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Strategic tools that show results in the CERO-process Markus Robèrt, PhD Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm www.cero.nu.

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Presentation on theme: "Strategic tools that show results in the CERO-process Markus Robèrt, PhD Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm www.cero.nu."— Presentation transcript:

1 Strategic tools that show results in the CERO-process Markus Robèrt, PhD Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm www.cero.nu

2 A few dilemmas in the business of company travel planning…

3 No no, it’s faschinating... …do continue!

4 The ”split-personality” at companies

5 The ”putting lipstick on a pig-approach”

6 ”Little league football-strategies”…

7 CERO is based on backcasting Travel policiesMappingTarget

8 52 CERO-organizations…

9 Five CERO-organizations have conducted follow-ups 2012-2014 all have improved… 4-18% CO 2 -reduction

10 Mapping emissions and costs - avoid sub optimization

11 Benchmarking

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13 Communication tools: Point out the winners…

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16 Decision making tools: Make it easy but get rid of the fuzzyness…

17 Problem with climate targets: % - targets hard to follow-up in policy terms... %CO 2

18 CERO-transformation of the backcasting target Target scenario

19 Modules of tailor made 1% CO2-reductions (commute trips) 13 car commuters switch to public transport Train tickets to 4 commuters with longest distance Encourage 31 car commuters to renewable fuel cars Allow telecommuting at least once a month Offer eco-driving to at least 115 car commuters Encourage cycling to 36 car commuters with distance 0,5-6km

20 Replace 11% of business trips by car to public transport Annual cost reduction 220 000 SEK Replace 10% of business trips by car to virtual meetings Annual cost reduction 350 000 SEK Replace 17% of private vehicle trips with car sharing fleet Annual cost increase 140 000 SEK Use renewable fuels for all company cars Annual cost reduction unchanged Replace 23% of domestic aviation to train Annual cost reduction 85.000 SEK Replace 2% of aviation trips abroad to virtual meetings Annual cost reduction 80.000 SEK Modules of tailor made 1% CO2-reductions (business trips)

21 Target scenario at a company of ~500 employees 10% CO2-reductions >50 000 EUR/year

22 Turning theory into practice in CERO-workshops 2. Scenario level - Design target scenario 1. Principal level – Reach consensus on target 3. Action level – Selection of measures CO 2 Economy Employee acceptance

23 CERO-tool for building target scenarios

24 Who is doing what and when?

25 ...from action plan to action?

26 CERO-Challenge a’la wordfeud… Measure travel patterns and get feedback Individual target setting according to CERO-scenarios Individual and group challenges a’la wordfeud

27 IT-tools for implementing MM- strategies in organizations Hand out the toolbox, not the solutions!

28 Upscaling to a regional CERO… 1:4

29 …by applying the CERO-database… Travel data from >150 000 observations

30 …to simulate realistic travel volumes Estimate travel time and distance from a probability distribution in the CERO-database - Geographic location - Type of organization Utilize a population density map Estimate a transport choice model by (again) applying the CERO database

31 Tool for ”transport optimization studies”…

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33 http://www8.cs.umu.se/~bopspe/SpaceTime/cero/ SIM-CERO

34 Dialogue tools for stakeholders with different perspectives Avoid creating watertight bulkheads…

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36 www.cero.nu www.cero.nu mrobert@kth.se


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