1. 1 Understanding the role of the EU in future climate negotiations & Options for strengthened engagement with developing countries Noriko Fujiwara, CEPS “Post Copenhagen: Practical consequences for Europe”, Brussels, 23 March 2010

2. 2 Did CPH demonstrate a “new world order” in the climate change negotiations (and beyond)? Highlight on the G2 & BASICHighlight on the G2 & BASIC Was the EU side-lined?Was the EU side-lined? BASIC joint statement in Jan 2010BASIC joint statement in Jan 2010 China & India moved to association with the Copenhagen AccordChina & India moved to association with the Copenhagen Accord

3. 3 Where are the priorities for 2010 in reaching an effective agreement that engages different negotiating blocs? Incorporate the CPH Accord’s political guidance into UN negotiating textsIncorporate the CPH Accord’s political guidance into UN negotiating texts Concrete decisions in Cancún in 2010Concrete decisions in Cancún in 2010 Agreement on the EU 2020 target in the June CouncilAgreement on the EU 2020 target in the June Council

4. 4 Raising the EU 2020 target to 30%? Sum of national targets and actions is insufficient to meet the 2°C limit.Sum of national targets and actions is insufficient to meet the 2°C limit. The EU may not be so ambitious as other major emitters.The EU may not be so ambitious as other major emitters. Impacts of the economic crisis make the compliance less costly.Impacts of the economic crisis make the compliance less costly.

5. 5 Are there new roles that the EU can play in the way it engages in the climate change process? Normative leadershipNormative leadership Strategic leadershipStrategic leadership Facilitator to pull together the constituencyFacilitator to pull together the constituency Architect in designing rules, procedures, & mechanismsArchitect in designing rules, procedures, & mechanisms

6. 6 Available processes UN negotiating tracksUN negotiating tracks G20G20 Major Economies ForumMajor Economies Forum EU bilateral frameworks & groupingsEU bilateral frameworks & groupings

7. 7 Does the EU have a role in acting as a ‘bridge’ with developing countries in the negotiations? Swift implementation of fast start financeSwift implementation of fast start finance Priority to the vulnerablePriority to the vulnerable Incorporation of cc into development cooperationIncorporation of cc into development cooperation Development of the carbon marketDevelopment of the carbon market

8. 8 What are the practical options for ensuring more rapid action on climate change in middle- and low-income countries? Fast start financeFast start finance Technology deployment and diffusionTechnology deployment and diffusion Capacity buildingCapacity building

9. 9 Selected references “Reinvigorating the EU’s role in the post- Copenhagen landscape”, CEPS commentary “The Copenhagen Accord: A first stab at deciphering the implications for the EU”, CEPS commentary “Flexible mechanisms in support of a new climate change regime: The Clean Development Mechanism and beyond”, CEPS Task Force Report