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Southeast Michigan Council of Governments. Livingston Washtenaw Monroe Oakland Wayne Macomb St. Clair SEMCOG Region.

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Presentation on theme: "Southeast Michigan Council of Governments. Livingston Washtenaw Monroe Oakland Wayne Macomb St. Clair SEMCOG Region."— Presentation transcript:

1 Southeast Michigan Council of Governments

2 Livingston Washtenaw Monroe Oakland Wayne Macomb St. Clair SEMCOG Region

3

4

5 Origin and Destination of Commercial Vehicle Traffic Across Ambassador Bridge Source: National Roadside Survey, 1999

6 Origin and Destination of Commercial Vehicles Across Blue Water Bridge Source: National Roadside Survey, 1999

7 Annual Volumes for Road Border Crossings in Southeast Michigan by Mode, 1995 to 2007 Source: Bridge and Tunnel Operators Association

8 Annual Volumes for Road Border Crossings in Southeast Michigan by Crossing, 1995 to 2007 Source: Bridge and Tunnel Operators Association

9 Annual Passenger Car Volumes for Road Border Crossings in SE Michigan by Crossing, 1995 to 2007 Source: Bridge and Tunnel Operators Association

10 Annual Truck Volumes for Road Border Crossings in SE Michigan by Crossing, 1995 to 2007 Source: Bridge and Tunnel Operators Association

11 Long-Term Freight Forecast, 2035 Source: FAF2

12 Border Crossing Projection Source: DRIC

13 U.S and Canada Trade Facts and Figures: U.S merchandise trade with Canada is over $400 billion. Forty three percent of the U.S-Canada trade, totaling over $140 billion annually, crosses at Southeast Michigan/Southwest Ontario border. The trade between Michigan and Canada over $70 billion. U.S imported $138 billion in goods from Ontario in 2004, and exported $117 billion worth of goods to Ontario.

14 Southeast Michigan Border Crossing Traffic Highlights: The Ambassador Bridge is the busiest international commercial crossing in North America with over 3.2 million truck crossings in 2006 with goods values at $100 billion. The Blue Water Bridge is second only to the Ambassador Bridge in U.S/Canada truck crossings with 1.5 million in 2006 and a value of $70 billion.

15 Valuable Gateways Top 5 U.S. Ports by Value for North American Trade in 2007 (Current $, billions) RankPort nameStateTotal U.S. Trade 1DetroitMI137 2LaredoTX110 3Buffalo-Niagara FallsNY79 4Port HuronMI77 5El PasoTX49 Source: USDOT TransBorder

16 Regional Development Forecast Regional Development Forecast PopulationPopulation EmploymentEmployment Labor forceLabor force

17 Labor Force AgingAging Physical vs. knowledge-basedPhysical vs. knowledge-based Brain drainBrain drain

18 RDF Summary Domestic auto industry sufferingDomestic auto industry suffering Employment up 7% by 2035Employment up 7% by 2035 Population up 3% by 2035Population up 3% by 2035 Households up 13% by 2035Households up 13% by 2035 An aging population and workforceAn aging population and workforce Education levels need to improveEducation levels need to improve

19 Conclusion

20 Border Investments Blue Water Bridge U.S. PlazaBlue Water Bridge U.S. Plaza Ambassador Bridge Gateway ProjectAmbassador Bridge Gateway Project Detroit River International Crossing ProjectDetroit River International Crossing Project Operations (e.g., ITS)Operations (e.g., ITS) Private investmentPrivate investment

21

22 Data Gaps Truck RoutingTruck Routing Tying Freight to EconomyTying Freight to Economy Value of Border to Host CommunitiesValue of Border to Host Communities Pass-Through Trips (especially passenger)Pass-Through Trips (especially passenger) Empty Truck TripsEmpty Truck Trips Improved ComparabilityImproved Comparability Consistent Data ReleaseConsistent Data Release

