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Texas and West Region: Demographic Characteristics and Trends AgriLife Regional Extension Leadership Program Conference March 30, 2012 Fredericksburg,

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Presentation on theme: "Texas and West Region: Demographic Characteristics and Trends AgriLife Regional Extension Leadership Program Conference March 30, 2012 Fredericksburg,"— Presentation transcript:

1 Texas and West Region: Demographic Characteristics and Trends AgriLife Regional Extension Leadership Program Conference March 30, 2012 Fredericksburg, TX

2 2000 Population* 2010 Population* Numerical Change 2000-2010 Percent Change 2000-2010 United States 281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7% Texas 20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6% California 33,871,64837,253,9563,382,30810.0% Florida 15,982,37818,801,3102,818,93217.6% Georgia 8,186,4539,687,6531,501,20018.3% North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,17018.5% Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,38524.6% 15.7% of numerical change in U.S. Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts. Growing States, 2000-2010

3 Population Change in Abilene, Austin Round Rock, El Paso, San Angelo and San Antonio MSA Counties, 1980-2010 County1980199020002010 Callahan10,99211,85912,90513,544 Jones17,26816,49020,78520,202 Taylor110,932119,655126,555131,506 Bastrop24,72638,26357,73374,171 Caldwell23,63726,39232,19438,066 Hays40,59465,61497,589157,107 Travis419,573576,407812,2801,024,266 Williamson76,521139,551249,967422,679 El Paso479,899591,610679,622800,647 Irion1,3861,6291,7711,599 Tom Green84,78498,458104,010110,224 Atascosa25,05530,53338,62844,911 Bandera7,08410,56217,64520,485 Bexar988,8001,185,3941,392,9311,714,773 Comal36,44651,83278,021108,472 Guadalupe46,70864,87389,023131,533 Kendall10,63514,58923,74333,410 Medina23,16427,31239,30446,006 Wilson16,75622,65032,40842,918 Source: 1980-2010. U.S. Census Bureau Counts. Of the 67 counties in the Regions 6, 7 and 10, 19 lost population over the 2000-2010 decade. The 67 counties added just over 977,458 new residents over the decade and grew at a rate of 24.7%

4 Percent Change Due to Y ear* Population Numerical Change** Percent Change Natural Increase Net Migration 19507,711,194-- 19609,579,6771,868,48324.293.916.09 197011,196,7301,617,05316.986.7413.26 198014,229,1913,032,46127.141.5858.42 199016,986,5102,757,31919.965.8534.15 200020,851,8203,865,31022.849.6550.35 200924,782,3023,930,48418.854.0445.33 201025,145,561 4,293,74120.6 201125,674,681 529,1202.154.7944.99 All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2009 and 2011 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. ** Change is from previous decade/time period Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2011 4 Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center.

5 Components of Change for Counties in Abilene, Austin Round Rock, El Paso, San Angelo and San Antonio MSAs, 2000 to 2009 County Population Births- Deaths Migration 20002009ChangeForeignDomestic Callahan County12,90513,426521-4037593 Jones County20,78518,961-1,824-10632-1,679 Taylor County126,555127,6831,1288,132687-6,944 Bastrop County57,73374,87617,1433,9901,30812,027 Caldwell County32,19437,8105,6162,3014962,977 Hays County97,589155,54557,95610,9051,69745,351 Travis County812,2801,026,158213,878102,65358,85556,907 El Paso County679,622751,29671,67493,22032,340-50,088 Irion County1,7711,741-30311-36 Tom Green County104,010108,3784,3685,853554-1,373 Bandera County17,64520,5602,9151651302,689 Bexar County1,392,9311,651,448258,517140,88629,68996,635 Comal County78,021114,52536,5044,47396931,179 Guadalupe County89,023121,43232,4096,2841,53224,888 Kendall County23,74334,05310,3107223599,171 Medina County39,30444,7285,4242,1271713,356 Wilson County32,40840,7498,3411,621466,802 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census Counts (2000); Estimate (2009).

6 6

7 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2009 Population Estimates. Estimated Annual Net Migration to Texas, 2000-2009

8 Percent of Migrants to Texas by Race and Ethnicity, 2000-2009 (848,702 migrants ) (933,083 migrants) 52% of all migrants were international Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the 2006-2008 American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international migrants between 2000-2009 are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau.

9 States with Largest Estimated Unauthorized Immigrant Populations, 2010 9 State Estimate (thousands) Range California 2,550 (2,350 - 2,750) Texas 1,650 (1,450 - 1,850) Florida 825 (725 - 950) New York 625 (525 - 725) New Jersey 550 (425 - 650) Illinois 525 (425 - 625) Georgia 425 (300 - 550) Arizona 400 (275 - 500) Source: Pew Hispanic Center estimates based on residual methodology applied to March Supplements to the Current Population Survey (February 1, 2011). 6.5% of Texas’ 2010 Population

10 Estimated Domestic Migration (2000-2008) by County as a Percentage of 2000 Population 10 Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

11 11 Estimated International Migration (2000-2008) by County as a Percentage of 2000 Population Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

12 12 http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html

13 13 http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html

14 14 http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html

15 Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.

16 Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010 16 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.

17 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.

18 18 Texas Population Pyramid by White (non-Hispanic), 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.

19 19 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.

20 Total Population by County, 2010 20 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

21 Numeric Change of Total Population by County, 2000-2010 21 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

22 Percent Change of Total Population by County, 2000-2010 22 Population increase for Texas was 20.6% during this period. Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

23 Numeric Change in Hispanic population by County, 2000-2010 23 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

24 Percent of Population That Is Foreign Born by County, 2005-2009 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample 2005-2009. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

25 Median Household Income by County, 2005-2009 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample 2005-2009. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

26 Change in Percent of Single Female Headed Households, 2000-2010 26 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts. Map produced by the Office of the State Demographer.

27 Change in Percent of Owner-Occupied Homes, 2000-2010 27 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts. Map produced by the Office of the State Demographer.

28 Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections. Year Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2000-2040 28

29 Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections. Year Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2000-2040 29

30 Projected Population by Texas Counties, 2040 Source: Texas State Data Center. Vintage 2008 Population Projections, 2000-2007 Migration Scenario. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

31 Percent Projected Change of Total Population in Texas Counties, 2008-2040

32 Change in Median Age for Region 6, 7 & 10 Counties, 2000-2010 32 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts. Map produced by the Office of the State Demographer.

33 Percent of Persons Aged 65 Years and Older by County, 2000 Census and 2040 Projected 2000 Count 2040 Projection <11.9 12.0 – 14.9 15.0 – 19.9 20.0 or more 33 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 Census Count. Texas State Data Center. 2009 Population Projections. Maps produced by the Texas State Data Center.

34 Physicians per 1,000 Population Aged 65 Years and Older by County, 2008 34 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2009 Population Estimates. Texas Medical Board. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

35 Race/Ethnic Composition by Education Level in the Labor Force (aged 25 years and more) for Texas, 2009 35 Source: Derived from 2009 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates by the Office of the State Demographer. Less Than High School College and Greater

36 Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040 Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections, 1.0 Migration Scenario.

37 Change in the Percent of Persons Aged 25 Years and Older without a High School Degree, 2000 to 2010 37 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 Census Count and American Community Survey, 2010. Map produced by the Office of the State Demographer.

38 Demographics and Destiny 38

39 Contact Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530 Email: Lloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.usLloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.us Internet: http://osd.state.tx.us Lloyd Potter, Ph.D. 39


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