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January ‘06Advice to Minister1. January ‘06Advice to Minister2 Understanding Climate Change Climate Change Action Plan Elements Climate Change Action.

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Presentation on theme: "January ‘06Advice to Minister1. January ‘06Advice to Minister2 Understanding Climate Change Climate Change Action Plan Elements Climate Change Action."— Presentation transcript:

1 January ‘06Advice to Minister1

2 January ‘06Advice to Minister2 Understanding Climate Change Climate Change Action Plan Elements Climate Change Action Plan Target About this Presentation

3 January ‘06Advice to Minister3 Why a Climate Change Action Plan? Climate Change is a reality Global & local issue Environmental, Social & Economic No quick fix No silver bullet

4 January ‘06Advice to Minister4 Farmers Fishers Foresters New Brunswickers Visitors Commerce Who is Affected by Climate Change?

5 January ‘06Advice to Minister5

6 January ‘06Advice to Minister6 Carbon dioxide 91%

7 January ‘06Advice to Minister7 Climate Observations in NB Temperature – Up 0.7 o C Snow pack - Down 25% (N) & 50% (S) Sea level rise – Up 30 cm Extreme storm events – 5 X as frequent

8 January ‘06Advice to Minister8 Climate Observations in NB Temperature -Up 0.7 0 C Snow pack – Down 25% (N) & 50% (S) Sea level rise – Up 30 cm Extreme storm events – 5 X as frequent

9 January ‘06Advice to Minister9 A plan for New Brunswick What we can do Goals Contribute to the global effort (Kyoto) Help achieve NEG/ECP targets New Brunswick’s share Local response Why a Climate Change Action Plan?

10 January ‘06Advice to Minister10 Emission reduction Adaptation, Community engagement NB’s Climate Change Action Plan

11 January ‘06Advice to Minister11 Built by departments’ & agencies’ contributions Stakeholder consultation Charter for Change & Self Sufficiency Goal Many of the actions already endorsed by other jurisdictions NB’s Climate Change Action Plan

12 January ‘06Advice to Minister12 Solid line + 1990

13 January ‘06Advice to Minister13 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 Year CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 2 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 1990 16.1 2004 22.0 Actual References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment

14 January ‘06Advice to Minister14 Total of 22 Mt. in 2004 13 Mt. From Industry NB Power 8.0 Mt. Refinery 3.3 Mt. Pulp and Paper 0.6 Mt. Other 1.1 Mt. 6 Mt. From Transportation 3 Mt. Other Sources NB Emission Sources

15 January ‘06Advice to Minister15 Dashed line

16 January ‘06Advice to Minister16 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 Year CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 2 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 1990 16.1 2004 22.0 Actual 2012 23.2 Estimated 25.3 2020 References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment

17 January ‘06Advice to Minister17 Emission reduction Adaptation Community engagement NB’s Climate Change Action Plan

18 January ‘06Advice to Minister18 Emission reduction Renewable Energy & Efficiency Transportation Waste Management Industrial Sources Other NB’s Climate Change Action Plan

19 January ‘06Advice to Minister19 Energy Wedge

20 January ‘06Advice to Minister20 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 Year CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 2 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment 1990 16.1 2004 22.0 Actual 2012 23.2 Estimated Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) ’07

21 January ‘06Advice to Minister21 Renewable Energy & Efficiency Efficiency NB programs 400 Mw of wind energy Biomass opportunities Tidal power opportunities Building & equipment stds. Off electricity strategies

22 January ‘06Advice to Minister22 Transportation Wedge

23 January ‘06Advice to Minister23 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 Year CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 2 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 1990 16.1 2004 22.0 Actual 2012 23.2 Estimated 25.3 2020 References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) Transportation (1.2) ’07

24 January ‘06Advice to Minister24 Transportation Intelligent Transportation System Provincial Public Transportation Strategy Alternative Fuels Trucking industry partnerships Fuel efficient vehicles

25 January ‘06Advice to Minister25 Waste Management Wedge

26 January ‘06Advice to Minister26 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 Year CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 2 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 1990 16.1 2004 22.0 Actual 2012 23.2 Estimated 25.3 2020 Transportation (1.2) Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment Waste Management (1.2) ’07

27 January ‘06Advice to Minister27 Waste Management Methane capture Composting Air conditioning replacement gases

28 January ‘06Advice to Minister28 Industrial Sources Wedge

29 January ‘06Advice to Minister29 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 Year CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 2 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emmissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 1990 16.1 2004 22.0 Actual 2012 23.2 Estimated 25.3 2020 Waste Management (1.2) Transportation (1.2) Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment Industrial Sources (0.7) ’07