23 Southeast Michigan Council of Governments

24 Employment

25 Percent Concentration by Sector in Southeast Michigan vs. United States 2005 Industry Motor vehicles and parts manufacturing (production plants) Percentage+680%-22%-1% Source: SEMCOG 2035 Forecast Concentration Relative Manufacturing except motor vehicles and parts Private nonmanufacturing

26 Manufacturing (Production) Employment United States, 2001-2035 Millions 2001 2002 2003 20042005 20062007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 20322033 2034 2035 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 0 Source: SEMCOG 2035 Forecast

27 Manufacturing (Production) Employment: Total and Motor Vehicles & Parts Southeast Michigan, 2001-2035 0 300 400 350 250 Thousands 450 2001 2002 2003 20042005 20062007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 20322033 2034 2035 Total Manufacturing Motor Vehicles & Parts 50 150 100 200 Source: SEMCOG 2035 Forecast

28 Total Employment Southeast Michigan, 2001-2035 0 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.6 Millions 3.0 2001 Source: SEMCOG 2035 Forecast 2002 2003 20042005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 20322033 2034 2035

29 Population

30 Population Southeast Michigan, 2001-2035 Population Southeast Michigan, 2001-2035 0 4.8 5.0 4.9 4.7 Millions 5.1 2001 Source: SEMCOG 2035 Forecast 2002 2003 20042005 20062007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 20322033 2034 2035

31 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 0 to 2425 to 4445 to 6465 plus 2005 Population Age Groups Southeast Michigan, 2005 and 2035 2035 Source: SEMCOG 2035 Forecast

32 Average Annual Growth in the Labor Force U.S. and SEMCOG Region, 1990-2035 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% -0.5% -1.0% Source: SEMCOG 2035 Forecast 1990- 1995 1995- 2000 2000- 2005 2005- 2010 2010- 2015 2015- 2020 2020- 2025 2025- 2030 2030- 2035 SEMCOG RegionU.S.

33 Percent College Graduates Adults Age 25+ 1990 and 2005 20 20 19 19 27 27 25 25 28 28 17 17 U.S.Michigan Southeast Michigan Percent with a Bachelor's Degree or Higher 1990 2005 Source: 1990 Census and 2005 American Community Survey

34 Migration by Age and Education 1995-2000 Age in 2000 Without College Degree 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 54 54 and over Total With College Degree 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 54 54 and over Total Net Domestic Migration-19,0702,716-16,985-32,624-71,395 -920-1,881-4,280-10,893-14,212InternationalIn-Migration 9, 907 16,23316,0885,83348,061 2,90317,43111,8191,78133,934

35 Border Crossing Trends Source: BTOA

36

37 15,069,601 22,304,179 19,442,017 5,262,080 5,128,491 3,664,513 0 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 30,000,000 199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006 Annual Volumes TrucksPassenger Cars Annual Volumes for Ambassador Bridge, Blue Water Bridge and Detroit- Windsor Tunnel, 1995-2006

38 9,680,232 12,440,026 7,221,749 5,331,751 5,976,831 5,510,120 5,457,164 6,982,059 9,608,655 0 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 30,000,000 1990 1991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006 Detroit Windsor Tunnel Blue Water BridgeAmbassador Bridge Annual Traffic Volumes, 1990- 2006 Annual Volumes

39 6,113,114 8,924,571 7,497,940 3,686,528 4,390,302 3,796,572 5,269,959 9,337,106 8,147,505 0 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006 Det-Wind-PassengerBlueWater-PassengerAmbassador -Passenger Annual Passenger Car Volumes for Ambassador Bridge, Blue Water Bridge and Detroit –Windsor Tunnel, 1995-2006

40 3,498,127 3,238,474 3,486,110 2,218,596 1,636,520 1,799,371 1,178,730 152,963 127,433 267,187 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000 4,000,000 199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006 Ambassador-TrucksBlue Water-TruckDetroit-Windsor-Truck Annual Truck Volumes for Ambassador Bridge, Blue Water Bridge and Detroit – Windsor Tunnel, 1995-2006 Annual Volumes


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