1. Achievement Probability Data  Most tested subjects have four achievement categories (Social Studies has three) 1) Advanced 2) Proficient 3) Basic 4) Below Basic FAQ Source: TVAAS website as of July 2013 Website String: TVAAS website, Export, Data, Student Projections, Exported Files How Do I Interpret and Use the Achievement Probabilities Data Press the right-arrow button to advance through this presentation TVAAS Slide 1 Student scores are confidential. Therefore the example below is merely a simulation model. None of the score data displayed below is real. Most TVAAS Projections reports includes probabilities about these achievement levels

2. Achievement Probability Data 1) Advanced 2) Proficient 3) Basic FAQ How Do I Interpret and Use the Achievement Probabilities Data TVAAS Slide 2 This student only has a 0.7% probability of earning a score at the advanced level

3. Achievement Probability Data 1) Advanced 2) Proficient 3) Basic FAQ How Do I Interpret and Use the Achievement Probabilities Data TVAAS Slide 3 This student has a 41.4% probability of earning a score at the proficient level

4. Achievement Probability Data 1) Advanced 2) Proficient 3) Basic FAQ How Do I Interpret and Use the Achievement Probabilities Data TVAAS Slide 4 This student has a 92.3% probability of earning a score at the basic level

5. Achievement Probability Data 1) Advanced: 0.7% probability 2) Proficient: 41.4% probability 3) Basic: 92.3% probability FAQ How Do I Interpret and Use the Achievement Probabilities Data TVAAS Slide 5 So what do you do with this information?  S Since our common goal is for all students to be proficient or advanced, use these probabilities to develop intervention plans for those students with high probabilities of being at or below the basic level  A lso develop intervention plans to help move students from the proficient to the advanced level

6. You Can Also View TVAAS Student Probabilities Via Individual Student Reports TVAAS FAQ Slide 6 Report: Student Projection Report Student: John Doe 02 Projection: 8 th TCAP Science Expressed in State %-tiles 99 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 01 2008 (3) TCAP 2009 (4) TCAP 2010 (5) TCAP 2011 (6) TCAP 2012 (7) TCAP TCAP (Sci) Projection: 8 th TCAP Science Projected State Percentile 81 99.9% Probability of Success BasicProficientAdvanced 99.2%55.1% How Do I Interpret and Use the Achievement Probabilities Data Student scores are confidential. Therefore the example below is merely a simulation model. None of the score data displayed below is real. Source: TVAAS website as of August 2013 Website String: 1) Log in to theTVAAS website, 2) Select the Reports tab 3) Future Academic Performance, 4) School (Single Grade) Future Academic Performance, 5) select the grade level, 6) select the test and subject, 7) select either advance, accelerate II, or accelerate I, 8) select a student's name, 9) select the subject, 10) select student reports, 11) select student projection reports

7. Reference Sources about TVAAS Score Projections and/or Probabilities  For more details about EVAAS/TVAAS projection methodology, read the following two documents (1) "What Should Teachers Know About TVAAS Student Probabilities?" -(2011 SAS Policy Brief by Cathy Brinsfield ) -access it via the TVAAS log on webpage under "Training and Development" Link: TVAAS Log On WebpageTVAAS Log On Webpage (2) "Measurement of Academic Growth of Individual Students toward Variable and Meaningful Academic Standards " -(2006 SAS White Paper by Wright, Sanders, and Rivers ) Link: SAS White Paper about score projectionsSAS White Paper about score projections How Do I Interpret and Use the Projected Scores Spreadsheet from the TVAAS Website? FAQ TVAAS Slide 7