.8%98.0%5.02% Ward213.4%72.0%1.49% Denton233.3%72.8%14.2% Collin313.1%73.9%20.1% Aransas323.1%110.8%4.3% Rockwall353.0%78.3%7.8% Waller362.9%77.2%5.3% Ector372.9%59.9%2.0% Guadalupe422.8%78.6%4.9% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates *Among Counties with 10,000 or more population in 2013

11 Estimated Number of Net Migrants by County, Texas, 2013 to 2014 11 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

12 12

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14 Persons per Square Mile 0 – 10 11 – 50 51 – 500 501 – 4,000 4,001 – 56,000 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Density by Census Tract, Austin/San Antonio Corridor, 1970-2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial censuses. Geolytics, Neighborhood Change Database Tract Data from 1970-2010

15 Percentage of Population with Drive Times Longer than 25 Minutes, Texas Census Tracts, 1990 and 2010* 1990 2010* Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1990 decennial census and *American Community Survey, 2008-2012 5 Year Sample.

16 Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010 16 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

17 17 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

18 18 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

19 19 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

20 Percent of the Population that is of Hispanic Descent, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 20 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

21 Percent of the Population that is of Asian Descent, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 21 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

22 Percent of the Population that is Non-Hispanic Black, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 22 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

23 Percent of the Adult Population Aged 25 Year and Older with Bachelor’s Degree or Greater Educational Attainment, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 23 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

24 Percent of Households with Income of $150,000 or More, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 24 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

25 Percent of the Population with Income at or Below Poverty, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 25 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

26 Estimated Number of Veterans, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 26 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

27 Estimated Percent of the population who are Veterans, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 27 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

28 Median Age, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 28 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

29 Teen Birth Rates, States, 2013 RankState Births per 1,000 girls (15-19 years of age) 44Kentucky39.5 45West Virginia40.1 46Texas41 47Mississippi42.6 48Oklahoma42.9 49New Mexico43.3 50Arkansas43.5 Ventura, S.J., Hamilton, B.E., & Matthews, T.J. (2014). National and State Patterns of Teen Births in the United States, 1940–2013. National Vital Statistics Reports, 63(4), 1-34. Retrieved from http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr63/nvsr63_04.pdf.http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr63/nvsr63_04.pdf

30 Risk for natural disasters, Metro Areas Source: Sperling’s Best Places - http://www.bestplaces.net/docs/studies/safest_places_from_natural_disasters.aspx

31 Risk for natural disasters Source: Sperling’s Best Places - http://www.bestplaces.net/docs/studies/safest_places_from_natural_disasters.aspx

32 Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2050 32 Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections

33 Projected Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections. 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

34 Projected Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections. 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

35 Texas Population Change by Age Group, 2010-2030 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

36 Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2010-2050 36 Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections, Half 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

37 Projected Increase in Obesity in Texas by Ethnicity, 2006 to 2040 Source: Office of the State Demographer projections, using 2000-2004 migration scenario population projections

38 Obesity Prevalence % adults with obesity: Office of the State Demographer

39 Diabetes Prevalence % adults with diabetes: Office of the State Demographer

40 Trends in Educational Attainment of Persons in the Labor Force (25-64 Years of Age) in Texas by Race/Ethnicity – High School Graduates and Above Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001-2011

41 Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates, Texas 41 These should be going DOWNThese should be going UP Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS. Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

42 Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, and 2030 Using Trended Rates, Texas 42 These should be going DOWNThese should be going UP Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS. Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

43 Contact Office: (210) 458-6530 Email: Lloyd.Potter@UTSA.eduLloyd.Potter@UTSA.edu Internet: http://osd.state.tx.ushttp://osd.state.tx.us Twitter: @TexasDemography 43 Lloyd B. Potter, Ph.D.


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