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Market Update & Business Opportunities:

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1 Market Update & Business Opportunities:
Japan’s Fuel Cell & Hydrogen Market U.S. Commercial Service – Tokyo Takahiko Suzuki – Senior Commercial Specialist US Commercial Service - Japan

2 Japan’s Strategic Road Map For Hydrogen & Fuel Cells
Council for Strategy for Hydrogen & Fuel Cells established by METI Phase 1: now Phase 2: mid-2020s Phase 3: by 2040 Full-fledged introduction of hydrogen power generation Establishing a large-scale hydrogen supply system Expanding the scope of FC technology (2014 – 2025) Establishing a CO2-free hydrogen supply system What we cover today: Residential Fuel Cell (Ene-Farm), Industrial Fuel Cell (SOFC), Fuel Cell Vehicle (FCV), Hydrogen Refueling Station, Production & Transportation of Hydrogen Source: Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI), Government Of Japan (GOJ) US Commercial Service - Japan

3 Why Fuel Cells in Japan? Fuel Cells have good environmental characteristics Fuel Cells are utilized as distributed power generation Fuel Cells have power to pave the way to a “hydrogen energy society” US Commercial Service - Japan

4 Composition of How Electricity is Generated (FY 2012)
Renewable 1.6% Nuclear 1.7% Hydro 8.4% Oil 18.3% Coal 26.7% LNG 42.5% US Commercial Service - Japan

5 History of FC Development (Japan)
1960 Companies conducted individual research on FC (-1965) 1978 Sunshine Project: GOJ’s first national R&D FC project 1981 Moonlight Project: GOJ launched systematic FC research 1983 TEPCO succeeded in generating 4,500 kW PAFC plant 1987 Moonlight Project: GOJ generated 2 X 1,000 kW PAFC plant 1991 TEPCO demonstrated 11,000 kW PAFC plant 1992 R&D on PEFC for FCV began (Sunshine Project) 1993 NEDO undertook the above R&D (New Sunshine Project) 1994 NEDO generated 2 large PAFC power plants 2000 NEDO conducted “FC Infrastructure Millennium Project” (-2004) 2002 Verification study of residential FC (-2004) 2002 JHFC Project (-2005) 2005 Large-scale demonstration tests of residential FC (-2008) 2006 JHFC2 Project (-2010) 2009 Residential FC co-generation system “Ene-Farm” began its sales 2011 JHFC3 Project (-2015) 2013 NEDO project: SOFC field test for commercial use 2013 NEDO project: Hydrogen Utilization Technology Development (-2014) 2013 NEDO project: Technology R&D for PEFC Commercialization (-2014) 2013 NEDO project: Technology R&D for SOFC Commercialization (-2014) 2013 “Ene-Farm Partners” established (105 member companies) US Commercial Service - Japan

6 Japan’s New Basic Energy Plan (April, 2014)
Japan aims to materialize a “Hydrogen Society” Japan is committed to construct the whole supply-chain of hydrogen Expansion of residential “Ene-Farm” Laying out infrastructure to promote FCV New technology development (e.g. hydrogen power generation) Promotion of manufacture, storage, and transportation of hydrogen Japan will draw up “Roadmap to Hydrogen Society (by 2030)” Source: GOJ US Commercial Service - Japan

7 Types of Fuel Cells US Commercial Service - Japan Fuel Cell Type
アルカリ形燃料電池 りん酸形燃料電池 固体高分子形燃料電池 溶融炭酸塩形燃料電池 固体酸化物形燃料電池 Alkaline Fuel Cell Phosphoric Acid Fuel Cell Polymer Electrolyte Molten Carbonate Fuel Cell Solid Oxide Fuel Cell (AFC) (PAFC) (PEFC) (MCFC) (SOFC) Common Electrolyte (電解質) Aqueous solution of potassium hydroxide soaked in a matrix Phosphoric acid soaked in a matrix Perfluoro sulfonic acid Solution of lithium, sodium, and/or potassium carbonates, soaked in a matrix Yttria stabilized zirconia 水酸化カリウム (KOH)水溶液 りん酸(H3PO4)水溶液 高分子膜(パーフルオロスルフォン酸膜) 溶融炭酸塩 (Li2CO3 + Na2CO3) 安定化ジルコニア (ZrO2・Y2O3) Type of Ion that moves through Electrolyte (Moving Direction) 電解質の中を移動するイオン(移動の方向) Hydroxide Ion (OH-) Hydrogen Ion (H+) Carbonate (CO3 2-) Oxide Ion (O2-) (Air Electrode → Fuel Electrode) (Fuel Electrode → Air Electrode) Operating Temperature 60℃~90℃ Approx. 200℃ 70℃~90℃ 650℃~700℃ 800℃~1000℃ Fuel (燃料) Pure Hydrogen Hydrogen Hydrogen; Carbon Monoxide Usable Original Fuel (Raw Material) 使用可能な原燃料 By-Product Hydrogen by electrolysis industry; Hydrogen obtained by electrolysis Natural Gas; LPG; Methanol; Naphta; Kerosene Natural Gas; LPG; Methanol Natural Gas; LPG; Methanol; Naphta; Kerosene; Gasficiated Coal Output (results in Japan) 1-10kW (in 1960s); 1kW (Moonlight Project in 1984) 50kW, 100kW, 200kW, 500kW, 1,000kW 1kW - 100kW 1,000 kW Plant 200kW; 300kW; 750kW (Stack Modules) 1kW; 5kW; 15kW; 25kW Generation Efficiency (LHV) 50-60% (Pure Hydrogen / Pure Oxigen) 35-45% 30-40% 45-60% 50-65% Applications Space, Military, Marine CHP; Distributed Power Automobile; Transportation; CHP; Distributed Power Thermal Power Plant; Large-Scale Distributed Power; Offices; Factories Residential CHP; Distributed Power US Commercial Service - Japan

