1. Caseload Update Policy and Fiscal Committee May 2, 2011

2. FY11 Caseload Overview Supportive: The projected surplus has decreased this month from $11.9M to $11.3M. The decrease in surplus is due to Marchs actual projected daily rate (which is based on the yearly month average) exceeding the projected daily rate for March by nearly $2 (from $48.67 to $50.61). This increase impacted the remaining three month average because it drives up the average daily rate used for those three months. DTA-Related Caseload: The deficiency has decreased approximately $700K dollars from $6.5M to $5.8M. Two factors seem to drive the decrease: 1) actual caseload in March was 206 children fewer than projected; and 2) the projected daily rate used for March is slightly higher than actual ($31.86 to $31.55). Income Eligible: The deficiency in Income Eligible increased from $8.3M to $9.3M (an increase of $1M). Factor that have caused the increase are 1) actual voucher caseload in March was nearly 250 children higher than projected (which may indicate children are not attriting at the expected rate); actual voucher average daily rate was $1 higher than projected in March; contract/flex spending was $586K higher than projected. Overall Caseload: February caseload count was adjusted from an actual total of 55,935 (after February was processed) to 57,578 (after March bill were processed), which is an adjustment of 1,643(1,163 adjustment in caseload for Income Eligible; 543 in DTA; and (46) caseload adjustment in Supportive) 2

3. 3 Fiscal Year 2011 Income Eligible (3000-4060) * Actual Figures Previous month projected a $8.3M deficiency.

4. Fiscal Year 2011 Income Eligible Caseload Projected Cost 4 FY11 Approp: $233.5M (Amount in Thousands) Blue represents actual amount billed Current projections indicate that, even with transferability, EEC will be unable to meet the cost of June billing (processed in late July)

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7. 7 Fiscal Year 2011 DTA Related (3000-4050) Previous month projected a $6.5M deficiency.

8. FY2011 DTA Caseload Projected Cost 8 FY11 Approp: $127.3M ( Amount in Thousands) Blue = Actual amount billed Green = Projection With the passage of transferability, EEC will be able to meet the deficiency.

9. 9 Fiscal Year 2011 Supportive Care (3000-3050) Previous month projected a surplus of $11.9M.

10. Fiscal Year 2011 Supportive Caseload Projected Cost 10 FY11 Approp: $85.7M (Amount in Thousands) Blue = Actual amount billed

11. FY11 Caseload Overview – Summary July 2010 – March 2011 11

12. FY11 Caseload: Waitlist 12 *As of April 29, 2011. This number is an increase of 1,630 children from the March update, or a 8.2% increase.

13. FY11 Caseload: Waitlist Since 9/2010 13

14. ARRA Spending Update 14

15. ARRA Spending Update We have spent $15.1M in ARRA funds (63%) through April 26. The goal was to have spent $13.5M by the end of April. We have far exceeded our internal ARRA spending benchmarks for the end of April. 15