30 January ‘06Advice to Minister30 Industrial Sources Best-available technology standards for new projects Less carbon-intensive energy options NB Innovation Foundation – funded research GHG offset credits

31 January ‘06Advice to Minister31 Other Wedge

32 January ‘06Advice to Minister32 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 Year CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 2 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 1990 16.1 2004 22.0 Actual 2012 23.2 Estimated 25.3 2020 Industrial Sources (0.7) Waste Management (1.2) Transportation (1.2) Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment Other* - Government Leading by Example / Partnership & Communications Other* (0.2) ’07

33 January ‘06Advice to Minister33 Other Government Leading by Example Procurement Transportation Buildings Energy management Sharing best practices Partnerships with Communities Establish dialogue Remove barriers to green municipal actions.

34 January ‘06Advice to Minister34 5.5 Mt dot

35 January ‘06Advice to Minister35 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 Year CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 2 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 1990 16.1 2004 22.0 Actual 2012 23.2 Estimated 25.3 2020 Industrial Sources (0.7) Waste Management (1.2) Transportation (1.2) Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) Other* (0.2) 17.7 Other* - Government Leading by Example / Partnership & Communications References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment ’07

36 January ‘06Advice to Minister36 Federal Wedge

37 January ‘06Advice to Minister37 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 Year CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 2 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 1990 16.1 2004 22.0 Actual 2012 23.2 Estimated 25.3 2020 Other* (0.2) Industrial Sources (0.7) Waste Management (1.2) Transportation (1.2) Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment Other* - Government Leading by Example / Partnership & Communications ’07 Federal Leadership & Support (1.6) 17.7

38 January ‘06Advice to Minister38 Federal Framework 18% emission intensity reduction in 2010 2% a year after that Through: Credit for early actions On site improvements Technology Fund investment credits Other credit trading

39 January ‘06Advice to Minister39 Add Kyoto & NEG/ECP dots

40 January ‘06Advice to Minister40 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 Year CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 2 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 1990 16.1 2004 22.0 Actual 2012 23.2 Estimated 25.3 2020 Industrial Sources (0.7) Waste Management (1.2) Transportation (1.2) Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) Other* (0.2) Federal Leadership & Support (1.6) 14.5 (NEG/ECP) Other* - Government Leading by Example / Partnership & Communications References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment ’07 17.7 (1990) 16.1

41 January ‘06Advice to Minister41 Emission reduction Adaptation Community engagement NB’s Climate Change Action Plan

42 January ‘06Advice to Minister42 Adapting to Climate Change Already impacting communities & commerce Seasonal uncertainties Water concerns Habitat and ecosystem changes Health & public safety Resource industry sectors impacted The “do nothing” approach will result in greater cost, vulnerability and risk

43 January ‘06Advice to Minister43 Actions to Adapt Provincial risk assessment to identify vulnerabilities and priority actions “Climate proof” development decisions Strengthen measures to protect coastal areas Adaptive management of natural resources

44 January ‘06Advice to Minister44 Emission reduction Adaptation Community engagement NB’s Climate Change Action Plan

45 January ‘06Advice to Minister45 Education / Awareness Shared responsibility addressed by all levels of government Support the development of community- based engagement Encourage beneficial individual actions Community Engagement

46 January ‘06Advice to Minister46 Coordination through Climate Change Secretariat Responsibility rests with individual depts. Regulatory/Policy changes Variable implementation timelines Must begin now in order to realize reductions in 2012 Implementation

47 January ‘06Advice to Minister47 Generation of economic opportunities Cost to consumers in short term Cost savings to consumers in near term ecoTrust funding/other federal “Eco” $ Financial Considerations

48 January ‘06Advice to Minister48 Summary 7.1 Mt. reduction in 2012 Lays groundwork for 2020 Maintain level playing field for industry “Climate proof” development decisions Engagement of communities and New Brunswickers

49 January ‘06Advice to Minister49 Add Kyoto & NEG/ECP dots

50 January ‘06Advice to Minister50 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 Year CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 2 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 1990 16.1 2004 22.0 Actual 2012 23.2 Estimated 25.3 2020 Industrial Sources (0.7) Waste Management (1.2) Transportation (1.2) Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) Other* (0.2) Federal Leadership & Support (1.6) 14.5 (NEG/ECP) Other* - Government Leading by Example / Partnership & Communications References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment ’07 17.7 (1990) 16.1


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