8 Japan’s Fuel Cell Market Projection
Unit: US$ million Japan’s “3 Arrows” in FC growth: “Ene-Farm” FCV Hydrogen Supply Chain Source: Marketing Data Bank (2011) US Commercial Service - Japan US Commercial Service - Japan

9 Hydrogen Global Market Projection
(Billion US$) $ 71 billion $ 225 billion $ 51 billion Total: $ 370 billion FCV and Residential FC are driving forces Source: Nikkei BP Clean Tech Laboratory US Commercial Service - Japan US Commercial Service - Japan

10 Japan’s Fuel Cell Market Projection
Source: Marketing Data Bank (2011) US Commercial Service - Japan US Commercial Service - Japan

11 Fuel Cell Market by Application
Residential Fuel Cell Portable Fuel Cell Fuel Cell Vehicle Industrial Fuel Cell US Commercial Service - Japan

12 Fuel Cell Market by Application
Source: Marketing Data Bank (2011) US Commercial Service - Japan

13 Ene-Farm: Residential Fuel Cell
Manufacturer Aisin JX Energy Panasonic Toshiba Type of Fuel Cell SOFC PEFC Sales Company Toho Gas Tokyo Gas Osaka Gas Rated Output 700W 750W Water Capacity 90 ℓ 147 ℓ 200 ℓ Water-Supply Temperature 70℃ 60℃ Efficiency Rated Power Generation (LHV) 46.5% 45.0% 39.0% 38.5% Overall Rated (LHV) 90.0% 87.0% 95.0% 94.0% Durability 10 Years (90,000 hours, continuous) (60,000 hours, DSS) (80,000 hours, SS) US Commercial Service - Japan

14 Residential FC: Market Projection
Number of Unit (Accumulated) Japan plans to install 1.4 million units by 2020 Source: Nomura Research Institute (2014) US Commercial Service - Japan

15 Residential FC: Unit Price Projection
Large Scale Validation Market Creation with GOJ Policy Support Establishment of Self-Reliant Market (US$) GOJ Subsidy begins GOJ Subsidy ends Source: METI, Nomura Research Institute (2014) US Commercial Service - Japan

16 Portable FC Market expected to emerge: $164 million (2020)
Source: Fuji Economic Institute (2014) US Commercial Service - Japan

17 Advantages of Fuel Cell Vehicles (FCV)
HV, PHV EV Vehicle Model EV FCV FC Bus Power Supply Time to Gymnasium 5 hours (16-24 kWh) 1 day (120 kWh) 4-5 days (460 kWh) Source: Toyota Motors, GOJ US Commercial Service - Japan

18 FCV Manufacturers (Alliance & Plans)
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 ~ Source: Nikkei US Commercial Service - Japan

19 Hydrogen Refueling Stations (Current)
17 locations 10 locations 15 locations 13 locations Additional 14 locations have been selected (June 23, GOJ) Source: METI, GOJ US Commercial Service - Japan

20 Hydrogen Refueling Stations (Development Plans)
100 locations ( ) Installed on highways 4 major urban areas 100 locations by 2023 100 locations by 2017 43 locations by 2015 Source: METI, GOJ US Commercial Service - Japan

21 System Flow Chart of Hydrogen Supply
City Gas Hydrogen Refueling Station Hydrogen Reforming Unit Compressor Accumulator Hydrogen Dispenser Hydrogen Dispenser Compressor Pre-Cooling Accumulator Source: HySUT US Commercial Service - Japan

22 2 Types of Hydrogen Stations
[ Off Site Hydrogen Refueling Station ] Hydrogen Shipping Plant Hydrogen Refueling Station Refining Accumulate Accumulator High Pressure Transport Trailer Storage Hydrogen Reforming Compress Charge Compressor Dispenser [ On Site Hydrogen Refueling Station ] Hydrogen Refueling Station Raw Fuel Production (Oil Refinery) Hydrogen Reforming Transportation Accumulator Natural Gas Naphtha Methanol Compressor Dispenser Source: HySUT US Commercial Service - Japan

23 GOJ: Deregulation & Subsidies
Material Restrictions Location Restrictions Operation Restrictions Need to develop safety inspection criteria Relaxation of “Design Count” More materials to be allowed (e.g. piping) Compound vessel to be allowed for accumulators Need to develop criteria for 70 MPa stands Need to develop criteria for urban-restricted area Abolish upper limit of volume of hydrogen Need to develop criteria for liquid hyd stations Study on self-service filling Relaxation of restrictions on charging pressure (Full filling) Transportation Restrictions Relaxation of vessel pressure; new safety valve Travel Distance Restrictions Need to establish inter-equipment distance where CNG stands coexist Gasoline dispenser needs to be installed along with hydrogen dispenser Needs to build explosion-proof standards around dispensers Other Restrictions Need to develop criteria for public filling Source: METI US Commercial Service - Japan

24 Cost Structure of Hydrogen Refueling Stations
Compressor Pre-cooling equipment Current Cost: US $ million Hydrogen Vessel Valve Hydrogen Manufacturing Device Japan aims at halving the cost Source: METI US Commercial Service - Japan

25 FCV: Forklifts & Buses Demonstration Project in Kitakyushu City
Kansai International Airport (KIX) Project 3 demonstration projects completed in 2012 Source: Toyota, HySUT US Commercial Service - Japan

26 Industrial FC: Commercialization (SOFC) in 2017
Source: Fuji Electric, Bloom Energy, NTT DoCoMo US Commercial Service - Japan

27 Hydrogen Production Stage of Utilization Stability CO2 Emissions
Economy Byproduct Hydrogen Commercialized Depending on the original product Emits CO2 but bears no additional environmental load Good economic value because of the byproduct Fossil Fuels Reforming Good Emits CO2, unless CCS is used Relatively low production cost Water Electrolysis (Thermal Electric) Emits CO2 when generating power, unless CCS is used Higher than Fossil Fuels Reforming, yet relatively low cost Water Electrolysis (Renewable Energy) Technologically established, yet high cost of renewables Output fluctuations depending on the power source No CO2 emissions High cost because of the use of renewables Biomass Technologically established, yet high cost Supply locations are dispersed Almost no CO2 emissions Currently high cost Thermal Decomposition Research & development Depending from where it gets heat n/a Photo catalyst Basic research (current conversion rate: 0.5%) Depending on the weather conditions Source: METI, GOJ US Commercial Service - Japan

28 Hydrogen Storage & Transportation
Overseas Organic Hydride Hydrogen Station City Gas, LPG LNG Terminal Fossil Fuel (Oil Field Gas, Brown Coal) Pipelines Oil Factories FCV Compressed Hydrogen Renewable Energy Distributed Power Supply Hydrogen Power Generation Liquid Hydrogen Liquid Hydrogen Byproduct Hydrogen Organic Hydride Source: METI US Commercial Service - Japan

29 Hydrogen Storage & Transportation
High Pressure Gas Liquid Hydrogen Pipeline Organic Hydride Hydrogen Absorbing Alloy Method Compress into cylinders Liquefy & store at minus 253℃ Transport in gaseous form in pipes Convert into methylcyclohexane through reaction with toluene Use a hydrogen atom absorbing alloy Status Commercialized and distributed in Japan Commercialized and distributed in Japan (e.g. rocket fuels) Not yet commercialized. It is possible to transport a large volume of hydrogen. Not yet commercialized. It is possible to store and transport hydrogen at normal temperature and pressure. Not yet fully commercialized. It is possible to store and transport more hydrogen per volume. Merits & Challenges R&D is still required to further cost reduction of compressors and storage cylinders. High storage density. A large amount of energy is required for liquefaction. Japan has limitation to apply pipelines. A large infrastructure investment is required. Technology has been established. It is possible to use conventional chemical tankers and transport ships. Heavy weight of alloy. Applications are limited to submarines and submersible vessels. Companies Taiyo Nippon Sanso Kawasaki Heavy Industries; Iwatani Corporation Nippon Steel & Sumikin Kikoh Company Chiyoda Corporation; Mitsubishi Kakoki Kaisha The Japan Steel Works Source: METI US Commercial Service - Japan

30 City Projects Kitakyushu Hydrogen Town
Kawasaki Energy Frontier: Kawasaki City, Chiyoda Cooperation KIX (Kansai International Airport) Hydrogen Grid (Osaka) Source: METI US Commercial Service - Japan

31 Market Update & Business Opportunities:
Japan’s Fuel Cell & Hydrogen Market U.S. Commercial Service – Tokyo Koji Sudo – Senior Commercial Specialist Misa Shimizu – Commercial Specialist US Commercial Service - Japan


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